Gotta love Dan Jenkins who long ago said "the only things that can stop Tiger from breaking Jack's record is a bad marriage or an injury.."
still a tiger fan...here's to his health
Well, just speaking for myself, I would have also voted that Phil and Ernie (or any individual) wouldn't win another Major at that age.
Obviously doesn't mean that it can't happen (but that wasn't the question).
Just more unlikely than likely in my opinion if I was forced to bet on it. Sometimes you win bets and sometimes you lose bets.
For the record if the question had been who among current players has the best odds of winning a Major after 40 I would have voted for Tiger (even with a bad back). I think he'll figure out a way to swing the club without aggravating his back and I think he's better than everybody else even if not 100% healthy.