Originally Posted by Lihu
Are you saying that many of the 18 handicappers in the position to get better and have a better chance of beating their handicap? Or are you saying that many 18 handicappers are sand bagging 8 handicaps?
I think a true 18 handicap would score 20+ over par and the true 5 handicap would score about 5 over par.
No, I think he simply saying that the fluxuations that go along with a higher handicap favor that group en masse over the lower handicaps, even without sandbaggers. As a 17 index, you are probably shooting low 90's most of the time, but it's not out of the realm for you to throw in a, 83 or 84 occasionally. You know how to make pars, so when your game is "on," you can really beat your index, perhaps even throw up a net 67 or something.
A 4 handicapper is going to have a lot of trouble beating you on that day because he's probably going to have to shoot a career best (perhaps a "gross" -1 or something) to do it.
The other half of the story is that over time and in one-on-one matches, said low handicapper is going to have the advantage on you.
(The same thing happens in bowling. It's easy for a 100 bowler to beat their handicap in one game - they throw up a turkey and a couple of spares and the 200 bowler is going to have to roll 250 to beat them. That's a lot less likely to happen.)