Who Will Win The 2015 Masters? Mark Broadie's Stats Model Knows [Golf Magazine]

[nevets88]

http://www.golf.com/tour-and-news/who-will-win-the-2015-masters-numbers-say-adam-scott-rory-mcIlroy-bubba-watson

Shotlink not used at AGNC? I wonder why.

With the season's first major upon us, I thought it would be interesting to develop a statistical model to predict the Masters winner. And why not? Netflix predicts movies you might like based on your viewing habits, and online music-streaming station Pandora suggests songs to match your listening habits. Sounds straightforward, right? Unfortunately, ShotLink isn't used at the Masters, so I can't look at Augusta-specific Strokes Gained data to assess how a player will perform there. That means I'm limited to using stats from the PGA Tour season and from past Masters finishes.

PLAYERS MOST LIKELY TO WIN THE MASTERS

(Based on Strokes Gained and previous Masters performances)

1 Adam Scott

2 Rory McIlroy

3 Bubba Watson

4 Matt Kuchar

5 Sergio Garcia

6 Jim Furyk

7 Jason Day

8 Justin Rose

9 Charl Schwartzel

10 Jordan Spieth

[boogielicious]

http://www.golf.com/tour-and-news/who-will-win-the-2015-masters-numbers-say-adam-scott-rory-mcIlroy-bubba-watson

Shotlink not used at AGNC? I wonder why.

Quote:

With the season's first major upon us, I thought it would be interesting to develop a statistical model to predict the Masters winner. And why not? Netflix predicts movies you might like based on your viewing habits, and online music-streaming station Pandora suggests songs to match your listening habits. Sounds straightforward, right? Unfortunately, ShotLink isn't used at the Masters, so I can't look at Augusta-specific Strokes Gained data to assess how a player will perform there. That means I'm limited to using stats from the PGA Tour season and from past Masters finishes.

PLAYERS MOST LIKELY TO WIN THE MASTERS

(Based on Strokes Gained and previous Masters performances)

1 Adam Scott

2 Rory McIlroy

3 Bubba Watson

4 Matt Kuchar

5 Sergio Garcia

6 Jim Furyk

7 Jason Day

8 Justin Rose

9 Charl Schwartzel

10 Jordan Spieth

They probably wouldn't pay the hefty fee.

[Golfingdad]

Pretty surprised to not see DJ on the list at all.  Maybe this is why:

Year             Finish

------------------------------

2009              T30

2010              T38

2011              T38

2012              DNP

2013              T13

2014              CUT

[iacas]

Shotlink not used at AGNC? I wonder why.

I'm sure you can figure out why. They need towers, machinery for accurately positioning things, etc. And the volunteers and people to man them.

[Golfingdad]

I'm sure you can figure out why. They need towers, machinery for accurately positioning things, etc. And the volunteers and people to man them.

I volunteer.

[nevets88]

Quote:

Originally Posted by nevets88

Shotlink not used at AGNC? I wonder why.

I'm sure you can figure out why. They need towers, machinery for accurately positioning things, etc. And the volunteers and people to man them.

I wouldn't have if you didn't tell me. But after looking it up, holy sh*t, it's a logistical monster.

http://www.shotlink.com/Tour/WebTemplate/shotlink.nsf/vwMainDisplay2/Background?openDocument

http://www.shotlink.com/Tour/WebTemplate/shotlink.nsf/vwMainDisplay2/LEDScoreboards?openDocument

http://www.shotlink.com/Tour/WebTemplate/shotlink.nsf/vwMainDisplay2/PGAT-PowerRequirements?openDocument

http://www.shotlink.com/Tour/WebTemplate/shotlink.nsf/vwMainDisplay2/PGAT-PhoneLines?opendocument

http://www.shotlink.com/Tour/WebTemplate/shotlink.nsf/vwMainDisplay2/PGAT-VolunteerNeeds?openDocument

http://www.shotlink.com/Tour/WebTemplate/shotlink.nsf/vwMainDisplay2/PGAT-Trucks?openDocument

[3putter]

Ryan Palmer is my guy