Jump to content
Big C

Tony Romo Playing in the Byron Nelson - How Will He Fare?

Will Tony Romo Impress, Embarrass, or something in between?  

29 members have voted

  1. 1. What will be the lower of Tony Romo's Thursday & Friday Scores

    • Impress (Even Par 72 or lower)
      3
    • Embarrass (78 or higher)
      8
    • Somewhere in between (73-77)
      18


46 posts / 2614 viewsLast Reply

Recommended Posts

It depends. I think he possibly could break par in one of his rounds. He makes the cut, that would be great. Hell I'll eat my hat if he finishes 4 rounds.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

Want to hide this ad? Register for free today!

15 hours ago, ChrisP said:

Gotcha. Was just curious. Wasn’t sure if he qualified or if it was invite or some other reason. Just read the article. I wish him luck. Should be good for attendance and interest.

Huh??

The very first line in the OP said sponsor's exemption, and YOUR OWN message said he got a special invitation, and now you say the bolded portion?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

9 hours ago, Patch said:

I have him at 8K to 1. Last I looked he is now 10K to 1. I was there betting off the Rockets/Warriors series and saw it on the board. Figured what heck, why not.

Because you might as well throw your money away. My guess is that calculated odds are a lot worse (100,000 to 1?), and that it's 10k to 1 because he's a fan favorite. He has almost no chance.

Edited by chspeed

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

Bad bet! I take it against you!
He´s not even making the cut. I guess his better round would be around 75. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

45 minutes ago, p1n9183 said:

Bad bet! I take it against you!
He´s not even making the cut. I guess his better round would be around 75. 

Of course it's a bad bet. Most bets by the public at a sports book are bad bets, since the sports books rarely make a mistakes. These casinos don't stay in business very long by paying out to a majority of winners. 

A few things though. One, it's a novelty item. He's a personality. I have a coupon with Romo's name on it. Maybe some day, by chance, I can get him to autograph it. 

The second is that I mentioned I was there to "bet off" the Rockets/Warriors nba series. Regardless of how that series turns out, the worst that can happen is I will all most break even, which also includes that $20 Romo bet. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

37 minutes ago, Patch said:

Of course it's a bad bet. Most bets by the public at a sports book are bad bets, since the sports books rarely make a mistakes. These casinos don't stay in business very long by paying out to a majority of winners. 

That's not how it works. They make money on the vig (basically a surcharge on your bet). They don't care who wins. Their goal is to have equal bets on both sides and stay out of it altogether.

Sometimes, when there's not a lot of action on a bet, but some people want it, they'll just throw up a bad bet. That's probably the case here.

1 hour ago, p1n9183 said:

Bad bet! I take it against you!
He´s not even making the cut. I guess his better round would be around 75. 

Fanduel has the odds at 100k:1, which makes a bit more sense.

Corales-Puntacana-Resort--Club-Champions

sane Cover Photo: Getty Images Tony Romo was once a Pro-Bowl quarterback. He's now an entertaining color commentator and a scratch...

 

Edited by chspeed

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

1 minute ago, chspeed said:

That's actually not how it works. They make money on the vig (basically a surcharge on your bet). They don't care who wins. Their goal is to have equal bets on both sides and stay out of it altogether.

That's also not how it actually works.

Casinos gamble all the time. They don't try to have "equal bets on both sides." Common - and incorrect - myth.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

1 minute ago, iacas said:

That's also not how it actually works.

Casinos gamble all the time. They don't try to have "equal bets on both sides." Common - and incorrect - myth.

Really? Please state your source. I'd like to understand that business model a little better.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

7 minutes ago, chspeed said:

Really? Please state your source. I'd like to understand that business model a little better.

Research it yourself. You'll see. They're all making more than the vig.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

31 minutes ago, iacas said:

Research it yourself. You'll see. They're all making more than the vig.

Just did, wasn't easy to find, but I did find this article in the Times a while ago. It's an old article, but explains how they go about maximizing profit on bets when people aren't rational. Thanks for pointing this out.

Just being a bit nit-picky here, but I wouldn't call what they're doing gambling (at least not in the described method), it's more like sophisticated sportbook arbitrage.

 

spacer.png

Stephen J Dubner and Steven D Levitt The Wager column discusses intricacies of betting on Super Bowl game; graph; photo (M)

 

Edited by chspeed

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

52 minutes ago, iacas said:

That's also not how it actually works.

Casinos gamble all the time. They don't try to have "equal bets on both sides." Common - and incorrect - myth.

That is true but as we all know the Odds or line will change as money stacks on one side or the other. The house wants to make money. They try to set a smart line but they do not like having too much exposure on either side. Odds on gambling are insurance for the casino. They try to make sure that they make money.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

51 minutes ago, criley4way said:

That is true but as we all know the Odds or line will change as money stacks on one side or the other. The house wants to make money. They try to set a smart line but they do not like having too much exposure on either side. Odds on gambling are insurance for the casino. They try to make sure that they make money.

I think you’d be surprised.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

7 minutes ago, David in FL said:

Romo birdies #1.  Saves a good par 3 on 2....

Starting out strong. I'm not a big gambler, but I was curious to see what some of the betting sites had predicted for Romo. One of them had the over/under on his first round at 75.5. I'm a little disappointed that I didn't check earlier. I would have been willing to wager a modest sum on the "under" there. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

Eagle on 7, despite a bogey on 5.    Two under through seven holes, still in the running for the "no sixes" badge on this round too.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

To be honest I’d say anything better than DFL would be a decent result for him. Even so far. Let’s see how it pans out after tomorrow. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

On one hand he is only 2 shots above the last place. On the other hand he is tied with Luke Donald.

I feel like if he keeps getting these sponsors exemptions he will eventually post something decent, and it would be a pretty cool story for him to make a cut. It's a good example of how far scratch golfers are from tour players. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.




  • Want to join this community?

    We'd love to have you!

    Sign Up
  • 2019 TST Partners

    PING Golf
    FlightScope Mevo
  • Posts

    • That may be true, but the average amateur is unlikely to be better than 45% from a 140 yards.  And the pro can probably hit the same club or at worst one iron longer from the 200 yards in.  Most amateurs are hitting like an 8 iron or so from 140 and the pro can probably manage with a 7 iron from 200.  The pro is definitely better with a 7 iron than an amateur with an 8 iron. The reason the pro is better from 140 than 200 is probably because they are hitting a PW rather than say a 7 iron
    • You see this in other sports.   Anybody can coach great talent but it takes a good coach to get the best out of each and every player.
    • I may be a bit unfair to these coaches so I’ll admit that up front. But what I tend to believe is that many of these coaches that ‘got their name in the lights’ really lucked into it for the most part. They’ve taught hundreds of people before and nobody knew who they were. Now that definitely doesn’t define their level of quality. Not at all. But when a coach happens to score a player who is super talented and has the ‘it’ factor I can’t help believe that player was going to make waves regardless of his coach. Hank Haney got the majority of his notoriety from coaching Tiger. So did Sean Foley as did McCormick from Spieth. From the years of being on this thread I firmly believe Erik is every bit as good and better (Hank Haney) than these guys. I will agree that McCormick is a good coach as I’ve been told this by respectable people who are in the know. I just don’t think he’s anything so special that Spieth needs to remain with him.  At least not now. He needs renovation, not tweaking. I’d never heard of him before Spieth came to the stage and now he’s on commercials and pumps out dvd’s as an all time best instructor.  I think the talent of these golfers played a much bigger role in their success than the coaching they received from these guys. Just my opinion.
    • You know what I'm talking about.  That hole that eats your lunch every time you face it.  It may not even be a tough hole, but for some reason you can't seem to score well.   Mine is the opening hole on the Gold Course at Martin County Golf and Country Club.  It's a long par 5 dogleg left.  There's water halfway down, huge greenside bunkers, and several well-placed trees to punish any attempt at cutting the corner off the tee.  The rough slopes away steeply the whole way down the right side, often kicking your ball into the woods.  A bogey is my standard score.  I feel like I'm automatically going to be down a stroke right out of the gate. I've been playing that course since I was 12.  I'm 42 now.  Today, I reached the green in two for the first time in my life, then made birdie.  I couldn't believe it! Below are some short vids of me on my way to finally conquering this beast.  I'd love to hear about your trials with your nemesis hole.   And then the 3-wood, high draw to the green:    
  • TST Blog Entries

  • Blog Entries

  • Today's Birthdays

    1. 3PuttsAsUsual
      3PuttsAsUsual
      (48 years old)
    2. Big_in_Belgium
      Big_in_Belgium
      (40 years old)
    3. Finman
      Finman
      (26 years old)

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

Welcome to TST! Signing up is free, and you'll see fewer ads and can talk with fellow golf enthusiasts! By using TST, you agree to our Terms of Use, our Privacy Policy, and our Guidelines.

The popup will be closed in 10 seconds...