The course designer has you hitting into a funnel. The farther into the landing area you go, the narrower the workspace. Funnel starts getting tight around the yellow line.
So, it depends on how well you're swinging that day whether it's driver or 3W.
The approach shot depends on how much backspin one generates on short irons. From 100 to 115 yards out - going uphill, which adds loft to the club - I would hit a 9i or 8i. I get modest backspin, so such a shot would get one check bounce, and hopefully release smoothly into the downslope.
If I'm not perfect, I would want to end up on the back fringe and chipping or putting uphill, rather than falling short and having to go uphill and then downhill. (In this sense, the hole resembles No. 3 at Augusta National, a 355-yard uphill par 4.)