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Who will win the 107th U.S. Open at Oakmont?


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  1. 1. Who will win the 107th U.S. Open at Oakmont???

    • Tiger Woods
      13
    • Phil Mickelson
      3
    • Ernie Els
      2
    • Vijay Singh
      0
    • Someone else
      39


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Posted

I put what I thought were the favorites in the Poll but lets get the discussion started on who everyone thinks will win the 107th U.S. Open at Oakmont...I am going to be pulling for Ernie Els. The "Big Easy" !!!

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Posted
Jim Furyk. This course is going to reward whoever his the ball straight more than anything else. I'll give an outside chance of either Monty or Duval as well, if they're playing.
"Shouldn't you be going faster? I mean, you're doing 40 in a 65..."

Driver: Burner TP 9.5*
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Posted

I'm going way out on a limb here and picking a long shot to win: Sean O'Hair. I figure this pick will be good for conversation if nothing else.

O'Hair is driving the ball long and straight, a key for U.S. Open play. He's also hitting a lot of greens in regulation (30th on Tour I believe). He has had strong showings at the Players and the Memorial. Sure, his putting isn't great and there are questions as to whether he choked on the 17th at the Players, but I'm picking him anyway.

Hey, with Major championships it's can all come down to peaking at the right time (See: Michael Campbell, Todd Hamilton, Ben Curtis, Shaun Micheel, and Zach Johnson).

Yes, I know that O'Hair hasn't actually qualified yet, but I like to live dangerously!

Driver: Launcher, 10.5°
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Wedges: Vokey, 52° & 56°Putter: White Hot XG, Rossie Ball: HX HotI'm not saying my golf game went bad, but if I grew tomatoes, they'd come up sliced. ~ Lee Trevino


Posted
Any particular reason that other recent major champions weren't on the list? Specifically, can we get Geoff Oglivy and Zach Johnson onto the list?

Meanwhile, I'm thinking Ryuji Imada or Stewart Cink.

-- Michael | My swing! 

"You think you're Jim Furyk. That's why your phone is never charged." - message from my mother

Driver:  Titleist 915D2.  4-wood:  Titleist 917F2.  Titleist TS2 19 degree hybrid.  Tour Edge Exotics C723 21 degree hybrid.  Irons 5-U, Ping G400.  Wedges negotiable (currently 54 degree Cleveland, 58 degree Titleist) Edel putter. 

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Posted

Sean O'Hair is playing well right now, but then again so is Rory Sabatini. I don't know if Phil recovers in time...would like to see him compete at full strength. You always have to put Tiger in the mix, but he has been awfully buzy as noted every few minutes on the Golf Channel. It will be interesting especially that 800 yard par 3 they have now!

Looking forward to a nice Sunday afternoon of Golf on Father's Day, maybe after a morning round...oh and pancakes .

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FW: :nike: 3 (15°) & 5 (19°) Sasquatch Diamana Shaft-Stiff Flex
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Posted

I am counting on his wrist being OK.I think Phill will overcome last year and take home the hardware this year.Thank you Mr.Harmon

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Posted
I think Tiger has too much on his mind with the birth of his first child, building a golf course and sponsoring his own tournament. Phil might have wrist issues. I would put some money on Zack just because he has a great putting stroke. Especially on fast, slopey greens. He showed it at the Ryder Cup, which is great pressure, and the Masters.

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Taylor Made Rescue Dual 22 degrees (UST IROD shaft)
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Posted
I will win!!!! Just kidding, i'm picking adam scott.

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Posted
I think Zach Johnson has a real good chance, he hits the fairway and is in great control of his game...

What's in the Bag

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Posted
Players I like

Tiger Woods - No explanation needed

Adam Scott - He's playing great and it just might be his time to win a major.

Jim Furyk - When I think of US Open, Jim Furyk immediately comes to mind. Fairways and greens, a true grinder and good putter.

Retief Goosen - Another player who comes to mind when thinking of the US Open. Won twice, contended in others. Seems the worse the conditions the better chance he has. No different this year at the Masters.

Vijay Singh - Vijay can string together the pars with the best of em. His driving worries me but he may be second to Tiger at salvaging a round, something everyone will have to do at Oakmont.

Zach Johnson - Zach has taken the next step. I don't think he'll win but I can see him contending in every major this year. He's taking a step this year much like Geoff Ogilvy took last year.

Geoff Ogilvy - Gotta include the defending champ. He's got real game and his name always seems to show up in the big tournaments.

Padraig Harrington - He kinda flies under the radar these days. One of these days he'll win a big event. Was close last year.

Paul Casey - I like his game. He played well in the Open last year and if he can get off to a good start (something he has had a tough time doing this year) watch out for him.

Players I don't like

Phil Mickelson - Obviously this one could be way off but putting all the top players on the first list is just silly. Phil's wrist has to be worrisome, even though he claims it will be 100% in time for the Open (he also claims he injured it in the first place practicing at Oakmont). Also, as The Open approaches, all the talk regarding his disaster at Winged Foot will be rekindled. The wrist, a million more questions about Winged Foot along with the fact he wants it so bad might be hard to overcome. Again, I could be way off on this one.

Ernie Els - Sure he won the Open the last time at Oakmont. Problem is that was 1994 and this is 2007. Originally I had Ernie on the first list but he just hasn't shown me anything this year. Even when get gets off to a good start (Memorial) he fades away.

Sean O'Hair - He seems to a popular pick much like Charles Howell III was for the Masters. I just don't see it. Not yet at least.

Vaughn Taylor - I don't know where he's been but I see a lot of pre-tournament WD's. That and the fact he has missed his last couple of cuts I don't see him contending.

Luke Donald - He was a lot of people's pick to win it last year. After a disastrous opening round last year he actually did play very well and backed it up with another strong showing at the PGA and was even somewhat in the mix in the Masters this year. However, he hasn't shown much this year or played nearly at the level expected of him.

Sergio Garcia - I think he'll win a British Open in the next few years. Even though he has had some high finishes at the US Open, I'm not so certain here. Anytime scrambling is key and 5-10 footers are crucial I have to shy away from Garcia until he can show he can consistantly make those putts.

Colin Montgomerie - Not this year Colin...

Charles Howell III - Is this the same guy we saw Jan-March? Where did he go?

Davis Love III, Stuart Appleby, David Howell, Chris DiMarco and Mike Weir - just to name a few more.

Sleepers

Stewart Cink, Jeff Maggert (he may not even be in the field) Rory Sabbatini, Steve Stricker, Jerry Kelly, Ian Poulter, KJ Choi. OK, so some of these guys are as good as the guys in the "players I like" list.

My pick: Adam Scott

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Posted

I'm going WAY out on a limb here and saying Tiger Woods! How can you pick against him?

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Posted
I'm going WAY out on a limb here and saying Tiger Woods!

Tiger has lots of other things on his mind lately and other players have been playing quite well. Also, The Open is his worst major: he's "only" won it twice, whereas he's won The Masters four times, The British Open three times, and the PGA Championship three times. It is also the only major in which he has missed the cut as a professional. Granted, all the reasons to pick against Tiger either apply to everyone else, or a similar and not-as-good statement applies.

-- Michael | My swing! 

"You think you're Jim Furyk. That's why your phone is never charged." - message from my mother

Driver:  Titleist 915D2.  4-wood:  Titleist 917F2.  Titleist TS2 19 degree hybrid.  Tour Edge Exotics C723 21 degree hybrid.  Irons 5-U, Ping G400.  Wedges negotiable (currently 54 degree Cleveland, 58 degree Titleist) Edel putter. 

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Posted
Tiger has lots of other things on his mind lately and other players have been playing quite well. Also, The Open is his worst major: he's "only" won it twice, whereas he's won The Masters four times, The British Open three times, and the PGA Championship three times. It is also the only major in which he has missed the cut as a professional.

I know it's his worst tournament and he has a lot going on right now. BUT anytime I'm given the choice to pick ONE golfer to win a tournament, I pick Tiger. I don't think they're posted yet. But when they are, I'm sure Vegas odds will still have him as the favorite

In The Bag

Driver R7 SuperQuad 8.5 Xstiff
5 Wd SQ X stiff steel
3-PW RAC LT X stiff 52 dg RAC TP Satin56 dg RAC TP Satin60 dg Vokey Oil CanPutter Cameron Studio Newport


Posted
I know it's his worst tournament and he has a lot going on right now. BUT anytime I'm given the choice to pick ONE golfer to win a tournament, I pick Tiger. I don't think they're posted yet. But when they are, I'm sure Vegas odds will still have him as the favorite

Actually, his worst tournament is the Nissan L.A. Open. He's entered it a great many times and never won.

But I agree: if I have to pick ONE golfer to win an arbitrary tournament, it's Tiger. And he isn't a bad choice for the U.S. Open either... what is it, a 20% win record?

-- Michael | My swing! 

"You think you're Jim Furyk. That's why your phone is never charged." - message from my mother

Driver:  Titleist 915D2.  4-wood:  Titleist 917F2.  Titleist TS2 19 degree hybrid.  Tour Edge Exotics C723 21 degree hybrid.  Irons 5-U, Ping G400.  Wedges negotiable (currently 54 degree Cleveland, 58 degree Titleist) Edel putter. 

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Posted
Adam Scott - He's playing great and it just might be his time to win a major.

I'm not sure he'll ever win a major. I don't know that he has the mind to do it. See my comments about his missed putts on 13 and 15 when he thought about something as lame as shooting 59.

Jim Furyk - When I think of US Open, Jim Furyk immediately comes to mind. Fairways and greens, a true grinder and good putter.

Not playing well right now, sadly.

Vijay Singh - Vijay can string together the pars with the best of em. His driving worries me but he may be second to Tiger at salvaging a round, something everyone will have to do at Oakmont.

The trouble with Vijay and U.S. Opens is that he doesn't put the driver away very often.

Zach Johnson - Zach has taken the next step. I don't think he'll win but I can see him contending in every major this year. He's taking a step this year much like Geoff Ogilvy took last year.

I think he might do well.

Paul Casey - I like his game. He played well in the Open last year and if he can get off to a good start (something he has had a tough time doing this year) watch out for him.

Good choice.

Ernie Els - Sure he won the Open the last time at Oakmont. Problem is that was 1994 and this is 2007. Originally I had Ernie on the first list but he just hasn't shown me anything this year. Even when get gets off to a good start (Memorial) he fades away.

Ernie's done. I agree.

Sean O'Hair - He seems to a popular pick much like Charles Howell III was for the Masters. I just don't see it. Not yet at least.

I don't see it either. Erratic play at Sawgrass, erratic play since then.

Luke Donald - He was a lot of people's pick to win it last year. After a disastrous opening round last year he actually did play very well and backed it up with another strong showing at the PGA and was even somewhat in the mix in the Masters this year. However, he hasn't shown much this year or played nearly at the level expected of him.

I think Luke is overrated.

Sergio Garcia - I think he'll win a British Open in the next few years. Even though he has had some high finishes at the US Open, I'm not so certain here. Anytime scrambling is key and 5-10 footers are crucial I have to shy away from Garcia until he can show he can consistantly make those putts.

I'm still on record as saying he'll never win a major.

Davis Love III, Stuart Appleby, David Howell, Chris DiMarco and Mike Weir - just to name a few more.

Chris DiMarco - the most over-rated player in the world right now.

My pick: Adam Scott

So long as he doesn't EVER think about it, I guess.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
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Posted
My pick would be Geoff Ogilvy to defend. He played well last week also, just not quite well enough.

But honestly i wouldnt be surprised if we saw a "what the hell" kind of winner next week. I'll say it will be someone who hasnt won this year.

Sleepers:

Ben Curtis, David Howell.

Jose Maria, im not sure if he's exempt or qualified but if he's driving it straight.. his iron play is excellent to go along with a good short game and great putting.

Mike Weir: he's playing average at best this year but he always plays well in Majors, where the score is near even par. He is driving it long and straight right now and he has 2 top 5's and a T6 in this event in his last 4 years playing.

Big Guns:

Tiger started playing well again at the end of last week so he's got a good chance aswell.

Veej: One of the big guns that I could possibly see surprising everyone and contending next week.

If Phil wins I'll shave my head... but that wrist is going to put nothing but negativety in his head. Even if he makes the cut I dont believe he'll be able to last, especially if its still bad enough that he actually does need cortezone shots all week. Id love for him to prove me wrong though.

Retief? Ernie? Jim Furyk? Luke Donald? big names that wont do anything.

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Posted

I have seen some people questioning why I put who I did in the original pole. The attached is per Golf Magazine and this was titled "Who has played well at the Open in the past?"

TEE - XCG6, 13º, Matrix Ozik HD6.1, stiff
Wilson Staff - Ci11, 3-SW, TX Fligthed, stiff

Odyssey - Metal X #7, 35in

Wilson Staff - FG Tour ball 


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    • No one should measure a joint mobility away from that joint. If you go to physical therapy, they are not measuring your knee mobility based on your midline. It is based at the joint. Shoulder mobility should be measured in reference to the shoulder joint. 
    • He's using a driver swing, while I used the iron swing. Bryson goes from about 65° B to 15° B, hence the 50°. If you bend your right elbow, you're going to pull your hands across your chest some. Conversely, if you abduct your right arm and hold onto a grip with your left arm, you can see how extending the right elbow as we do in the golf swing during the downswing will "pull" the right shoulder/humerus forward (adducting it, as going from 65° to 15° of abduction is). Even people who pull their right shoulder WAY too far around them eventually get it "back in front" when their right arm/elbow extends. So, such a motion shows up as shoulder adduction even though the movement that causes it is just widening the trail elbow. The left hand on the grip almost "pulls" the hands forward as the left arm can't stretch much (there's some shoulder protraction, but that's almost maxed out at P4). Oh, I downloaded it and watched it (and commented there) before he blocked me. It's what led to him posting the comment in the "update" above. 😄  Single shoulder range of 75°, and that's going out well into the follow-through. 50° Max range up to impact. Manavian's video is bad. He keeps saying "midline" which is just a horrible way to look at it. He also kept saying that the club was moving that amount — also wrong. Adding left and right together is really freaking dumb. Another golf instructor said "That's like saying the player has 100 degrees of knee bend (adding left knee bend to right knee bend) 🤦‍♂️" (similar to what the biomechanist said about squatting). Also, see my post above about elbow bend. That's why Plummer’s alignment stick demo is so intellectually dishonest. A golfer can't get anywhere near that position on the left with his left hand on the alignment stick (quoted below).  
    • That makes no sense at all.  so, I watched that Instagram. Here is a summary...  Bryson.... Address: Trail Shoulder 0 degrees adduction. P4: Trail Shoulder 65-deg abduction. Impact: Right shoulder 15-deg abduction. P9: 10 degrees adduction. Rory... Address: Trail Shoulder 16 degrees adduction. P4: Trail Shoulder 26 degrees abduction. Impact: Right shoulder 0 degrees abduction.  P9: 18 degrees of adduction.  DJ... Address: Trail Shoulder 4 degrees adduction. P4: Trail Shoulder 42 degrees abduction. Impact: Right shoulder 2 degrees abduction.  P9: 15 degrees of adduction.  Their point is that arm doesn't stay on the trail side. That the arms have to get across the chest from P4 to P9. I mean they do. What matters is the rate of which it happens relative to the position of the swing. The trail shoulder at P9 is not abducted a lot. The range of that total abduction movement is like 40 to 70 degrees. Bryson might be an outlier. Rory might be an outlier as well.  A couple of points.  1. None of them had any adduction at impact. So, this tells me the trail arms stays on the trail side of the body at impact. Is it moving towards lead shoulder, yes. It doesn't happen till post impact. The right side of the body is moving towards the target, so the arms don't have to as much as people think.  2. Trail shoulder adduction from Impact to P9 is 18 to 25 degrees.  3. P9 adduction of the trail shoulder is only about 2 to 12 degrees more adducted than at address. The arms/hands stay in front of the chest a long-time post impact. If Rory, from his address position just rotated his body towards the target and raised up his arms so he is at P9. He basically didn't have to move his trail arm further across his chest than where he started at address. Visualize that for a bit. I bet for people who tend to stall and drag their arms across their body to hit the ball, that would emphasize how much the arms stay in front of the body and how much you have to turn.             
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