Rory McIlroy: How Many Majors By 2020
Poll Results: How many major wins by 2020 (he already has 4)?
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I think his game is built for winning The Masters and the PGA championship. Even if he wins one a year. I think he can win two in a couple of the years. Especially if he catches the weather right, like good weather at Hoylake this year. I would say 6 is a good number. I wouldn't be shocked if he gets up near 8.
But if he quickly achieves his self challenge - best GOAT Euro, grand slam, 7 majors, will he become more or less motivated?
Could he win 12 majors in 6 years? I don't think so. Maybe 8. But who knows? Maybe he can't sustain this current level of focus or maybe somebody even better will win them. Lydia Ko? I predict she'll get an invite to the masters , win her in her first appearance and then win the next 25 majors in a row. Failing that, though, things looking good for Rors.
Same number I came up with. That's 4 more majors in 6 years. Which is a pretty good pace for someone with no 'star power.'
I voted 10...but I wouldn't be surprised if he has 12, and wouldn't be overly surprised if he only has 5 or 6 by 2020. Golf is a crazy game. Seve had 4 majors by age 27 and at that time, most people would never have guessed that he'd only get one more...you just never know. In July 2008, if you told somoene that Tiger would never win another major, they would have laughed at you.
I've gone 7
Unlike quite a few commentators, I don't think we are about to enter a Rorytocracy. Dynastic domination isn't the British way (largely because we ain't normally good enough) but once our target's have been achieved we have a habit of coming off the gas and easing down (Steve Redgrave and Ben Ainsle apart). I think its more likely we'll enter a period of competition, which I'd prefer to see in fairness
I think he'll get his Masters. He's gone low at Augusta before
I think he'll get one of St Andrews next year, or Portrush in 2019
I think he'll get one other too (probably a second Masters or a USPGA as players can develop an affinity with a certain competition and who knows, perhaps the USPGA's is going to be Rory's)
If you look at his Masters from 2014 he recorded the following at the four par 5's
Round 1 = 1 under
Round 2 = 2 over (+1)
Round 3 = 2 under (-1)
Round 4 = 1 over (par)
16 holes then and a return of par. The longest is 575yds. It ain't too difficult to see where the improvement is going to come from.
Rory finished it on 288
Bubba won on 280
I'm going for three in the next five years
24 majors from 2015-2020...so 6 in 24 = avg 1/year. Would you say over or under that average?
I think 6 would be an interesting betline, I'm sure you can find this type of bet in the UK but I wonder what the odds are that they are giving.
Rory is the hottest thing on tour right now, Tiger was that for a stretch last year....just pointing out how quickly it can change. Rory will find another woman to become serious with in that timeframe, it will be interesting to see how his game reacts to that event, or having kids.
Still I'd take the 6 or more over taking fewer than 6.
I think some of us (@David in FL included) were assuming that when the OP said "BY" 2020, that he wasn't also including 2020. A small distinction I realize, but one that could very well adjust everybody's totals one way or the other by, possibly, one major.
That's all. :)