JB Holmes - Strategy on 18 at Torrey Pines

[Golfingdad]

2 minutes ago, iacas said:

It doesn't matter that much, because it's a small sample size either way you look at it.

The odds were better of holing his third if his third was played from on or near the green than 100 yards out.

Exactly.

 

1 minute ago, klineka said:

According to the course stats section from ESPN, there were 0 eagles made on 18 on the south course during the entire tournament

http://www.espn.com/golf/leaderboard?tournamentId=3746

Sure, but Justin Rose holed out from the back fringe for birdie and there were several people who hit the green (and were closer to the hole than Rose) with their second, including, I believe, Alex Noren a couple of times.  So while nobody actually made eagle, there were many who put themselves in a position to do so.  J.B. Holmes was not one of those players.

 

50 minutes ago, rehmwa said:

Everyone forgets poor Ryan Palmer just because he didn't play 6 playoff holes.....

 

Yup, let's go with that.  I definitely forgot about Palmer.  Since I'm an engineer and good with math, there is no chance that I remembered Palmer and then subsequently came to the conclusion that 3 +1 = 3.  That couldn't happen. 

[GolfLug]

I will chime in with others. Don't think he was playing for best runner up. That's a bit unfair. But definitely poor decision making as far as what gave him best odds of making eagle.

Maybe there weren't any eagles that week on 18th but why would that matter? There were chip ins and putts made from green and around green, no?  

He definitely robbed himself the small chance that he would be within gimme range or 8-10 feet which would have increased his odds of eagle greatly. 

[mvmac]

21 hours ago, iacas said:

It's more likely he'd have holed a chip, pitch, or putt than hole out from 100 yards,

Yep like this guy.