criley4way
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Everything posted by criley4way
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And many people lacking background, experience and context mistake information for understanding. Great that you don’t get the flu shot. Flu is not airborne transmissible the way SARS COVID-2 is. Most strains of flu are far less contagious and less lethal than this COVID. The flu virus comes in dozens of different strains which are slightly to significantly cross protective. COVID-2 has 1 strain with multiple variants and the vaccines are highly effective against all variants. I understand that facts are not going to persuade you to change your mind. But state your case honestly and truthfully. This combination of changing rationale and facts out of context is or at least should be the realm of politicians and advertisements not adult debate. No laws do as do social contracts. Public health overrules religious freedom. If your religious beliefs put others in danger they are not protected.
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This is really a major reason to get the vaccine. Were COVID primarily a threat to the individual I wouldn’t care, however until this virus is at an extremely low level community spread present a risk to everyone. You might be fine but you can transmit to someone at risk.
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We have a fairly good idea if there was a strong immune response generated. Agree this is not commonly available like a pertussis titer. But the data clearly exists based on the ongoing follow up studies. So it might not be perfect but you could get an insight.
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In general immune response from the vaccine occurs 12-24 hr after and is typically stronger for the 2nd dose. Please be careful. Immunosuppressants can reduce the effectiveness of the vaccine. If you are able try and get an antibody titer. Not only flu but also colds. Not having kids in daycare or school, not being in offices, stronger hand hygiene and masks make a big difference
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If you have 2 clubs with the same distance you have 2 tools doing the same thing. Why not choose 1 and fill another need? -
Sort of but the focus is on the quality of shot vs outcome and it is a relative scale.
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Agree! Hard and fast don’t have to go together. My thought is you should swing “as hard” as you can while maintaining good control for the shot. Yes that is vague. There is a point where sequence becomes erratic and a point where shape and contact become noticeably more predictable. somewhere between those 2 points is the optimal balance for you to score and what that feels like is unique to the golfer. For me it is as hard as I can while feeling like the club stays in front of my chest. That is not what the swing looks like or is but hat is the feel for me. As soon as I swing harder than that feel contact, face to path and low point suffer.
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I have done this in the past with a 1-3 or 1-5 grade. 1 is shot lost or requires an amazing recovery due to a poor swing, 2 maybe a shot due to a bad spot due to the direction and/or shape, because the shot was not what you planned (a double cross) or terrible contact (thinned or fat), 3 is acceptable outcome general shape was right, contact was ok to good, 4 is good contact he shot you planned but not great, 5 is exactly what you imagined it terms of distance, reaction, shape and contact. Add to that distance and club.
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This not an abstract discussion. First find out how far you hit the last club in your irons, next look at the highest lofted wedge you hit well and can use. One the top end of your bag see what the gaps look like from driver to your longest iron. Those are the ranges you need to fill and the number of slots you have in the bag. Once you have the ranges data should tell you where you need the most help and if a hybrid will be more useful and save more shots than having smaller gaps for the wedges. With a traditional set I had PW-3 and 56, driver 3 and 5w/hyb and a hybrid. Current modern set for me has a 48, 52, 56 wedge, driver, 3 w, 3 hyb. with new short irons (split set) I am evaluating data to see if I need to go 46, 50, 54, 58 and maybe drop the hybrid. all about strokes gained. If you only use the club 1 time every other round it might not be worth it.
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Comparing the COVID vaccine to the Flu vaccine is not correct. We get yearly flu vaccines because we are predicting the specific stains that will be likely. People can be infected because they get a non-covered strain or due to incomplete protection. For SARS COV-2 there is 1 strain (now with several variants). It is much more like a Measles vaccine than a flu vaccine. If we need boosters remains to be seen due to incomplete data about the length of protection.
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Were this a new vector for the vaccine I would be concerned but this technology is not new. Granted there has not been a successful vaccine until COVID but clinical trials have been done using the technique since the early 2010s. And compared to the current impact of virus it seems like reasonable choice. One must also remember that part of the reason that this trial was completed so quickly was the speed at which they were able to enroll participants and the speed with which statistically significant numbers of people in the control group were diagnosed with the virus. This is not normally the case. It often takes years to get sufficient numbers of volunteers and that long for enough potential exposures to demonstrate efficacy. Fewer exposure opportunities since most people are masked and not gathering. Keep in mind that there are 4-5 other vaccines in phase III trials. some of the other candidates use different technologies that may have fewer allergic responses. By spring I expect that there will be more options
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Thank you. I don't always agree with you but I certainly respect you, your opinion and integrity.
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For Sturgis postulating that the transmission was due to bars (which I believe were outside) and hotels and not the rally outside is only possible that the transmission did not occur due to the inside portion of the event. And while I agree that each of the outdoor rallies in isolation is a weak correlation to the increase in infections during the following weeks, with multiple events in unique areas it strongly supports the notion that the rallies were a probable cause.
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Problem with this statement is you are asking to prove a negative which is extremely difficult if not impossible in most cases. Does the Stanford data meet the ask https://sebotero.github.io/papers/COVIDrallies_10_30_2000.pdf
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The benefit of being outdoors does not negate the impact of not wearing masks and not socially distancing in crowds. It is an odds game. Un masked in a small room for 60 min. Probability that either person is positive and infectious x the probability of transmission. Masked reduces that probability by 95%. Reducing the time reduces it. Being in a large space reduces it. Being outdoors reduces it. But if there are 50 people you come into contact with it goes up. Nothing is a guarantee to get it (if I recall transmission between 2 people unmasked in the same home is 50%). And nothing is perfect protection except isolation.
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Yes Sturgis, The Ozarks 4th of July event, some Labor day events in Michigan (can't recall the lake in the southwest), political rallies.
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The viral inoculation load is a key gap in our knowledge base for testing and policy. I struggle with test interpretation not knowing at what level a test should be positive since the question is not if the virus is present but rather: A. if the illness is caused by COVID-19 and if the person is infectious. Something I think about daily.
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Touching your mask will have minimal effect. the Virus is rarely transferred by surface contact. Cleaning and washing hands help but is not the major mitigation, masks and social distance are. Wearing masks is the first thing, next is wearing an effective mask (neck gators don't work well, nor do bandanas or single layer cloth masks) The virus as a particle is extremely small (0.1 micron) but that is not the concern. The concern is droplets which are 1-10 microns. Most of the droplets are captured by masks. Face shields protect the wearer to some degree but have minimal benefit for everyone else, similar to the valve masks. One study I read had transmission between a known infected person and unaffected without masks <6' for 15 min without masks at 17%, if the affected person is masked it was 3% and if both were masked it was 0.5%. Not sure how those numbers were calculated. But as you point out, a properly fit mask makes a big difference. In the US vaccine distribution is likely to be a state by state process. Most experts agree that distributing the vaccine to front line health care workers is 1st priority to support the medical care system. Many agree that essential workers should be next followed by at risk individuals and finally healthy adults. But there are a ton of possible paths.
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This wave started in August but the increase is exponential and started to ramp slowly. It got a boost from Labor day parties, universities opening and parties, then another boost at Halloween. If you look at the Illinois contact tracing data, the major source of spreading is indoor dining, bars and small gatherings such as birthdays, bachelor parties, and baby showers. People are hardly "mostly wearing masks" I haven't been in one public space where I didn't have to remind someone. 80% is not enough be a long shot There are loop extenders that hook on both loops and behind your head so that the mask doesn't touch your ears
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Flipping the club up activates the tag. I believe it uses light and orientation do so. game golf or shot scope seem more certain way to register but requires effort. The pitch for Arccos is that it is “automatic”
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The mic is used to register the shot. That causes the gps to record the location.
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They are starting an arm of the study to see if it can last 5 days. I hope it works. my point still stands the logistics on a large scale is a major logistics issue if the vaccine is not stable at -20 or 4C. Not impossible but a significant challenge.
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The data is really exciting. It show there is an end in sight. Unfortunately the storage challenge is not addressed. Few medical offices, no pharmacies and only some hospitals have -80c storage. The amount of storage needed is significant. This is a realistic solution for high risk and individuals in a relatively short timeline. Nothing FedEx has is able to help with that storage. Vaccine will need to be shipped on dry ice (not a big deal). Where is the data that says the immunity is only 7 days? At 7 days one would be looking for antibodies not calculating immunity. Effectiveness should be calculated as the number of new positives in the test vs the control population. There would need to be a minimum number of positives in the control group to deem the data statistically significant and the difference in infection rate would need to also be significant. I’d like to see where the 7 days came from.
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Ohio vs. Michigan Match Play Event
criley4way replied to CarlSpackler's topic in Member Outings & Meetups
Are we not doing this this year? Bummer -
You paid a fitter to give you advice. He suggests the Mizunos and you prefer the Mizunos. They are also cheaper. so what is the question or hesitation
