95 - 2 x GIR Spreadsheet

[WillieT]

Added today’s round - 80 w/3 GIR, 0 penalties and 25 putts.  Had 9 nGIR that were 1 putt par saves. 

[woodzie264]

10 GIR today with 2 double bogies with 3 three-putt bogeys: 83

Maybe the formula would work for me if I could putt (39 putts)

[boogielicious]

2 hours ago, woodzie264 said:

10 GIR today with 2 double bogies with 3 three-putt bogeys: 83

Maybe the formula would work for me if I could putt (39 putts)

I’ll trade my putting for your GIR!

[billchao]

4 hours ago, woodzie264 said:

10 GIR today with 2 double bogies with 3 three-putt bogeys: 83

Maybe the formula would work for me if I could putt (39 putts)

I think the formula is flawed. Oversimplified, maybe.

I’m averaging 7.5 GIR over my last 10 rounds and I haven’t broken 80 once. Only once in those ten did the formula work for me - an 85 with 5 GIR and 33 putts.

[iacas]

5 hours ago, billchao said:

I think the formula is flawed. Oversimplified, maybe.

I’m averaging 7.5 GIR over my last 10 rounds and I haven’t broken 80 once. Only once in those ten did the formula work for me - an 85 with 5 GIR and 33 putts.

I don't know that it's flawed… I think you're putting stinks. 😄 

It's a really, really simple formula, so it's going to have some holes. It's very generalized. Maybe we'll find a better one.

[Bob M]

I just entered my round from August 16. I shot an 89 with one lost ball penalty (resulted in a triple bogie) and 27 putts. Although I only hit two greens (predicting a 91), I just missed three others and holed a chip (using a putter) from just off the green all of which reduced my putt count below what it would have typically been. It was raining for most of the round. 

Edited August 27, 2023 by Bob M

[Clemsonfan]

Lucius Riccio later revised his original formula to account for putting, and it ties pretty closely to my own experience. In an article he stated this tracked within  1 shot for 80% of the rounds on the PGA Tour. I have no idea if that’s true but it is much closer for me than the original.

58-(4/3 * GIR) + Putts

[Bob M]

10 minutes ago, Clemsonfan said:

Lucius Riccio later revised his original formula to account for putting, and it ties pretty closely to my own experience. In an article he stated this tracked within  1 shot for 80% of the rounds on the PGA Tour. I have no idea if that’s true but it is much closer for me than the original.

58-(4/3 * GIR) + Putts

I just checked 5 rounds (one was two 9s combined) and my predicted (using this formula) versus actual was within a stroke except for one round for which the formula predicted an 83 versus the 89 that I actually shot.  Results for the outlier round were likely skewed by a lost ball penalty on a Par-3 and a blowup hole, both of which resulted in triples, several situations where I just missed the green resulting in first "putts" which did not count as putts and a "chip in" so my putt count was several strokes less than usual.  Otherwise, this formula seems to be very predictive. 

[WillieT]

Plugged in yesterday’s round - 84 w/1penalty, 6 GiR, 33 putts.  Predicted 84 w/the penalty. 

Edited September 16, 2023 by WillieT