Originally Posted by MS256
I'm looking forward to watching them (even though I hate not having a dog in the hunt).
Usually I at least think I have a good idea how a game will go but in the SEC game I don't have a clue. Part of me thinks Auburn's luck will run out but then I remember they have Gus Malzahn and I think he's as good as there is with offensive schemes (even with lessor athletes) and I'm not even sure they have lessor athletes than Mizzou.
For the first time in my life I'm pulling against Auburn when they are not playing Alabama. Unusual for it to be a first for an Alabama fan but the Auburn fans have finally convinced me after about 50 years of pulling for both teams when they aren't playing each other that I absolutely hate them with a passion.
I figure the Big Ten will be close and could go either way with a mistake or two but if I had to make a pick I would take OSU because of their coach, their quarterback, and I question whether MSU can score enough.
No hope for Duke. I don't even think Auburn caliber luck can keep them in this one.
If OSU can run the ball they will have success. Also the game is indoors. Braxton seems to not be a very good passer when it is windy or cold. The last three games has seen a big drop off. I think with him indoors, on that speed track of Indy, he'll have a good game. I think the key player for OSU is their tight end. He's quietly had a good year. Amazing blocker on the edge. With Michigan State playing a lot of man coverage on the outside. I see a lot of quick screens, jet sweeps, trying to get to the edge. This will loosen up the middle for Hyde. The one thing Urban does, he doesn't just stretch the field, then run it. He will stretch you side to side, and vertical. Then he'll pound the ball up the middle. I just don't know if MSU can stop all the play makers OSU has on offense.
I am also not sold on their rushing defense. Against Nebraska they gave up over 5 yards a carry. Against Indiana, Indiana's main running back average 5 yards per carry. Is their rushing defense good, yea. ALL of OSU's backs are averaging over 7 yards per carry. That means it isn't a single player playing extraordinary, it is the offensive line being that dominate. This is a Jim Bollman offense at MSU. Which means that Fickle has very good knowledge of MSU's tendencies. If I remember right, back in the Tresselball era. If you can stop OSU from rushing the ball you can win. So I think this will be very similar to the Wisconsin game. OSU will play a lot of guys in the box, try to force a lot of third and longs and force their QB to pass the ball. GOD I HOPE OUR SECONDARY SHOWS UP!!!
For MSU to win, they can not let OSU have a blow up quarter. Meaning one of those 21-0 first or second quarters. OSU has scored 14 or more points in over half of the quarters they have played. So if OSU gets out to a 21-0 lead, it will get ugly. MSU has to play its most complete game as a defense, and then hope they can still score enough.
Prediction: OSU 31 MSU 21, Braxton and Hyde get into a groove and unleash enough for OSU to get up by two touchdowns and run out the clock.