I'm wondering what people are doing out there regarding the setup for a 3rd shot. Here's the scenario:
400 yd. hole. Driver is hit 210 and in the fairway. Now what:
1 try to make the green with a 3h, but often when the ball travels 170+ it starts to fade or hook a little, with a potential of winding up in the greenside bunker.
2 try to get to 90y, and use my favorite club in the bag (GW) to make the green in 3.
3 use something in-between like a 7h and wind up maybe 40/30y from the green for an easy chip and run
why the dilemma:
#1 seems a shame to waste an opportunity to get on the green in 2. But, do the bunkers as a percentage hurt worse than resigning myself to 3 onto the green?
#2 yes, the GW is my favorite club, but 90y is still 90y. If I hit that shot 10 times, would it be on the green as often as a LW or pitch and run from 30y. Also, will a 30y pitch and run be closer to the pin than a 90y GW?
#3 a LW or pitch and run from 30y will likely get on the green. But, that means I'm on in 3, rather than being on in 2 if I choose option #1.
percentage wise, I think #3 is a better option than #2, and with a 7h, the bunker is no longer in play. Also, the 7h doesn't need to go straight. It just needs to go somewhat straight for 150y. With the GW at 90y, while it is a more controllable club (in terms of going straight), it better go straight or there's a chance of being in the bunker.
How do some of you think through this scenario?