Originally Posted by David in FL
I've played 17 at Sawgrass several times. It's a HUGE target, but regardless, the overall target here is much bigger than that with the bunkers front to back. Maybe I'd feel differently seeing it in person, but yeah, this is just a relatively long, tough par 3. Not even horribly long at that elevation. Dumping it in the front bunker shouldn't be too tough. Even dunking the first shot, you'd be hard pressed to make worse than double and might still save par.
Match play vs stroke play might make a difference too depending on the specific circumstances.
Not really, I was including the bunkers in that estimation. Consider that anything that misses the green and bunkers is in the water due to the slopes, according to the OP. Of course, I have to stipulate that hitting the slopes counts towards my idea that you can still make par because you can likely drop all the way up by the green.
And I get that Sawgrass is a big target, but it's 90 yards closer than this one yet still has several pros missing it every year. That means something.
Originally Posted by jamo
The problem is I'm not particularly confident I can hit a layup and then an approach shot safely either.
True, but with a layup, assuming you choose something that will clear that hazard on the right, you have a bailout area. You don't have an "unmissable" target. And the OP said the rough is pretty much non-existent, so there is a good chance you'll have a decent lie anywhere over there. (Unless you get behind one of those silly little trees. ;))