Originally Posted by k14
The discussion of his anti-cap is certainly relevant. I would class myself as pretty erratic (93 to 78 in 2 weeks hehe) but even my anticap is 16.5 vs 10 which is certainly at the upper end but still plausible. The fact his is higher is quite startling. I do however see how it is possible. He has a pretty solid short game from what I can tell so the difference between a 75 and a 85 for him could be not much (one or two more GIR's and a few up/downs vs none). I have had rounds like that. Only hitting 6 or 7 GIR but get up and down from everywhere, you should have had a 82-83 but shot 75. In the long run it is unsustainable but can pull your handicap down in the short term, it also tends to fall apart in a pressure situation (tournament) when you are relying on one putts to make par.
I agree, but I also just thought of something. (Hey, sometimes I'm slow, what can I say? ;))
And I'm just going off of numbers here, not really talking about Dan ... somebody who is improving rapidly, or perhaps just fixed something major in their game and made a jump, is going to have a higher differential between their cap and anti-cap than somebody who's handicap has been stagnant. Thinking of myself, for example, if I were to have a "light bulb" moment with my driver at the range this week and then go off and shoot a couple of 75's because of it this weekend, than my handicap would go down quite a bit (quick, rough calculation would have it drop from 7.9 to about 6.5), yet my anti-cap would stay almost exactly the same.
So, in a bit of a "defense" of Dan, I'd say that maybe we're focusing too much on his anti-handicap. You keep getting better and the scores on the front end of your 20 are always going to be better than the ones on your back end. Unfortunately, in his case, that theory is blown COMPLETELY out of the water when you consider that two of his worst scores contributing to that anti-cap are 2 of his most recent**
**Just checked his blog and noticed that, FWIW, those two 90's were on back to back days, in Atlanta, one on East Lake (site of Tour Championship) from the Black tees, and the other at Peachtree Golf Club.
Regardless, he's gone from not a golfer to a 3.3 (however suspect) over the course of 1/2 of his project. Only 1/2!! He has a loooooooooot of time left to keep improving. I'm still skeptical, but I'm still intrigued as well.