I would say that Ogilvy will be a real contender, but his style of play fits open-ish, straight shot golf courses. He could be hot coming into Augusta, but a win isn't likely. He is more fit to win the US Open this year, as every year, hitting it long, straight, and high in the air.
My Dark Horse: Paul Casey. When he is hot, he's hot. The match play showed that he doesn't blow up on many holes and can go low, but he has been inconsistent on the PGA Tour. He has very solid finishes the last two years at T11 and T10.
Contenders: My contenders are three very solid guys and really they could fit the Dark Horse in many ways. My first is Brandt Snedeker. Awesome in all majors last year and a really sad story about losing it on Sunday last year. Gotta root for him. Justin Rose has been a favorite player of mine, but his game really suffered last year with injury. He is always fun to watch, but he needs to play well to win come Sunday. Last, of course, is Philly Mick. If he can play with any sort of consistency, it's his. He has the talent, but he has to be consistent, and with his ridiculous 9 of last 10 top ten's and 6 of 10 top 5 he is the only man to beat...
*Winner*: Tiger Woods (?) The man is the best golfer to walk the face of the earth. It you doubt him, you will fail. Let's see, he has won it 4 times, 3 of the last 10 times and has only finished outside of the top 5 twice in those years because of "off years." This week at Doral will set the tone going into Augusta, but if he wins and regains the confidence he has always had, there is no doubt who will win this year. Welcome back, Tiger, welcome back.