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jsgolfer

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Everything posted by jsgolfer

  1. The problem is that the 3.9% fatality rate (in the article) is based on the number of cases and number of deaths. In reality, the numbers will be much lower than 3.9%. I think there are far more people who have had the Coronavirus than have been tested confirmed. So the number of people who have had it and thought it was just the flu is well under-reported. I remember reading or hearing a report that somewhere around 82% of the people who get the Coronavirus get a mild case and wouldn't think it was anything other than the normal flu. And the people most susceptible, are the elderly and especially the elderly with underlying conditions, such as emphysema or other respiratory issues, a lot frmo smoking ). I think these are the vast majority of the cases in Italy (very old population and lots of smokers) The number of coronavirus cases confirmed in the US as a percent of the number of flu cases confirmed in the US now stand at 4.2% (9,464/222,522). The percent of deaths from the coronavirus to deaths from the flu is 0.7% (155/22,000). This Is How Many People Die From the Flu Each Year Find out how many people die from the flu every year, and how this year's flu deaths compare to the death toll of previous seasons. The CDC also estimates that up to 31 million Americans have caught the flu this season (2019), with 210,000 to 370,000 flu sufferers hospitalized because of the virus. So how do these numbers compare to flu deaths in previous years? So far, it looks like the 2019-2020 death toll won’t be as high as it was in the 2017-2018 season, when 61,000 deaths were linked to the virus. However, it could equal or surpass the 2018-2019 season's 34,200 flu-related deaths. Overall, the CDC estimates that 12,000 and 61,000 deaths annually since 2010 can be blamed on the flu. Globally, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates that the flu kills 290,000 to 650,000 people per year. US flu still elevated but dropping; deaths as high as 57,000 | CIDRAP Flu has sickened an estimated 36 million to 41 million people and hospitalized up to 610,000. Levels of influenza-like illness (ILI) in the United States remain elevated for the 21st consecutive week—the longest season in recent years—but the disease is on the decline, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said today in its weekly update. Still, the agency says influenza has caused up to 57,300 deaths and sickened up to 41.3 million people, according to new estimates. And the CDC reported five new flu-related deaths in children, raising the total confirmed this season to 91. Estimating clinical severity of COVID-19 from the transmission dynamic An estimation of the clinical severity of COVID-19, based on the data available so far, can help to inform the public health response during the... As of 29 February 2020 there were 79,394 confirmed cases and 2,838 deaths from COVID-19 in mainland China. Of these, 48,557 cases and 2,169 deaths occurred in the epicenter, Wuhan. A key public health priority during the emergence of a novel pathogen is estimating clinical severity, which requires properly adjusting for the case ascertainment rate and the delay between symptoms onset and death. Using public and published information, we estimate that the overall symptomatic case fatality risk (the probability of dying after developing symptoms) of COVID-19 in Wuhan was 1.4% (0.9–2.1%), which is substantially lower than both the corresponding crude or naïve confirmed case fatality risk (2,169/48,557 = 4.5%) and the approximator1 of deaths/deaths + recoveries (2,169/2,169 + 17,572 = 11%) as of 29 February 2020. Compared to those aged 30–59 years, those aged below 30 and above 59 years were 0.6 (0.3–1.1) and 5.1 (4.2–6.1) times more likely to die after developing symptoms. The risk of symptomatic infection increased with age (for example, at ~4% per year among adults aged 30–60 years). So you can put me in the camp with @David in FL, so unless we have an explosion of deaths and infections here shortly, this will be far less than the normal year death toll from the common flu. And I still do not know of one person who has had the Coronavirus, nor does anyone I know, know of anyone who has had it.
  2. Going to Savannah in April and staying at the Landings on Skidaway Island. They have 6 courses, Deer Creek is the host of a Korn Ferry event while I'm there. But any recommendations on the other five courses? Marshwood - Arnold Palmer 1974 Magnolia - Arnold Palmer 1977 Plantation - William Byrd 1982 Palmetto - Arthur Hills 1985 Oak Ridge - Arthur Hills 1988 Thanks for any suggestions.
  3. Yes, that match was a blast. You couldn't have left me with an easier putt - 4 feet straight up the hill.
  4. Mine dropped two-tenths as well, 8.1 to 7.9
  5. 67 twice, but it was back in the 90's. Bangor Municipal Golf Course (Bangor ME) 37-30-67 - The 6 under for 9 was my best 9 ever (2 eagles, 2 birdies and 5 pars) and I also double bogeyed 1. Goodwin Park Golf Course (Hartford CT) - 34-33-67
  6. And you or a loved one could get killed by someone running a red light, making sudden lane changes at a high rate of speed, texting, falling asleep at the wheel or a myriad of other distractions. If your loved one died due to these would it not be as tragic, or is it only if alcohol is somehow involved, then it makes it worse? +1 - Once emotions get in anything bad laws are sure to follow. Auto crashes may be the biggest threat to children, but that wouldn’t be from drunk drivers killing them. Lots of innocent people get killed in auto crashes every year, not all are killed by drunk drivers. I’ll pose a question to all who said yes to the post, if all drunk driving fatalities are unavoidable if the person who is drunk didn’t drive, why are there any other traffic fatalities? Obviously if you haven’t been drinking you should never get in an accident? I don’t agree that it will save that many lives. I believe there are something like 6,000 traffic fatalities during sunrise and sunset, when visibility is poor. Why don’t we ban driving during these times? You’re 61% number is incorrect. And I posted this on another thread a couple of years ago and @iacas mentioned it already, but I’ll go ever further then he did, not only are more than 50% of all alcohol-related fatalities a single car crash, killing the driver and occupants with them, but not all alcohol-related fatalities mean that the person driving was impaired. An alcohol-related fatality is if anyone in the car has alcohol in their system. So a Designated Driver could be in a traffic fatality with 3 drunk passengers and this is 4 people involved in an alcohol-related fatality. Or you could have a beer and some dope runs the red light hitting you and causing a fatality, but you being a driver and having alcohol in your system are probably going to be the one who goes to jail. I’m glad you’ll accept the inconvenience, I’m not.Plus you’re not going to phase out all older cars in 15 years. Sorry for your loss, but same question as before, would you feel any different if it was a red light runner that caused the same pain? Not to be callous, just what is the difference. As stated before, more than 50% of the 10,000 are the drivers of the vehicles. Et tu Brute.... + A Bunch...... + A bunch More... No, my vote would not change in the least. Most people that cause alcohol-related fatalities are people with BAC around 0.15, almost twice the legal limit. With as many Bars, wineries, distilleries, breweries, restaurants and how prevalent alcohol is, it’s amazing how safe it is on the roads or is it really becasue it’s not as much of a threat as the media and the government make it out to be. I think @Pretzel said it great, emotions = bad laws.
  7. I've played them in the green keepers revenge tournament before, they are fine in that instance. Usually on some ridiculous slope so that you need the larger cup to have a chance to make it.
  8. When I was in SD, both of the ClubCorp course allowed fivesomes to play. However, the caveat was that they had to keep up with the group in front of them or play in under 4 hours. Any group that did not do that, would not be allowed to play as a fivesome again. My threesome followed a fivesome and we didn't wait for them hardly at all. They were really fast, I thought we would catch them and only did towards the end when they were waiting for the group ahead of them. But we played in under 3:45 hours. So no problem with fivesomes at a private course.
  9. Damn, I actually won this week. Guess it helps to pick the winner.
  10. Just signed up again, after missing last year
  11. Another decent round today at Shadowridge. Didn’t hit the driver quite as good but good enough to shoot about the same score. 38-39-77 2 birdies 7 bogeys and 9 pars, only 1 3-putt but had a 6 on a par 5 today, ugh. Did play blue tees today. Another great day in San Diego. 👍
  12. Best round of the year yesterday at Shadowridge Golf Club in Carlsbad. Might have finally solved my swing issues with the driver. 39-37-76 No Sixes Round No doubles 2 birdies 6 bogeys and 10 pars Only bad was 2 three putts for bogey.
  13. The vengeful spirit IPA was probably my favorite, and the 23rd anniversary IPA was very good. I also had a Millennial Decay IPA which. Was good too. So many beers to try.
  14. Played Bernardo Heights CC yesterday. 40-40-80 3 doubles 4 birdies 5 pars 6 bogeys nice course, onto Shadowridge today. Weather is nice, and beer at Stone Brewing was great too!
  15. I’ll be in SD this afternoon, will be playing some golf Friday-Monday, as well as hitting a few breweries. My buddy and I are playing a few of the ClubCorp courses. Friday - Bernardo Heights CC Saturday - Shadowridge GC Sunday - Shadowridge GC Monday - Morgan Run (Have played this one before a few years ago.)
  16. Have been playing like crap all year, finally had a good round in our Interclub B-Team playoff match, plus my partner and i won the match by 7 points and the team won by 2 points. So all and all a good day. 39-38-77
  17. It’s all money based as far as I know, so I have to pick the winner in order to move up.
  18. I'm in a golf pool where you can only pick a player once during the year. Out of the 30 players in the tournament, I haven't picked these guys during the year. Reed starts out the best, so I'm leaning towards him. Although Adam Scott, Gary Woodland or Webb Simpson, might also be a play. Although Woodland hasn't been playing well recently and Adam and Webb haven't won this year. Thoughts? Start Abraham Ancer 4 under Adam Scott 3 under Bryson DeChambeau Even Chez Reavie 1 under Corey Conners 1 under Gary Woodland 3 under Jason Kokrak Even Kevin Kisner 2 under Lucas Glover Even Marc Leishman 1 under Patrick Reed 6 under Webb Simpson 4 under
  19. So, I was wrong, we actually pick from the green, white and gold tees. So we play the two front tees and the back tees. Not sure many holes will change but maybe a couple. @billchao and @DaveP043 ,as you guys just played here Sunday (and saw my awful golf game) any additional thoughts?
  20. Great time it was, although the golf games weren't up to par though for any of us, except MaryAnne. It was pretty much perfect weather this weekend to play. That time back in April of 2016 was ridiculously cold.
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