Jump to content
IGNORED

Tiger will not win another major


lumpuckeroo
Note: This thread is 3633 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

0  

  1. 1. Will Tiger Win a 15th Major?

    • Yes
      19
    • No
      14


Recommended Posts

Seems to me with every missed major, Tiger is drastically reducing his chances of winning another major.  A little research shows that of the 18 players with 5 or more majors in their careers only 8 of them won majors over a span of more than 11 years.  Tiger's current major win span is 11 years.

Span Yrs Titles
Jack Nicklaus 1962–1986 24 yrs 18
Tiger Woods 1997–2008 11 yrs 14
Walter Hagen 1914–1929 15 yrs 11
Gary Player 1959–1978 19 yrs 9
Ben Hogan 1946–1953 7 yrs 9
Tom Watson 1975–1983 8 yrs 8
Arnold Palmer 1958–1964 6 yrs 7
Sam Snead 1942–1954 12 yrs 7
Gene Sarazen 1922–1935 13 yrs 7
Bobby Jones 1923–1930 7 yrs 7
Harry Vardon 1896–1914 18 yrs 7
Nick Faldo 1987–1996 9 yrs 6
Lee Trevino 1968–1984 16 yrs 6
Byron Nelson 1937–1945 8 yrs 5
Seve Ballesteros 1979–1988 9 yrs 5
James Braid 1901–1910 9 yrs 5
John Henry Taylor 1894–1913 19 yrs 5
Peter Thomson 1954–1965 11 yrs 5

Craig 

Yeah, wanna make 14 dollars the hard way?

Link to comment
Share on other sites


While it's try that most of the guys on that list won majors over a shorter span, it's also try that most of then have won far fewer majors than Tiger. Just look at the top four. Jack took 24 years, Hagan took 15 years, and Player took 19 years. I will say that with every passing major breaking the record becomes less and less likely, but I wouldn't go as far as to say he won't ever win another major.

In my bag:

Driver: Titleist TSi3 | 15º 3-Wood: Ping G410 | 17º 2-Hybrid: Ping G410 | 19º 3-Iron: TaylorMade GAPR Lo |4-PW Irons: Nike VR Pro Combo | 54º SW, 60º LW: Titleist Vokey SM8 | Putter: Odyssey Toulon Las Vegas H7

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

44% isn't that bad. Quite easy to fall either side of the line to be fair.

SWING DNA
Speed [77] Tempo [5] ToeDown [5] KickAngle [6] Release [5] Mizuno JPX EZ 10.5° - Fujikura Orochi Black Eye (with Harrison ShotMaker) Mizuno JPX EZ 3W/3H - Fujikura Orochi Black Eye Mizuno JPX 850 Forged 4i-PW - True Temper XP 115 S300 Mizuno MP R-12 50.06/54.09/58.10 - Dynamic Gold Wedge Flex Mizuno MP A305 [:-P]

Link to comment
Share on other sites


  • Administrator

Originally Posted by jamo

While it's try that most of the guys on that list won majors over a shorter span, it's also try that most of then have won far fewer majors than Tiger. Just look at the top four. Jack took 24 years, Hagan took 15 years, and Player took 19 years. I will say that with every passing major breaking the record becomes less and less likely, but I wouldn't go as far as to say he won't ever win another major.

I was going to say exactly this.

How about this stat: 100% of all previous players who won at least 14 majors went on to win 18 or more majors. :-P

  • Upvote 2

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

Check Out: New Topics | TST Blog | Golf Terms | Instructional Content | Analyzr | LSW | Instructional Droplets

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

What the heck is this thread doing in this section?

Don

:titleist: 910 D2, 8.5˚, Adila RIP 60 S-Flex
:titleist: 980F 15˚
:yonex: EZone Blades (3-PW) Dynamic Gold S-200
:vokey:   Vokey wedges, 52˚; 56˚; and 60˚
:scotty_cameron:  2014 Scotty Cameron Select Newport 2

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

I'd be very surprised if this was the case. Although I definitely wouldn't put it past him. He will win Comeback Player Of The Year if he does

Originally Posted by CuppedTin

Tiger will be World Ranked number 1 within 2 years...



Link to comment
Share on other sites




Originally Posted by iacas

I was going to say exactly this.

How about this stat: 100% of all previous players who won at least 14 majors went on to win 18 or more majors. :-P

Exactly...the OP's 'stats' analysis is meaningless.  Statistical analysis doesn't mean anything when you are looking at individual performances.

In my :nike:  bag on my :clicgear: cart ...

Driver: :ping: G10 9*    3-Wood: :cleveland: Launcher
Hybrid: :adams: 20* Hybrid      Irons: :ping: i5 4-GW - silver dot, +1/2"
Wedges: :cleveland: 56* (bent to 54*) and 60* CG10     Putter: :ping: Craz-e (original blue)

Link to comment
Share on other sites


I think its premature to say he won't win another major, but beating Jack's record seems increasingly unlikely.

Historically, surprisingly few majors have been won by players older than 35. And just a handful have been won by players after turning 41.

http:// goo.gl/YWNHh (Majors Won by Age)

Link to comment
Share on other sites


If Tiger goes on to be #1 again and wins another major, I will be extremely impressed.  The guy's done amazing things for sure in the past....but youth has a way of doing that.  Your brain and body loses it's plasticity as you get older, so it gets more and more difficult to remold and reshape it.  Throw a new swing into the mix there and it seems like an untimely recipe for disaster.  Hopefully he's practicing a lot of putting right now...

[ Equipment ]
R11 9° (Lowered to 8.5°) UST Proforce VTS 7x tipped 1" | 906F2 15° and 18° | 585H 21° | Mizuno MP-67 +1 length TT DG X100 | Vokey 52° Oil Can, Cleveland CG10 2-dot 56° and 60° | TM Rossa Corza Ghost 35.5" | Srixon Z Star XV | Size 14 Footjoy Green Joys | Tour Striker Pro 5, 7, 56 | Swingwing

Link to comment
Share on other sites


I think he will win 1 or 2 more.  I don't think he breaks the record though.

I think if he gets any more majors, he'll break the record. It seems like it's an all or nothing deal at this point (or it's at least becoming increasingly so); either he gets his game back and wins 5+ more, or he never regains it and finishes his career at 14.

In my bag:

Driver: Titleist TSi3 | 15º 3-Wood: Ping G410 | 17º 2-Hybrid: Ping G410 | 19º 3-Iron: TaylorMade GAPR Lo |4-PW Irons: Nike VR Pro Combo | 54º SW, 60º LW: Titleist Vokey SM8 | Putter: Odyssey Toulon Las Vegas H7

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades



Originally Posted by lumpuckeroo

Seems to me with every missed major, Tiger is drastically reducing his chances of winning another major.  A little research shows that of the 18 players with 5 or more majors in their careers only 8 of them won majors over a span of more than 11 years.  Tiger's current major win span is 11 years.

Span

Yrs

Titles

Jack Nicklaus

1962–1986

24 yrs

18

Tiger Woods

1997–2008

11 yrs

14

Walter Hagen

1914–1929

15 yrs

11

Gary Player

1959–1978

19 yrs

9

Ben Hogan

1946–1953

7 yrs

9

Tom Watson

1975–1983

8 yrs

8

Arnold Palmer

1958–1964

6 yrs

7

Sam Snead

1942–1954

12 yrs

7

Gene Sarazen

1922–1935

13 yrs

7

Bobby Jones

1923–1930

7 yrs

7

Harry Vardon

1896–1914

18 yrs

7

Nick Faldo

1987–1996

9 yrs

6

Lee Trevino

1968–1984

16 yrs

6

Byron Nelson

1937–1945

8 yrs

5

Seve Ballesteros

1979–1988

9 yrs

5

James Braid

1901–1910

9 yrs

5

John Henry Taylor

1894–1913

19 yrs

5

Peter Thomson

1954–1965

11 yrs

5

Jack won 17 majors in 18 years. Then he shot a great back 9 and got a 72nd hole gift from Norman in 1986. The bulk of his majors came in an 18 year span and he had a boatload of top 3s too. He had a lot of chances to win and made good 17 times in those 18 years.

Since '09, Tiger's contended at Augusta National and Pebble Beach. So that gives him one chance every year, and whenever they hold the Open at Pebble. Making up stats is fun. Seriously though, in spite of the runs he was on getting to 14, I'd be in no way surprised if he never won a tounament again. Any tournament.

Mizuno MP600 driver, Cleveland '09 Launcher 3-wood, Callaway FTiz 18 degree hybrid, Cleveland TA1 3-9, Scratch SS8620 47, 53, 58, Cleveland Classic 2 mid-mallet, Bridgestone B330S, Sun Mountain four5.

Link to comment
Share on other sites


Even while playing poorly since his comeback at the Masters in 2010 he's played well for the most part in the majors, especially at Augusta. I'd be surprised if he didn't win at least one more Masters and probably another British Open. If his knee gets healthy and he fixes his putting I can see him winning 5-6 more majors. That's a lot of if's though.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

Before Jack came around, nobody had won over 11 majors. That means Jack couldn't possibly win 18. Come on, what's the point with this? When are people going to learn that statistics mean nothing to the individual? Also, I'd say 44% is a pretty good percentage. Especially since we are talking about one of the best golfers in the history of the sport.

Ogio Grom | Callaway X Hot Pro | Callaway X-Utility 3i | Mizuno MX-700 23º | Titleist Vokey SM 52.08, 58.12 | Mizuno MX-700 15º | Titleist 910 D2 9,5º | Scotty Cameron Newport 2 | Titleist Pro V1x and Taylormade Penta | Leupold GX-1

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

The thing that's stands out to me is that there were a lot more dangerous golfers in Jack's time span. Watson, Player, Travino... Cool that he won against those legends. Of course you can argue the opposite with that same data.

I'm not going to comment on Tiger...

titleistprov1x |nikeneo |●| callawayx-forged 54/60 |● |mizunoMP68

adamsproblack 3H |●| mizunoMPtitanium5w/3w |●| mizunoMP630FT

Link to comment
Share on other sites


Note: This thread is 3633 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now


×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

Welcome to TST! Signing up is free, and you'll see fewer ads and can talk with fellow golf enthusiasts! By using TST, you agree to our Terms of Use, our Privacy Policy, and our Guidelines.

The popup will be closed in 10 seconds...