Yeah I usually to be safe calculate carry distance with my slight mishit carry distances as I definitely don't sweet spot it every time LOL. Only way I would go for this is if it's downwind and super down hill.
Interesting on the tour stats from 50-75. Indoor on a sim I can get tour average numbers, and I'm pretty surprised that it doesn't really correlate to winning. So since it doesn't correlate to scoring (winning), there's really no purpose to hit it to there versus 110. Basically from there I'm missing by 5 yards, and from 110 I'm missing by 10-15 yards. Could be a difference between 1-2 putts versus 2-3 putts for me, so there's a stroke difference. The bunker could negate the stroke, probably adding one stroke. However there is only a 30 pct chance i hit the bunker, so I'm still net up 0.7 strokes. Is that right? So after further review I'm taking a driver and going for it.