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Tony Romo Playing in the Byron Nelson - How Will He Fare?

Big C

By Big C,
in Tour Talk

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Will Tony Romo Impress, Embarrass, or something in between?  

34 members have voted

  1. 1. What will be the lower of Tony Romo's Thursday & Friday Scores

    • Impress (Even Par 72 or lower)
      4
    • Embarrass (78 or higher)
      9
    • Somewhere in between (73-77)
      21

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onthehunt526 Super Member

onthehunt526

It depends. I think he possibly could break par in one of his rounds. He makes the cut, that would be great. Hell I'll eat my hat if he finishes 4 rounds.

What's in Shane's Bag?     

Ball: 2022 :callaway: Chrome Soft Triple Track Driver: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond 8° MCA Kai’li 70s FW: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond  H: :callaway: Apex Pro 21 20°I (3-PW) :callaway: Apex 21 UST Recoil 95 (3), Recoil 110 (4-PW). Wedges: :callaway: Jaws Raw 50°, 54°, 60° UST Recoil 110 Putter: :odyssey: Tri-Hot 5K Triple Wide 35”

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David in FL
David in FL

Close to DFL.  

iacas
iacas

The sponsor invitations don't take a place from anyone - sponsors get to invite whomever they like, with no criteria for anyone having "earned" it. Often they'll give them to older players they h

Big C
Big C

Romo is 2 under through the first round of the Safeway Open. I knew he had more game then most celebrity golfers but even so, I’m pretty damn impressed.

turtleback Super Member

turtleback

15 hours ago, ChrisP said:

Gotcha. Was just curious. Wasn’t sure if he qualified or if it was invite or some other reason. Just read the article. I wish him luck. Should be good for attendance and interest.

Huh??

The very first line in the OP said sponsor's exemption, and YOUR OWN message said he got a special invitation, and now you say the bolded portion?

But then again, what the hell do I know?

Rich - in name only

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chspeed Great Member

chspeed

(edited)
9 hours ago, Patch said:

I have him at 8K to 1. Last I looked he is now 10K to 1. I was there betting off the Rockets/Warriors series and saw it on the board. Figured what heck, why not.

Because you might as well throw your money away. My guess is that calculated odds are a lot worse (100,000 to 1?), and that it's 10k to 1 because he's a fan favorite. He has almost no chance.

Edited by chspeed
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p1n9183 Great Member

p1n9183

Bad bet! I take it against you!
He´s not even making the cut. I guess his better round would be around 75. 

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Patch Incredible Member

Patch

45 minutes ago, p1n9183 said:

Bad bet! I take it against you!
He´s not even making the cut. I guess his better round would be around 75. 

Of course it's a bad bet. Most bets by the public at a sports book are bad bets, since the sports books rarely make a mistakes. These casinos don't stay in business very long by paying out to a majority of winners. 

A few things though. One, it's a novelty item. He's a personality. I have a coupon with Romo's name on it. Maybe some day, by chance, I can get him to autograph it. 

The second is that I mentioned I was there to "bet off" the Rockets/Warriors nba series. Regardless of how that series turns out, the worst that can happen is I will all most break even, which also includes that $20 Romo bet. 

In My Bag:
A whole bunch of Tour Edge golf stuff...... :beer:

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chspeed Great Member

chspeed

(edited)
37 minutes ago, Patch said:

Of course it's a bad bet. Most bets by the public at a sports book are bad bets, since the sports books rarely make a mistakes. These casinos don't stay in business very long by paying out to a majority of winners. 

That's not how it works. They make money on the vig (basically a surcharge on your bet). They don't care who wins. Their goal is to have equal bets on both sides and stay out of it altogether.

Sometimes, when there's not a lot of action on a bet, but some people want it, they'll just throw up a bad bet. That's probably the case here.

1 hour ago, p1n9183 said:

Bad bet! I take it against you!
He´s not even making the cut. I guess his better round would be around 75. 

Fanduel has the odds at 100k:1, which makes a bit more sense.

Corales-Puntacana-Resort--Club-Champions

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Tony Romo's Odds to Win AT&T Byron Nelson Tournament Are Insane

sane Cover Photo: Getty Images Tony Romo was once a Pro-Bowl quarterback. He's now an entertaining color commentator and a scratch...

 

Edited by chspeed
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iacas Hall of Fame Member

iacas

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1 minute ago, chspeed said:

That's actually not how it works. They make money on the vig (basically a surcharge on your bet). They don't care who wins. Their goal is to have equal bets on both sides and stay out of it altogether.

That's also not how it actually works.

Casinos gamble all the time. They don't try to have "equal bets on both sides." Common - and incorrect - myth.

Erik J. Barzeski — ⛳ I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • Author, Lowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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chspeed Great Member

chspeed

1 minute ago, iacas said:

That's also not how it actually works.

Casinos gamble all the time. They don't try to have "equal bets on both sides." Common - and incorrect - myth.

Really? Please state your source. I'd like to understand that business model a little better.

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iacas Hall of Fame Member

iacas

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7 minutes ago, chspeed said:

Really? Please state your source. I'd like to understand that business model a little better.

Research it yourself. You'll see. They're all making more than the vig.

Erik J. Barzeski — ⛳ I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • Author, Lowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

Check Out: New Topics | TST Blog | Golf Terms | Instructional Content | Analyzr | LSW | Instructional Droplets

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chspeed Great Member

chspeed

(edited)
31 minutes ago, iacas said:

Research it yourself. You'll see. They're all making more than the vig.

Just did, wasn't easy to find, but I did find this article in the Times a while ago. It's an old article, but explains how they go about maximizing profit on bets when people aren't rational. Thanks for pointing this out.

Just being a bit nit-picky here, but I wouldn't call what they're doing gambling (at least not in the described method), it's more like sophisticated sportbook arbitrage.

 

spacer.png

6554b6be8c0d829a8bf63ae0c82cf121_link.pn Dissecting the Line - The New York Times

Stephen J Dubner and Steven D Levitt The Wager column discusses intricacies of betting on Super Bowl game; graph; photo (M)

 

Edited by chspeed
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criley4way Dedicated Member

criley4way

52 minutes ago, iacas said:

That's also not how it actually works.

Casinos gamble all the time. They don't try to have "equal bets on both sides." Common - and incorrect - myth.

That is true but as we all know the Odds or line will change as money stacks on one side or the other. The house wants to make money. They try to set a smart line but they do not like having too much exposure on either side. Odds on gambling are insurance for the casino. They try to make sure that they make money.

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iacas Hall of Fame Member

iacas

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51 minutes ago, criley4way said:

That is true but as we all know the Odds or line will change as money stacks on one side or the other. The house wants to make money. They try to set a smart line but they do not like having too much exposure on either side. Odds on gambling are insurance for the casino. They try to make sure that they make money.

I think you’d be surprised.

Erik J. Barzeski — ⛳ I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • Author, Lowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

Check Out: New Topics | TST Blog | Golf Terms | Instructional Content | Analyzr | LSW | Instructional Droplets

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David in FL Incredible Member

David in FL

Romo birdies #1.  Saves a good par 3 on 2....

In David's bag....

Driver: Titleist 910 D-3;  9.5* Diamana Kai'li
3-Wood: Titleist 910F;  15* Diamana Kai'li
Hybrids: Titleist 910H 19* and 21* Diamana Kai'li
Irons: Titleist 695cb 5-Pw
Wedges: Scratch 51-11 TNC grind, Vokey SM-5's;  56-14 F grind and 60-11 K grind
Putter: Scotty Cameron Kombi S
Ball: ProV1

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Big C Great Member

Big C

  • Author
7 minutes ago, David in FL said:

Romo birdies #1.  Saves a good par 3 on 2....

Starting out strong. I'm not a big gambler, but I was curious to see what some of the betting sites had predicted for Romo. One of them had the over/under on his first round at 75.5. I'm a little disappointed that I didn't check earlier. I would have been willing to wager a modest sum on the "under" there. 

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Shindig Incredible Member

Shindig

Eagle on 7, despite a bogey on 5.    Two under through seven holes, still in the running for the "no sixes" badge on this round too.

-- Michael | My swing! 

"You think you're Jim Furyk. That's why your phone is never charged." - message from my mother

Driver:  Titleist 915D2.  4-wood:  Titleist 917F2.  Titleist TS2 19 degree hybrid.  Another hybrid in here too.  Irons 5-U, Ping G400.  Wedges negotiable (currently 54 degree Cleveland, 58 degree Titleist) Edel putter. 

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David in FL Incredible Member

David in FL

And gives it back with a double (6) on 9...

 

In David's bag....

Driver: Titleist 910 D-3;  9.5* Diamana Kai'li
3-Wood: Titleist 910F;  15* Diamana Kai'li
Hybrids: Titleist 910H 19* and 21* Diamana Kai'li
Irons: Titleist 695cb 5-Pw
Wedges: Scratch 51-11 TNC grind, Vokey SM-5's;  56-14 F grind and 60-11 K grind
Putter: Scotty Cameron Kombi S
Ball: ProV1

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Ty_Webb Great Member

Ty_Webb

To be honest I’d say anything better than DFL would be a decent result for him. Even so far. Let’s see how it pans out after tomorrow. 

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jshots Great Member

jshots

On one hand he is only 2 shots above the last place. On the other hand he is tied with Luke Donald.

I feel like if he keeps getting these sponsors exemptions he will eventually post something decent, and it would be a pretty cool story for him to make a cut. It's a good example of how far scratch golfers are from tour players. 

:whistle:

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