If I were Erik, I'd probably play smart and try and make a birdie or par, given his putting and short game are pretty good. I'd probably hit a 5 or 6 iron about at the left bunker and leave a 40-50 yard pitch with an open angle at the hole. I could put that inside 8 feet maybe 80% of the time if I were him? And maybe after that I'd have about a 50/50 shot at a birdie putt along with a free read. Worst case scenario if I hit the layup properly is probably a par. There are more options from that spot than I might have wherever I land trying to reach it. I can't accurately predict my lie anywhere but there, so I can realistically get close to the pin in regulation where I might have no shot otherwise. He's a good player and ought to be making some birdies on par 5s. I consider hitting the green in 2 or hitting a good approach to be enough of an accomplishment because I'd have no fun if I only cared about score because my scoring consistently sucks. But sometimes I hit the ball well at least.
The eagle is probably a 5% chance or less; and hitting the green from that yardage at all is pretty grim for players a lot better than Erik. I believe the PGA tour average from 225-250 is in the neighborhood of 50 feet in proximity, and even the absolute best are averaging 40 feet or so. That green is not that big, and there are trees there to eat low balls and cut off much of it from access. Not to mention you'd want to be in a good spot to putt from. Easier to do that from 40 yards out than 240. Trying to make a 50 foot bomb for eagle can cause one's lag putting to diminish.
Erik, why did we go for the right side of the fairway again? You must not have wanted to reach in 2 in the first place, or you know something we don't. If I wanted to reach in 2, I'd have been a little pickier about the angle even if it cost me a few yards. I think you hit the tee shot over there on purpose, or let it drift over there because it wasn't important to have that angle. Ending up in that spot means reaching in 2 isn't much of an option, imo.
If it were me, I couldn't hit this shot in one try to be honest. My only shot would be to crush a 3 iron with a fade, which isn't my natural shape, and would be a perfect yardage for a stock draw 3i off a tee, off the deck that would be a huge hit even if my fade wasn't shorter than my draw. I'd screw the shot up in every conceivable way if I attempted it. The only way I could do it would be into the wind if I could hit my 2 hybrid, as it might make the yardage about perfect.
Playing this for real, I'd hit that 5 iron over to the left side with my standard draw, not caring if it rolls into the rough. I'd have to ad lib a pitch shot that stops hopefully somewhere near the hole and try to guess the speed and hope my putting stroke doesn't embarrassingly fail me as it always seems to do.
I also putt about half a stroke worse per hole or more than a scratch golfer. So even though I could get into the same spot in 2 as Erik with no problem, with my wedge play and putting I'd likely make a 6 instead of a 4.5 on this hole. With that in mind, you can see why I wouldn't be afraid to bring 7 or 8 into play if it meant I could skip part of the short game process and use some of my prowess on long shots for a change. It's one of the best aspects of my game relative to others, so why should I shelve it and hit shots I suck at using a strategy for people with consistent short games? If you've ever hit a golf ball 240 yards through the air and watched it soar the whole way only for it to land and stop on the green, you'd understand why I might not lay up in some circumstances. But not on this hole from this drive.
If it were mirrored, however, and I could play a draw around the trees from there, I'd hit the 3i all day long, try to carry it to the front and let the ball end up where it will. I can hit fades at will and control my trajectory but most of my good shots are either my stock shot or my stock shot with a bit of extra power. I have trouble dialing the other stuff in unless I practice a lot.
Then I'd drop a ball and try and hit it over the trees with a mighty draw. I couldn't resist giving it a try at least. Those trees are schmuck bait.