{"id":1621,"date":"2007-02-08T09:00:00","date_gmt":"2007-02-08T14:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/thesandtrap.com\/columns\/the_numbers_game\/calculating_the_handicap_indeces_of_the_pros\/"},"modified":"2009-07-10T14:30:13","modified_gmt":"2009-07-10T18:30:13","slug":"calculating_the_handicap_indeces_of_the_pros","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thesandtrap.com\/b\/the_numbers_game\/calculating_the_handicap_indeces_of_the_pros","title":{"rendered":"Calculating the Handicap Indeces of the Pros"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/b\/imgs\/numbers_game\/tng_title.gif\" height=\"79\" width=\"125\" alt=\"The Numbers Game\" \/>You may consider yourself a fine player with your three handicap. Or perhaps you frequently play to your 15 handicap. You may even think that Tiger Woods could spot you a stroke per hole and you&#8217;d have a close match.<\/p>\n<p>And you&#8217;d be right&hellip; if you were the three handicap. And Tiger would still probably win.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ve talked about <a href=\"http:\/\/thesandtrap.com\/extras\/rules\/whats_your_handicap\/\" title=\"How to Calculate Your Handicap\">how to calculate your handicap<\/a> here at <em>The Sand Trap<\/em> before, but the handicaps of our favorite PGA Tour pros remain a mystery. Sure, we know they&#8217;re in the &#8220;+&#8221; realm (which, oddly enough, means better than scratch while worse-than-scratch golfers have signless handicaps), but how far?<br \/>\n<!--more--><br \/>\n<strong>Calculations<\/strong><br \/>\nPGA Tour courses don&#8217;t have established ratings. Pros often play from tees used only in PGA Tour events, the rough is grown extra long and thick, and greens are sped and firmed up. Each of those changes has a dramatic effect on the course rating and slope, making it difficult to ascertain the true nature of a pro&#8217;s handicap index. Still, we&#8217;ve used available numbers &#8211; they may be educated guesses &#8211; where no slope or course ratings were available.<\/p>\n<p>Normally we apply a 0.96 multiplier to a person&#8217;s average differential in calculating handicaps. This is to help figure in the &#8220;potential&#8221; of a player. A golfer with an un-adjusted handicap index of 5 becomes a 4.8 index after the 0.96 multiplier is applied. Now, you might think it would make little sense to take a <strong>plus<\/strong>-5 handicap to +4.8, but that&#8217;s exactly what you do. Why? It&#8217;s a small &#8220;bonus for excellence.&#8221; More on this at the bottom of the article.<\/p>\n<p><strong>At the Top: Tiger Woods<\/strong><br \/>\nWhat does it take to be the top golfer in the world? I did a lot of number crunching and came up with this chart and these shocking figures:<\/p>\n<pre>Used |   Date   | Score | CR\/Slope | Diff. | Tournament\r\n----     ----     -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\n  *  | 01\/28\/07 |   66  | 78.1\/143 |  -9.6 | Buick Invitational\r\n  *  | 01\/27\/07 |   69  | 78.1\/143 |  -7.2 | Buick Invitational\r\n     | 01\/26\/07 |   72  | 78.1\/143 |  -4.8 | Buick Invitational\r\n     | 01\/25\/07 |   66  | 78.1\/143 |  -6.3 | Buick Invitational\r\n  *  | 09\/04\/06 |   63  | 74.8\/143 |  -9.3 | Deutsche Bank\r\n     | 09\/03\/06 |   67  | 74.8\/143 |  -6.2 | Deutsche Bank\r\n     | 09\/02\/06 |   72  | 74.8\/143 |  -2.2 | Deutsche Bank\r\n     | 09\/01\/06 |   66  | 74.8\/143 |  -7.0 | Deutsche Bank\r\n     | 08\/27\/06 |   68  | 75.1\/128 |  -6.3 | WGC - Bridgestone Inv.\r\n     | 08\/26\/06 |   71  | 75.1\/128 |  -3.6 | WGC - Bridgestone Inv.\r\n  *  | 08\/25\/06 |   64  | 75.1\/128 |  -9.8 | WGC - Bridgestone Inv.\r\n  *  | 08\/24\/06 |   67  | 75.1\/128 |  -7.2 | WGC - Bridgestone Inv.\r\n  *  | 08\/20\/06 |   68  | 78.1\/151 |  -7.6 | PGA Championship\r\n  *  | 08\/19\/06 |   65  | 78.1\/151 |  -9.8 | PGA Championship\r\n  *  | 08\/18\/06 |   68  | 78.1\/151 |  -7.6 | PGA Championship\r\n     | 08\/17\/06 |   69  | 78.1\/151 |  -6.8 | PGA Championship\r\n  *  | 08\/06\/06 |   66  | 74.3\/133 |  -7.1 | Buick Open\r\n  *  | 08\/05\/06 |   66  | 74.3\/133 |  -7.1 | Buick Open\r\n     | 08\/04\/06 |   66  | 74.3\/133 |  -7.1 | Buick Open\r\n     | 08\/03\/06 |   66  | 74.3\/133 |  -7.1 | Buick Open\r\n----   --------   -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\nAverage Differential: -7.0\r\nBest 10 Average Differential: -8.2\r\nHandicap Index: +7.9<\/pre>\n<p>Now, take a deep breath and read that again. +7.9. Tiger&#8217;s <strong>worst<\/strong> ten differentials average out to -5.7.<\/p>\n<p>Something like 10% of golfers ever reach single digit handicaps. Tiger&#8217;s not only done that (while still in the womb, no doubt), but he&#8217;s blown through the single digits on the <em>other<\/em> side of scratch and is in heretofore unexplored territory at <strong>+7.9<\/strong>. That may be the single best handicap index <em>ever<\/em>!<\/p>\n<p><strong>Next in Line: Jim Furyk<\/strong><br \/>\nThe above makes you think, &#8220;How close is Jim Furyk to Tiger&#8217;s level?&#8221; According to the Official World Golf Rankings, Tiger was 11.53 points better (at the end of 2006). But how many strokes would Tiger be giving him if they were playing a handicapped event? Here are Furyk&#8217;s numbers:<\/p>\n<pre> Used |   Date   | Score | CR\/Slope | Diff. | Tournament\r\n----     ----     -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\n     | 01\/14\/07 |   69  | 75.1\/135 |  -5.1 | Sony Open in Hawaii\r\n     | 01\/13\/07 |   69  | 75.1\/135 |  -5.1 | Sony Open in Hawaii\r\n  *  | 01\/12\/07 |   68  | 75.1\/135 |  -5.9 | Sony Open in Hawaii\r\n  *  | 01\/11\/07 |   65  | 75.1\/135 |  -8.5 | Sony Open in Hawaii\r\n     | 01\/07\/07 |   71  | 75.2\/142 |  -3.3 | Mercedes-Benz Champ.\r\n     | 01\/06\/07 |   76  | 75.2\/142 |   0.6 | Mercedes-Benz Champ.\r\n     | 01\/05\/07 |   74  | 75.2\/142 |  -1.0 | Mercedes-Benz Champ.\r\n     | 01\/04\/07 |   71  | 75.2\/142 |  -3.3 | Mercedes-Benz Champ.\r\n  *  | 11\/05\/06 |   65  | 73.9\/137 |  -7.3 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n  *  | 11\/04\/06 |   67  | 73.9\/137 |  -5.7 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n     | 11\/03\/06 |   71  | 73.9\/137 |  -2.4 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n     | 11\/02\/06 |   69  | 73.9\/137 |  -4.0 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n  *  | 10\/15\/06 |   66  | 74.3\/139 |  -6.7 | Frys.com Open\r\n     | 10\/14\/06 |   70  | 74.3\/139 |  -3.5 | Frys.com Open\r\n  *  | 10\/13\/06 |   68  | 74.3\/139 |  -5.1 | Frys.com Open\r\n  *  | 10\/15\/06 |   68  | 74.3\/139 |  -5.1 | Frys.com Open\r\n  *  | 09\/10\/06 |   65  | 76.4\/150 |  -8.6 | Canadian Open\r\n  *  | 09\/09\/06 |   67  | 76.4\/150 |  -7.1 | Canadian Open\r\n     | 09\/08\/06 |   71  | 76.4\/150 |  -4.1 | Canadian Open\r\n  *  | 09\/07\/06 |   63  | 76.4\/150 | -10.1 | Canadian Open\r\n----   --------   -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\nAverage Differential: -5.1\r\nBest 10 Average Differential: -7.0\r\nHandicap Index: +6.7<\/pre>\n<p>So it appears that Tiger would have to give Furyk roughly one stroke per round. That is definitely a lot closer than I had thought it would be if I were to go strictly off of the Official World Golf Rankings.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tour Championship, #30: Tom Pernice, Jr.<\/strong><br \/>\nSo what does it take to get into the top thirty on Tour and into the Tour Championship? I did the same number crunching for Tom Pernice, Jr. (who has been a pro since I was one year old&hellip;) and found out he plays to approximately a +4.9 handicap.<\/p>\n<pre> Used |   Date   | Score | CR\/Slope | Diff. | Tournament\r\n----     ----     -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\n     | 02\/04\/07 |   71  | 73.9\/131 |  -2.5 | FBR Open\r\n  *  | 02\/03\/07 |   68  | 73.9\/131 |  -5.1 | FBR Open\r\n     | 02\/02\/07 |   71  | 73.9\/131 |  -2.5 | FBR Open\r\n  *  | 02\/01\/07 |   65  | 73.9\/131 |  -7.7 | FBR Open\r\n     | 01\/26\/07 |   73  | 78.1\/143 |  -4.0 | Buick Invitational\r\n  *  | 01\/25\/07 |   71  | 78.1\/143 |  -5.6 | Buick Invitational\r\n     | 01\/20\/07 |   75  | 72.9\/122 |   1.9 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n  *  | 01\/19\/07 |   70  | 75.3\/142 |  -4.2 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n     | 01\/18\/07 |   78  | 74.6\/140 |   2.7 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n     | 01\/17\/07 |   72  | 73.1\/137 |  -0.9 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n  *  | 01\/12\/07 |   70  | 75.1\/135 |  -4.3 | Sony Open in Hawaii\r\n     | 01\/11\/07 |   72  | 75.1\/135 |  -2.6 | Sony Open in Hawaii\r\n  *  | 11\/05\/06 |   69  | 73.9\/137 |  -4.0 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n  *  | 11\/04\/06 |   67  | 73.9\/137 |  -5.7 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n     | 11\/03\/06 |   72  | 73.9\/137 |  -1.6 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n  *  | 11\/02\/06 |   69  | 73.9\/137 |  -4.0 | THE TOUR Championship\r\n  *  | 10\/29\/06 |   69  | 75.6\/140 |  -5.3 | Chrysler Championship\r\n     | 10\/28\/06 |   72  | 75.6\/140 |  -2.9 | Chrysler Championship\r\n     | 10\/27\/06 |   74  | 75.6\/140 |  -1.3 | Chrysler Championship\r\n  *  | 10\/26\/06 |   69  | 75.6\/140 |  -5.3 | Chrysler Championship\r\n----   --------   -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\nAverage Differential: -3.2\r\nBest 10 Average Differential: -5.1\r\nHandicap Index: +4.9<\/pre>\n<p><strong>Barely Keeping the Card: J.P. Hayes<\/strong><br \/>\nWhat about the &#8220;just scraping by&#8221; category? What would it take for us Joes to just barely keep our card (and earn over half a million dollars)? I found J.P. Hayes had just barely kept his card in 2006 and according to the numbers it would take a +4.0 index to be in his position.<\/p>\n<pre> Used |   Date   | Score | CR\/Slope | Diff. | Tournament\r\n----     ----     -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\n     | 02\/04\/07 |   76  | 73.9\/131 |   1.8 | FBR Open\r\n     | 02\/03\/07 |   72  | 73.9\/131 |  -1.6 | FBR Open\r\n  *  | 02\/02\/07 |   69  | 73.9\/131 |  -4.2 | FBR Open\r\n  *  | 02\/01\/07 |   69  | 73.9\/131 |  -4.2 | FBR Open\r\n  *  | 01\/28\/07 |   69  | 78.1\/143 |  -7.2 | Buick Invitational\r\n  *  | 01\/27\/07 |   73  | 78.1\/143 |  -4.0 | Buick Invitational\r\n  *  | 01\/21\/07 |   70  | 75.3\/142 |  -4.2 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n     | 01\/20\/07 |   73  | 74.6\/140 |  -1.3 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n     | 01\/19\/07 |   73  | 73.1\/137 |  -0.1 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n     | 01\/18\/07 |   71  | 72.9\/122 |  -1.8 | Bob Hope Chrysler Cl.\r\n  *  | 10\/15\/06 |   68  | 74.3\/139 |  -5.1 | Frys.com Open\r\n     | 10\/14\/06 |   72  | 74.3\/139 |  -1.9 | Frys.com Open\r\n     | 10\/08\/06 |   73  | 74.1\/135 |  -0.9 | Chrysler Cl. of Greensboro\r\n     | 10\/07\/06 |   75  | 74.1\/135 |   0.8 | Chrysler Cl. of Greensboro\r\n     | 10\/06\/06 |   72  | 74.1\/135 |  -1.8 | Chrysler Cl. of Greensboro\r\n  *  | 10\/05\/06 |   70  | 74.1\/135 |  -3.4 | Chrysler Cl. of Greensboro\r\n  *  | 10\/01\/06 |   68  | 72.1\/139 |  -3.3 | S. Farm Bureau Cl.\r\n  *  | 09\/30\/06 |   68  | 72.1\/139 |  -3.3 | S. Farm Bureau Cl.\r\n  *  | 09\/29\/06 |   68  | 72.1\/139 |  -3.3 | S. Farm Bureau Cl.\r\n     | 09\/28\/06 |   73  | 72.1\/139 |   0.7 | S. Farm Bureau Cl.\r\n----   --------   -----   --------   -----   ----------\r\nAverage Differential: -2.4\r\nBest 10 Average Differential: -4.2\r\nHandicap Index: +4.0<\/pre>\n<p><strong>Closing Thoughts<\/strong><br \/>\nIn looking at the numbers I find myself in awe. I really can&#8217;t believe the numbers I&#8217;ve posted above. They really show that, <em>&#8220;These guys are good.&#8221;<\/em> It also makes me realize how good you really have to be to make it on Tour. An index of +4.0 just to barely keep your card. I guess I only have to shave eleven or twelve strokes off of my index to make it.<\/p>\n<p>Now that makes you think&hellip; if an index of +4.0 still earns a guy six figures&hellip; what would it take to make a living out of playing golf? Do you even have to be on the PGA Tour to make a living at it?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Author Addendum<\/strong><br \/>\nAs a couple astute readers of my column pointed out, the original numbers in my article looked a little suspect. Instead of multiplying by the course rating then dividing by 113 (the average course slope in the U.S.), I had done it the other way around thinking this made the most sense for calculating a pros handicap. How very wrong I was&hellip;<\/p>\n<p>Upon emailing the USGA and posing the same question to them, they came back stating the formula doesn&#8217;t change, no matter your handicap or professional status.  Therefore, all numbers within this article have been updated to reflect the correct numbers.  I apologize for the error on my part, and will be sure to do this type of research <em>before<\/em> I publish my article.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>If Tiger Woods played you, how many strokes would he be giving up to make a fair match? The answer may shock you.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[98,24],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1621","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-hot_topics","category-the_numbers_game"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Calculating the Handicap Indeces of the Pros (Hot Topics, The Numbers Game) - The Sand Trap .com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/thesandtrap.com\/b\/the_numbers_game\/calculating_the_handicap_indeces_of_the_pros\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:title\" content=\"Calculating the Handicap Indeces of the Pros (Hot Topics, The Numbers Game) - The Sand Trap .com\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:description\" content=\"If Tiger Woods played you, how many strokes would he be giving up to make a fair match? 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