Are you guys new to watching tournament golf or something? What makes you think Tiger couldn't shoot one of those 68s to win?
I think -9 has a 50/50 shot of playing off versus winning outright.
What has the lead been at the end of each day?
Not exactly a lot of movement. A 66 from Tiger gets him to -9. A measly 66. Heck, if Tiger shoots 65, I think he's way better than 50/50 to win outright. A 66 is at least a 30% chance.
Leaders tend to struggle. Who was the last guy who separated himself from the pack at Augusta National? The course requires absolutely incredible play to shoot a low score - if you're playing it safe you'll make the occasional birdie on a par five, but you'll get out of position on a par four or three and take a few bogeys, too.
That's what makes the tournament so great. The line between 65 and 75 is so thin. Leaders rarely need to play it close to that line, so they shoot scores of about 70. If the two leaders do that, that's -9.
I completely disagree, but this isn't the thread for that.
The 15th cost him four shots. It turned a bogey into a birdie, and the two shot penalty.
So I don't know where you get -9 - he'd be at -7 if he had missed the flagstick, possibly only -6 if he missed the birdie putt.
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