Originally Posted by Dave2512
3 out of 10 is probably pretty close. The reason you don't see them often is the odds say most of golfers are worse than that are far more common. And unless you ask you may not see them on a good day. I rarely have people ask what my index is. I played in the 8-11 range most of 2013. If you got paired with me the day I shot 86 or something like that and I hit the ball unusually bad you probably wouldn't believe it if I said I was an 8 at that time. My dispersion of scores isn't massive or anything but my anti-index is probably something like 13-14 currently. If you caught me on the day I shot an even 36 on the front of my home course you may think I was better than I really am. I played 12 holes before it got dark and I was even when it was said and done. The next day I put up a 46 on the same course. (I presume you mean on the front 9?)
This would only reduce the chances of meeting by roughly 50% (10 worst versus 10 best rounds). The number of people I see on the course who play that well are in the sub 15.5% range of all the golfers I play. Maybe I just go at the wrong tee times, and all the bad players go when I go. I'm not limiting my observations to my immediate partners, but to people I see in front of us as well as behind us.
It still surprises me that this many people shoot 70s scores.
Originally Posted by rkim291968
Like Lihu & Dave2512 mentioned, there is a big difference between USGA members and casual golfer handicap. Average golfer score I've seen if they count all the strokes (no mulligans, gimmies, ...) is closer to 105 on average course. My club members, all with official GHIN, would average about 85 on the same course. YMMV as difficult course will attract better players.
Makes sense, but that's still borderline single digits assuming tough course/slope ratings.