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Equitable Stroke Control. I'm better than I thought!


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Posted

I've played recreationally since I was a kid with my father.  I've never been a member anywhere or pursued getting a legit USGA handicap.  I play about 3 to 4 times a month with various friends and to my knowledge none of them have handicaps either.  This is probably why I've never heard of "capping" my score at double bogey or 7.  I recently stumbled upon the Equitable Stroke Control system on the USGA website.  This seems a bit odd to me.  I was always under the impression that all the strokes had to be counted as they were.  With this new information I no longer look at a single digit handicap as impressively as I once did.  Nor does it seem out of reach anymore.  Countless times I've had rounds in the 80-90 range that included taking 9's or 10's on individual holes.  Does the majority of the golf community abide by the ESC?


Posted

This might make a person who has difficulty breaking 100 legitimately have a handicap of 27 and it might make a person who barely breaks 90 have a handicap of 18, but it won't help you achieve a single digit handicap. A genuine 9 marker has a few double bogies, but triples and over are quite rare for them. Perhaps one every few rounds.

In the race of life, always back self-interest. At least you know it's trying.

 

 


Posted

A person who wonders if they're really a single digit (or an 18 or a 27) while playing recreationally and never being a member or having an official USGA index, they should consider playing a match straight up against a player with the same approximate index range who got that index as a member of a club and who plays matches at that club using that index. Good luck!

Mizuno MP600 driver, Cleveland '09 Launcher 3-wood, Callaway FTiz 18 degree hybrid, Cleveland TA1 3-9, Scratch SS8620 47, 53, 58, Cleveland Classic 2 mid-mallet, Bridgestone B330S, Sun Mountain four5.


Posted

consider 'tracking' a handicap online...ie. put scores into a website that can generate you a handicap albeit not an official one. www.mobilegolfstats.com is great for that, and it's free. just a suggestion if you want to go a cheaper and 'easier' route to getting that wondering number down to something that's accurate. i did it for a few years before going to GHIN only b/c i was tinkering with my game so much i didn't wanna spend the $30 on a real handicap...and just like the op, i wasn't playing THAT often. hope this helps you 'wonder' less.

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Posted
Quote:
Originally Posted by TyWebbb View Post

I've played recreationally since I was a kid with my father.  I've never been a member anywhere or pursued getting a legit USGA handicap.  I play about 3 to 4 times a month with various friends and to my knowledge none of them have handicaps either.  This is probably why I've never heard of "capping" my score at double bogey or 7.  I recently stumbled upon the Equitable Stroke Control system on the USGA website.  This seems a bit odd to me.  I was always under the impression that all the strokes had to be counted as they were.  With this new information I no longer look at a single digit handicap as impressively as I once did.  Nor does it seem out of reach anymore.  Countless times I've had rounds in the 80-90 range that included taking 9's or 10's on individual holes.  Does the majority of the golf community abide by the ESC?


You don't 'cap' your score at double bogey or 7 unless you already have an established handicap.  See chart at the end of this posting (cap at double bogey if single digit hdcp or 7 if you are 10-19 hdcp).  This article on about.com explains things pretty well.

Quote (about.com - How Do I Know My ESC Limits If I Don't Yet Have a Handicap Index? ) :

It's a circular dilemma. You want to establish a handicap index . But you must turn in adjusted gross scores to do so, which requires knowing your Equitable Stroke Control limits on per-hole scores. But you can't determine your ESC limits unless you know your course handicap ... which requires having a handicap index.

What to do? Thankfully, the USGA has a prescription for this problem.

If you have not yet established a handicap index, use the maximum allowable handicap index to determine a course handicap. Then apply that course handicap in order to determine your ESC per-hole limits.

The maximum handicap index for men is 36.4 ; for women, 40.4. So a man without a handicap index would determine a course handicap using 36.4; the resulting course handicap is then used to determine the ESC limits. (See our FAQ, What is Equitable Stroke Control? for more, including a chart that shows what the per-hole maximums are.)

So what do you do with that information?  You use the chart that they reference at the end of the article.

Quote (about.com - Equitable Stroke Control: What Is It, and What are the Maximum Scores? ):

Equitable Stroke Control Chart

Course Handicap Maximum Score
0-9 Double Bogey
10-19 7
20-29 8
30-39 9
40 or more 10

So, basically, before you have a handicap established you still have to count all those '9s'!  Sorry

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Posted

I can't remember the last time (as an amateur) that I had to use ESC on a hole.

The point is most single digit golfers don't often make triples, and when they do, they're often screwing up enough of the rest of their round that the round won't count towards their handicap anyway.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
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Posted


Originally Posted by iacas

I can't remember the last time (as an amateur) that I had to use ESC on a hole.

The point is most single digit golfers don't often make triples, and when they do, they're often screwing up enough of the rest of their round that the round won't count towards their handicap anyway.


I would disagree on the last point, in fact, that is exactly the reason for ESC.  You get into trouble on one or two particular holes and get a couple of triple bogeys or worse (think Luke Donald at 2011 Masters or Kevin Na with a '16', etc), so the USGA doesn't want these scores (which are a bit of an anomaly) to skew your handicap.  If you are a single-digit golfer, then you most likely will NOT screw up the rest of the round because as you got to single-digit, you learned how to put those holes behind you and move on.  That is the only way to get to single-digit (imho).

In my :nike:  bag on my :clicgear: cart ...

Driver: :ping: G10 9*    3-Wood: :cleveland: Launcher
Hybrid: :adams: 20* Hybrid      Irons: :ping: i5 4-GW - silver dot, +1/2"
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Posted

Originally Posted by TheGeekGolfer

I would disagree on the last point, in fact, that is exactly the reason for ESC. You get into trouble on one or two particular holes and get a couple of triple bogeys or worse (think Luke Donald at 2011 Masters or Kevin Na with a '16', etc), so the USGA doesn't want these scores (which are a bit of an anomaly) to skew your handicap. If you are a single-digit golfer, then you most likely will NOT screw up the rest of the round because as you got to single-digit, you learned how to put those holes behind you and move on. That is the only way to get to single-digit (imho).

Kevin Na's round wouldn't have counted in his handicap and I don't think Luke's would have either. And you just named two extremely isolated events. How often does a PGA Tour pro make even a double bogey (and bear in mind the courses on which they play)? Exactly.

Here's a fact I can share: in the tens of thousands of rounds we've seen (from Scorecard), less than 1% of the holes which required ESC to be applied occurred during rounds which counted (i.e. best 10 of last 20) towards the player's handicap for single digit handicappers (0.0 to 9.0). That percentage goes up fairly quickly as the handicap index climbs.

Skilled players really don't make a lot of triple bogeys. ESC rarely applies to rounds which count towards their handicap index.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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Posted


Originally Posted by iacas

Here's a fact I can share: in the tens of thousands of rounds we've seen (from Scorecard), less than 1% of the holes which required ESC to be applied occurred during rounds which counted (i.e. best 10 of last 20) towards the player's handicap for single digit handicappers (0.0 to 9.0). That percentage goes up fairly quickly as the handicap index climbs.

And just to reinforce that with another data point: I'm a 14.x and have used ESC on 2.7% of holes during rounds which counted toward my handicap, and even with that high percentage it's only making a 0.7 difference in my 'cap - i.e., even when the use of ESC is 3x what Erik's stats indicated, I'd have to already be a 10.x without ESC for it to be helping me get into single digits.

I think it's safe to say a single digit handicapper earned it, regardless of ESC. ESC makes a difference but not that much of a difference, especially at that level.

Bill


Posted


Originally Posted by iacas

Kevin Na's round wouldn't have counted in his handicap and I don't think Luke's would have either. And you just named two extremely isolated events. How often does a PGA Tour pro make even a double bogey (and bear in mind the courses on which they play)? Exactly.

Actually, Kevin Na's would've counted in his handicap, considering he shot -4 for the rest of the round.  Apply a double-bogey ESC (which, doesn't really even apply for pros, I was just using it as an example people could relate to) and he still shot -2, which is below his avg. score per round of 70.43.  Looking on pgatour.com, his last 20 scores, before and including that tournament were 77 80 74 73 69 72 73 74 68 72 72 69 69 69 75 74 71 67 66 71, which means with ESC applied, his round of 80 (ESC score of 70) would have been his 8th best score.

Originally Posted by iacas

Here's a fact I can share: in the tens of thousands of rounds we've seen (from Scorecard), less than 1% of the holes which required ESC to be applied occurred during rounds which counted (i.e. best 10 of last 20) towards the player's handicap for single digit handicappers (0.0 to 9.0). That percentage goes up fairly quickly as the handicap index climbs.

Skilled players really don't make a lot of triple bogeys. ESC rarely applies to rounds which count towards their handicap index.

Yes, ESC rarely applies on a large statistical basis, that is true, but that wasn't my point.  It is there to adjust for the anomalies, ie - the guy that had 4 rounds in his last 20 that were great, except for that quad-bogey in each round.  Just because you rarely used ESC or only 1% of golfers used ESC on rounds that counted towards hdcp, doesn't mean it shouldn't be used.  Those 1% of holes which require ESC to be applied that counted towards someone's handicap might have only changed their handicap from a 8.0 to a 7.2, but that equals about one less stroke per round, which then applied to a 4-round handicapped tournament would be 4 less strokes.  Which would be quite a different result in standings and could be the difference between winning and coming in 10th.

In my :nike:  bag on my :clicgear: cart ...

Driver: :ping: G10 9*    3-Wood: :cleveland: Launcher
Hybrid: :adams: 20* Hybrid      Irons: :ping: i5 4-GW - silver dot, +1/2"
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Posted

Originally Posted by TheGeekGolfer

Yes, ESC rarely applies on a large statistical basis, that is true, but that wasn't my point.


That was my point. And I disagree that it wasn't your point, but that's a "pointless" discussion.

And your math is really quite bad if you think the 8.0 would become a 7.2 in the <1% of rounds in which ESC changed things. The average on that <1% was 1.02 strokes, not the 8 or whatever that would be required to produce such a massive change in handicap.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
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Posted

Originally Posted by iacas

That was my point. And I disagree that it wasn't your point, but that's a "pointless" discussion.

From what I gathered, your point was that you don't think ESC is very useful because you never use it and it only applies to very few rounds that could or might change ones handicap (based on a large sampling of statistics).  If that is correct, then that is where we disagree.  And yes, I agree, this discussion with you is getting 'pointless'

Quote:

And your math is really quite bad if you think the 8.0 would become a 7.2 in the

I never said that an '8.0 would become a 7.2 in the

Originally Posted by iacas

The average on that

What?  I'm confused.  How are 8 strokes required to produce a change from 8.0 to 7.2?  Are you talking about 8 strokes in one round or total over the 10 rounds counting towards someone's handicap?  If as you state above, the average that ESC changed someones score was 1.02 strokes, than that is exactly what I'm talking about.  ESC is used to account for the anomaly of a number of rounds like this effecting one golfer and thereby skewing his handicap in the wrong direction (based on the USGA definition of handciap).  If someone's score changed by 1 stroke per round, that would more than do it.  Or, if a golfer happened to have 5 rounds that each had a quad, but with ESC (changing them to a double-bogey) would be low enough to count towards his handicap, then that would be 2 strokes per round.  Which would change his handicap by about 1 stroke (taking into account the same slope on all courses in the mix).

Example - Golfer B had 8 rounds that were better by 1 stroke over Golfer A and his handicap changed from an 8.1 to a 7.5.  This was calculated using a standard slope for example purposes, but if you factor in different slopes, you could easily get an 8.0 to 7.2 swing.

Golfer A Golfer B
Score 81 80
82 81
83 82
80 79
79 78
84 83
78 77
79 78
83 83
81 81
Average 81 80.2 Difference in Avg. 0.8
Handicap 8.1 7.5 Difference in Hdcp. 0.6
Slope = 120
USGA Course Rating = 72

Calculated from this website , based on 20 rounds, of which only 10 are shown above, since the other 10 are greater and don't change the handicap.

In my :nike:  bag on my :clicgear: cart ...

Driver: :ping: G10 9*    3-Wood: :cleveland: Launcher
Hybrid: :adams: 20* Hybrid      Irons: :ping: i5 4-GW - silver dot, +1/2"
Wedges: :cleveland: 56* (bent to 54*) and 60* CG10     Putter: :ping: Craz-e (original blue)


Posted
I've played recreationally since I was a kid with my father.  I've never been a member anywhere or pursued getting a legit USGA handicap.  I play about 3 to 4 times a month with various friends and to my knowledge none of them have handicaps either.  This is probably why I've never heard of "capping" my score at double bogey or 7.  I recently stumbled upon the Equitable Stroke Control system on the USGA website.  This seems a bit odd to me.  I was always under the impression that all the strokes had to be counted as they were.  With this new information I no longer look at a single digit handicap as impressively as I once did.  Nor does it seem out of reach anymore.  Countless times I've had rounds in the 80-90 range that included taking 9's or 10's on individual holes.  Does the majority of the golf community abide by the ESC?

The idea behind ESC is that it's [b]low enough[/b] that no one hole can thoroughly damage your game's differential. For example, if you played a stellar game that would be one of your best differential ever but you had one hole where you put 3 balls in the water, your entire game shouldn't be dramatically swayed by that. This is in the spirit of the handicapping system, they try to keep individual bad occurrences from dis-proportionally ruining your stats. However, the idea is that it's [b]high enough[/b] that if you frequently bump into it, you won't be in the handicap range for that particular ESC for long. For example, if you're under a 10 HDCP and ESC is double bogey, then that's high enough that if you're taking double bogey as ESC frequently, you won't be staying a single digit HDCP for long. Double bogey a couple times a round puts you 4 over par over two holes, meaning you have to play the other 16 holes at at most 5 or 6 over par to keep carding differentials that keep you below a 10 HDCP. That probably won't happen. Similarly, if you're between a 10 and 20 HDCP and ESC is a 7, if you're carding 7s frequently then you will probably have a hard time not gradually raising your handicap. Again, say twice a round, means you're about 6 over par over 2 holes, meaning you have to play the other 16 holes at most 14 over par; and if you would be scoring 8 or more on two of the holes, what are the odds you're going to average better than bogey on the remaining holes? So, ESC gives you a [i]chance[/i] at salvaging your game enough to have it be in your best 10 for your HDCP. From personal experience, if I have to invoke ESC then odds are not good that it'll be the case. And Erik's stats show that this is almost never the case for single HDCPs. I wouldn't worry about it helping anyone, it's designed so that if it needs to help you too much then you don't belong in the category where ESC helps you often. It's self-correcting. How many people abide by it? I would think everyone with a USGA handicap would. For others, like myself, who only keep scores recreationally, I don't know. I keep by it, and most stat software should automatically do it for you. Side note: I think you're [i]supposed[/i] to play the ball out and then later cap it down to ESC, but I frequently make the ESC determination on the course and occasionally pick up and move on if I've hit it. I don't hit it often, but if I do then odds are half decent that I need to help keep the pace of play up.

"Golf is an entire game built around making something that is naturally easy - putting a ball into a hole - as difficult as possible." - Scott Adams

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Posted

Thank you all for your input.  The info about the mobilegolfstats website is especially intriguing.  I'm fairly certain that I'll try that out since I have wondered for a while what my handicap actually would be.


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Posted

Originally Posted by TheGeekGolfer

From what I gathered, your point was that you don't think ESC is very useful because you never use it and it only applies to very few rounds that could or might change ones handicap (based on a large sampling of statistics).  If that is correct, then that is where we disagree.  And yes, I agree, this discussion with you is getting 'pointless'

Yeah, that's not what I was talking about. I simply said that for single digit handicappers, ESC is not that important. It's rarely used in rounds that count. Its relevance goes up quickly, as I noted, as well.

I never said it "wasn't very useful" and I specifically talked in my original post about single digit golfers. "The point is most single digit golfers don't often make triples, and when they do, they're often screwing up enough of the rest of their round that the round won't count towards their handicap anyway." That's true - to the tune of 99+%.

Originally Posted by TheGeekGolfer

If someone's score changed by 1 stroke per round, that would more than do it.

One stroke per round ?????? I said ESC mattered in less than 1% of rounds. So no, not 1 stroke per round. 1 stroke every 100 rounds . Nowhere near enough to go from 8.0 to 7.2.

Remember, too (speaking to nobody in particular), a handicap index is a measure of your potential. ESC helps one bad hole from occasionally making your "potential" seem worse (higher index) than it really is.

Originally Posted by B-Con

However, the idea is that it's high enough that if you frequently bump into it, you won't be in the handicap range for that particular ESC for long. For example, if you're under a 10 HDCP and ESC is double bogey, then that's high enough that if you're taking double bogey as ESC frequently, you won't be staying a single digit HDCP for long. Double bogey a couple times a round puts you 4 over par over two holes, meaning you have to play the other 16 holes at at most 5 or 6 over par to keep carding differentials that keep you below a 10 HDCP. That probably won't happen.

Exactly.

Originally Posted by B-Con

How many people abide by it? I would think everyone with a USGA handicap would. For others, like myself, who only keep scores recreationally, I don't know. I keep by it, and most stat software should automatically do it for you.

Scorecard calculates it for you, yes. And unfortunately I don't think many people do it. No idea how many, but it's not near 100%. Might not even be in the 90s at all. Unfortunately.


Originally Posted by B-Con

Side note: I think you're supposed to play the ball out and then later cap it down to ESC, but I frequently make the ESC determination on the course and occasionally pick up and move on if I've hit it. I don't hit it often, but if I do then odds are half decent that I need to help keep the pace of play up.

I think you're supposed to as well, but like you, there's really no point unless you're playing a match.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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Posted

Interesting.  I have always wondered why there is an ESC as I seldom run into it and I'm a fairly high handicap player.  I'm allowed a 7 maximum on most courses/tees I play.  I didn't go back and check but I doubt I ever used in on a round that got counted in my handicap. I can tell from this thread that the value of ESC is controversial.  I doubt that any significant percentage (less than 1% I'd guess) of handicap indices would change more that a couple of tenths if ESC disappeared.  So I don't see much value in ESC,  but I use it on those occasions I score greater than 7 on a hole because I try to play by the rules.

Butch


Posted


Originally Posted by iacas

Yeah, that's not what I was talking about. I simply said that for single digit handicappers, ESC is not that important. It's rarely used in rounds that count. Its relevance goes up quickly, as I noted, as well.

I never said it "wasn't very useful" and I specifically talked in my original post about single digit golfers. "The point is most single digit golfers don't often make triples, and when they do, they're often screwing up enough of the rest of their round that the round won't count towards their handicap anyway." That's true - to the tune of 99+%.

"ESC is not that important" or "wasn't very useful"... same thing (imo).  Whatever, you don't get it.  Statistics don't matter when you get down to individual rounds.  ESC is there to try and make sure the abnormal rounds don't skew things one way or another and make the handicap system as fair as possible.

OP - I apologize if things got off-topic, I'm done with this discussion.

In my :nike:  bag on my :clicgear: cart ...

Driver: :ping: G10 9*    3-Wood: :cleveland: Launcher
Hybrid: :adams: 20* Hybrid      Irons: :ping: i5 4-GW - silver dot, +1/2"
Wedges: :cleveland: 56* (bent to 54*) and 60* CG10     Putter: :ping: Craz-e (original blue)


  • Administrator
Posted

Originally Posted by TheGeekGolfer

Whatever, you don't get it. Statistics don't matter when you get down to individual rounds.  ESC is there to try and make sure the abnormal rounds don't skew things one way or another and make the handicap system as fair as possible.

A little more respect, please. I "get it" just fine. 1% of rounds being affected by 1.02 strokes is statistically insignificant. Just because the facts don't mesh with the opinions you've constructed for yourself doesn't mean I "don't get it."

I agree - and always have - with your last sentence. I'm simply pointing out that ESC only does that, for the single digit handicapper, a very small percentage of the time. More so for higher handicappers (particularly on par fives because they aren't capped at "double bogey" they're capped at a hard score).

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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Note: This thread is 5102 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

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