What tour player is in for the biggest fall?

[Shades]

Meaning, what tour player do you think is going to fall the farthest down the money list in 2008 compared to where they finished in 2007. I've thought it might be Paul Goydos (#78 on 2007 money list) but he will be in at least 22 events next year and might not fall as much as some others.

[Shindig]

Meaning, what tour player do you think is going to fall the farthest down the money list in 2008 compared to where they finished in 2007. I've thought it might be Paul Goydos (#78 on 2007 money list) but he will be in at least 22 events next year and might not fall as much as some others.

Henrik Stenson... pretty much had one BIG victory and didn't make much noise otherwise.

And apparently Luke Donald was in the top 30 for 2007. Other than earning in excess of two million dollars, exactly what did he do in the second half of 2007, say, post-US Open? In any case... I wish these two well, and I'm quite fond of them, but I think they'll fall a bit next year.

[Alex B]

In terms of how much actually money someone might lose between '07 and '08 (not how many places on the money list), I have to go with Vijay Singh, who finished this year with $4,728,326 (3rd on the money list). Vijay had a disappointing end to the season, going T56-CUT-CUT-T60-T64-T7 in his last 6 starts (the T7 was in a 30-man field). He then posted 2.5 (of 5 possible) points for the International team in the Ryder Cup. Vijay is by no means washed up, but seems to have lost the fluidity of his swing, and his ball striking abilities have decreased. Let's say Vijay finishes 10th on the money list next year: he will have dropped ~$1.3 million (using results from 2007), about equivalent to a drop from 30th to 100th (again, using 2007).

So, because the differences in earning decrease as you move down the rankings (as shown above, a 7-place drop can be equivalent to a 70-place drop in terms of financial loss between two years), I would look for a guy who had one big tournament in 2007 and probably won't do much of anything next year.

[Terrier]

Let's think positively, people.

Rooting against players that don't (in our eyes) have enough game and will have a fall from grace is disturbing.

You pull the wings off of flies and aim at the range pinker, too?

[Shindig]

Let's think positively, people.

I'm not rooting against them. I want to see them succeed. It's just a prediction thread.

[JonnyGolf]

Meaning, what tour player do you think is going to fall the farthest down the money list in 2008 compared to where they finished in 2007. I've thought it might be Paul Goydos (#78 on 2007 money list) but he will be in at least 22 events next year and might not fall as much as some others.

Easy there, Paul's my homeboy from the LBC. Actually, that's a pretty good call. But, he'll get a good start with the Mercedes.

[Shades]

I only asked the original question because as much fun as it is to see who is going to do better next year, it should be a legit question to ask who might head south. Please don't think I'm knocking any of the guys personally.

I did like the analysis of VJ. Some very good points made. I thought the same thing about his swing too.

[Hacksaw]

...it should be a legit question to ask who might head south.

It is.

Vijay's fabulous run after his 40th birthday is over. Els, Toms, Leonard, Verplank and Calcavechia are likeable players but not immune from impending decay.