After thinking about it for a few years, I've finally joined a local golf club. My goal is to par every hole this year; I'll be tracking it in the spreadsheet. I think it's definitely more interesting as a single course rather than a composite, so this should be fun!
Nearly two years later...I haven't practiced once. I've been playing a lot, and enjoying it, but just haven't really thought about working on my swing to actually get better until the past couple weeks. Honestly, it's been inspired a little by "teaching" a couple brand-new golfers to play, and seeing (and helping) them try to get better.
I've scheduled a lesson with @iacas in Erie...I'm planning on actually getting back in the habit of improvement. We'll see how it goes.
I know this thread isn’t based on statistics, but this kind of logic doesn’t work when applied to a single specific case.
First of all, these aren’t independent events, like a coin flip. You can’t just multiply the odds.
Second, we are only discussing this case BECAUSE it’s unusual. If something (“Team X wins 21 times in a row”) has a one-in-a-million shot at happening, but there are many similar events, it’s much more likely to happen at any ONE of them.
To be clear, I don’t have an opinion either way about this specific Club, but the statistical arguments based on random independent events don’t have any relevance.