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Who will win the 107th U.S. Open at Oakmont?


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  1. 1. Who will win the 107th U.S. Open at Oakmont???

    • Tiger Woods
      13
    • Phil Mickelson
      3
    • Ernie Els
      2
    • Vijay Singh
      0
    • Someone else
      39


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Posted
I think it may be a break out for one of the younger guys. Sean O' or Camilo or someone in that range. I gotta feeling Phil will play well but his wrist will limit his "go for it" factor. Tiger, I hope, will have the birth of his child on his mind, therefore not being able to give 100%. But we'll see.

The course looks great (on tv) and the rough looks like it is getting thick!!

Mike

R5 Dual 9.5
F50 16.5
R7 TP 3-PW
RAC Satin 52 and 56 deg
Vokey 59 deg Studio Newport 2 HX Tour 56


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Posted
i-Guy,
I could have swore Phil and Tiger have played in more then 5 US Opens in their career..??

R5 Dual 9.5
F50 16.5
R7 TP 3-PW
RAC Satin 52 and 56 deg
Vokey 59 deg Studio Newport 2 HX Tour 56


Posted
i-Guy,

Of course they have. Obviously that data is flawed. Looks to me like it is calculating only the last 5 US Open's. We all know Els has won this tournament. Also, how can Peter Lonard have one top 10 when his best finish is 11th?

Driver: 09 Launcher 10.5
4 Wood: 09 Launcher Steel 17
Hybrid: Baffler DWS 20 Aldila Reg
Irons: AP1 4-GW Steel
Wedges: 588 Gunmetal 56 & 60Putter: Studio Style Newport 2Ball: NXT Tour


Posted
Of course they have. Obviously that data is flawed. Looks to me like it is calculating only the last 5 US Open's. We all know Els has won this tournament.

Yes you are correct. The article was looking at who had played the best in the last

5 U.S. Opens.
Also, how can Peter Lonard have one top 10 when his best finish is 11th?

Whoa! Good catch...I went back and looked at the data in the magazine and that is what they had down. I just copied it straight from the magazine. Are you an auditor by chance LMAO

TEE - XCG6, 13º, Matrix Ozik HD6.1, stiff
Wilson Staff - Ci11, 3-SW, TX Fligthed, stiff

Odyssey - Metal X #7, 35in

Wilson Staff - FG Tour ball 


Posted
Of course they have. Obviously that data is flawed. Looks to me like it is calculating only the last 5 US Open's. We all know Els has won this tournament. Also, how can Peter Lonard have one top 10 when his best finish is 11th?

Guys... That was a joke!! Sorry I should have put in little smileys!!

R5 Dual 9.5
F50 16.5
R7 TP 3-PW
RAC Satin 52 and 56 deg
Vokey 59 deg Studio Newport 2 HX Tour 56


Posted
Guys... That was a joke!! Sorry I should have put in little smileys!!

No problem I did not take it negatively.

TEE - XCG6, 13º, Matrix Ozik HD6.1, stiff
Wilson Staff - Ci11, 3-SW, TX Fligthed, stiff

Odyssey - Metal X #7, 35in

Wilson Staff - FG Tour ball 


Posted
Yes you are correct. The article was looking at who had played the best in the last

Haha... no, I'm not an auditor. And for the record I have no problem with the players you listed. You've created an active thread, that's a good thing

Guys... That was a joke!! Sorry I should have put in little smileys!!

No worries. I didn't necessarily think you were serious anyways.

Driver: 09 Launcher 10.5
4 Wood: 09 Launcher Steel 17
Hybrid: Baffler DWS 20 Aldila Reg
Irons: AP1 4-GW Steel
Wedges: 588 Gunmetal 56 & 60Putter: Studio Style Newport 2Ball: NXT Tour


Posted
I like Adam Scott or Rory Sabattini's chances of winning it. You've got to be a bigger hitter on Oakmont, and both these guys are.

Driver Ping G10 10.5*
Hybrids Ping G5 (3) 19* Bridgestone J36 (4) 22*
Irons Mizuno MP-57 5-PW
Wedges Srixon WG-504 52.08 Bridgestone WC Copper 56.13
Putter 33" Scotty Cameron Studio Select #2


Posted
At Oakmont, you're either in the fairway or you're in really deep trouble. This one isn't going to go whoever hits the ball far, because there's a smaller margain of error to hit the fairway when you hit the ball 320 yards as opposed to 270 yards. (That's why I put my money on Jim Furyk. Hits the ball straight, decent putter, good at grinding out the game.)
"Shouldn't you be going faster? I mean, you're doing 40 in a 65..."

Driver: Burner TP 9.5*
3 Wood: 906F2 15*
2I: Eye 23I-PW: 3100 I/HWedges: Vokey Spin-Milled 56*06, MP-R 52*07/60*05Putter: Victoria IIBall: Pro V1xCheck out my new blog: Thousand Yard DriveHome Course: Kenton County...

Posted
I know there's already been discussion about Ernie Els. As noted he was the last one to win the Open at Oakmont (1994). Still, this tournament is always full of surprises and you never know when the right player gets hot. Els is 28th on the money list (as of 5/6/07) this year and he did finish 3rd last year at the British Open, so I think he's got a chance at this.

That's why the Open is probably my favorite tournament - the best compete, there's a level of intensity that seems unmatched by any other tournament and sometimes the unexpected happens.

Posted
It'll end up being a steady driver of the golf ball, solid irons and consistent with the flat stick. Who fits this description you ask......Jim Furyk.

Jim Furyk is my 2007 US Open Champion.
"You lick the lollipop of mediocrity once and you'll suck forever."

HiBORE XLS 9.5* Fujikura Fit On (Gold) (s) shaft | HiBORE XLS 15* 3w Fujikura Fit On (Gold) (s) shaft | 585h 21* | MP 57 4-pw w/Dynamic Gold s-300 shaft | 53* 56* Rac Chrome 60* Rac Satin | Monza Corza DB 35" | Tour ix
Home...

Posted
It'll end up being a steady driver of the golf ball, solid irons and consistent with the flat stick. Who fits this description you ask

Luke Donald gets my vote, a very consistent iron player and was second to Tiger at Medinah last year. Oh and because he's British and carries Mizuno

In my bag:

Driver R7 Superquad
3 Wood: Burner
Irons: 3-PW MP-60Wedges: MP R Series Chrome 52* 56* 60*Putter: Bettinardi C-SeriesBall: NXT Tour


Posted
Jim Furyk is a good pick. As I said earlier he's one of the guys I like for the very reasons mentioned above. Only concern is his wrist and the fact his game isn't coming into the tournament in the greatest shape.

I suppose I have to stay with my Adam Scott pick but man, if he can't close the door on the St Jude then how's he going to do it at the US Open? He was awful on Sunday.

Driver: 09 Launcher 10.5
4 Wood: 09 Launcher Steel 17
Hybrid: Baffler DWS 20 Aldila Reg
Irons: AP1 4-GW Steel
Wedges: 588 Gunmetal 56 & 60Putter: Studio Style Newport 2Ball: NXT Tour


Posted
I am thinking Ryan Moore.....no science behind it :D
I mean who would have thought Campbell at Pinehurst? Sometimes things just come together at an event and he's been relatively good over the past while
What's in the bag

Driver: Speed LD F Driver 9.5°
5 wood: 909F2 18.5°
Hybrid: EDGE CFT 21°Irons: i5 - 4-pwWedges: CG10 52°, 56°, & 60° degreePutter: Udrainium Doc 15Ball: DT SoLoHome Courses: Spring Lakes Golf Club, Stouffville, ON & Ocean Ridge Plantation Golf, Sunset...

Posted
Tiger will only hit driver 2 or 3 times a round, therefore he wins.
In the bag

909D3 8.5 Matrix Ozik XCon 7 X
Burner TP 14.5 Fujikura RE*AX SF TP 75 X
Idea Pro 20 RP Project X 6.0 X-Tour (2005) 4-PW RP Project X 6.0 X-Tour Chrome Wedges 50 and 54 RP Project X 5.5 X-Tour Vintage 60 w/ PM grind Teryllium Ten Newport 2 34" ProV1X

Posted
Tiger Woods.

As with anyone that picks Tiger, I have to give my obligatory "second" pick. That would be Scott Verplank. He's playing really well and I think Oakmont sets up perfect for him. I think he'll hit a lot of greens and Scott can roll it as good as anyone on tour.

Fairways and Greens.

Dave
 

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

Posted
I think it is pretty wide open this year Adam Scott was looking good until his meltdown yesterday. O'Hair should be in the mix along with Fuyrk, should be interesting this year.

Keep it on the short grass.


Note: This thread is 6784 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

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    • Nah, man. People have been testing clubs like this for decades at this point. Even 35 years. @M2R, are you AskGolfNut? If you're not, you seem to have fully bought into the cult or something. So many links to so many videos… Here's an issue, too: - A drop of 0.06 is a drop with a 90 MPH 7I having a ball speed of 117 and dropping it to 111.6, which is going to be nearly 15 yards, which is far more than what a "3% distance loss" indicates (and is even more than a 4.6% distance loss). - You're okay using a percentage with small numbers and saying "they're close" and "1.3 to 1.24 is only 4.6%," but then you excuse the massive 53% difference that going from 3% to 4.6% represents. That's a hell of an error! - That guy in the Elite video is swinging his 7I at 70 MPH. C'mon. My 5' tall daughter swings hers faster than that.
    • Yea but that is sort of my quandary, I sometimes see posts where people causally say this club is more forgiving, a little more forgiving, less forgiving, ad nauseum. But what the heck are they really quantifying? The proclamation of something as fact is not authoritative, even less so as I don't know what the basis for that statement is. For my entire golfing experience, I thought of forgiveness as how much distance front to back is lost hitting the face in non-optimal locations. Anything right or left is on me and delivery issues. But I also have to clarify that my experience is only with irons, I never got to the point of having any confidence or consistency with anything longer. I feel that is rather the point, as much as possible, to quantify the losses by trying to eliminate all the variables except the one you want to investigate. Or, I feel like we agree. Compared to the variables introduced by a golfer's delivery and the variables introduced by lie conditions, the losses from missing the optimal strike location might be so small as to almost be noise over a larger area than a pea.  In which case it seems that your objection is that the 0-3% area is being depicted as too large. Which I will address below. For statements that is absurd and true 100% sweet spot is tiny for all clubs. You will need to provide some objective data to back that up and also define what true 100% sweet spot is. If you mean the area where there are 0 losses, then yes. While true, I do not feel like a not practical or useful definition for what I would like to know. For strikes on irons away from the optimal location "in measurable and quantifiable results how many yards, or feet, does that translate into?"   In my opinion it ok to be dubious but I feel like we need people attempting this sort of data driven investigation. Even if they are wrong in some things at least they are moving the discussion forward. And he has been changing the maps and the way data is interpreted along the way. So, he admits to some of the ideas he started with as being wrong. It is not like we all have not been in that situation 😄 And in any case to proceed forward I feel will require supporting or refuting data. To which as I stated above, I do not have any experience in drivers so I cannot comment on that. But I would like to comment on irons as far as these heat maps. In a video by Elite Performance Golf Studios - The TRUTH About Forgiveness! Game Improvement vs Blade vs Players Distance SLOW SWING SPEED! and going back to ~12:50 will show the reference data for the Pro 241. I can use that to check AskGolfNut's heat map for the Pro 241: a 16mm heel, 5mm low produced a loss of efficiency from 1.3 down to 1.24 or ~4.6%. Looking at AskGolfNut's heatmap it predicts a loss of 3%. Is that good or bad? I do not know but given the possible variations I am going to say it is ok. That location is very close to where the head map goes to 4%, these are very small numbers, and rounding could be playing some part. But for sure I am going to say it is not absurd. Looking at one data point is absurd, but I am not going to spend time on more because IME people who are interested will do their own research and those not interested cannot be persuaded by any amount of data. However, the overall conclusion that I got from that video was that between the three clubs there is a difference in distance forgiveness, but it is not very much. Without some robot testing or something similar the human element in the testing makes it difficult to say is it 1 yard, or 2, or 3?  
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