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http://www.pgatour.com/r/strokes-gained-putting-baseline/index.html

Strokes Gained - Putting
2010 Baseline Probabilities
DISTANCE ONE PUTT TWO PUTT THREE PUTTS-Plus EXPECTED PUTTS AVG.
1 foot 100% 0.0% 0.0% 1.001
2 feet 99% 0.6% 0.1% 1.009
3 feet 95% 5% 0.2% 1.053
4 feet 86% 14% 0.2% 1.147
5 feet 75% 25% 0.3% 1.256
6 feet 65% 35% 0.3% 1.357
7 feet 56% 44% 0.4% 1.443
7 feet, 10 inches 50% 49% 0.5% 1.50
8 feet 49% 51% 0.5% 1.515
9 feet 43% 56% 0.6% 1.575
10 feet 38% 61% 0.7% 1.626
11 feet 34% 65% 0.8% 1.669
12 feet 30% 69% 0.9% 1.705
13 feet 27% 72% 1% 1.737
14 feet 25% 74% 1% 1.765
15 feet 22% 77% !% 1.790
16 feet 20% 78% 1% 1.811
17 feet 19% 80% 2% 1.830
18 feet 17% 81% 2% 1.848
19 feet 16% 83% 2% 1.863
20 feet 14% 84% 2% 1.878
21 feet 13% 85% 2% 1.891
22 feet 12% 85% 3% 1.903
23 feet 11% 86% 3% 1.914
24 feet 11% 86% 3% 1.924
25 feet 10% 87% 3% 1.934
26 feet 9% 87% 4% 1.944
27 feet 9% 88% 4% 1.953
28 feet 8% 88% 4% 1.961
29 feet 8% 88% 5% 1.970
30 feet 7% 88% 5% 1.978
31 feet 7% 88% 5% 1.993
32 feet 6% 88% 6% 1.993
33 feet 6% 88% 6% 2.001
34 feet 6% 88% 7% 2.009
35 feet 5% 88% 7% 2.016
36 feet 5% 87% 8% 2.024
37 feet 5% 87% 8% 2.032
38 feet 5% 87% 9% 2.039
39 feet 4% 87% 9% 2.047
40 feet 4% 86% 10% 2.055
41 feet 4% 86% 10% 2.062
42 feet 4% 85% 11% 2.070
43 feet 4% 85% 12% 2.078
44 feet 4% 84% 12% 2.086
45 feet 3% 84% 13% 2.094
46 feet 3% 83% 14% 2.102
47 feet 3% 83% 14% 2.110
48 feet 3% 82% 15% 2.118
49 feet 3% 82% 16% 2.127
50 feet 3% 81% 16% 2.135
51 feet 3% 80% 17% 2.143
52 feet 3% 80% 18% 2.152
53 feet 3% 79% 19% 2.160
54 feet 2% 78% 19% 2.168
55 feet 2% 78% 20% 2.177
56 feet 2% 77% 21% 2.185
57 feet 2% 76% 22% 2.193
58 feet 2% 76% 22% 2.202
59 feet 2% 75% 23% 2.210
60 feet 2% 74% 24% 2.218
61 feet 2% 74% 25% 2.226
62 feet 2% 73% 25% 2.234
63 feet 2% 72% 26% 2.242
64 feet 2% 72% 27% 2.250
65 feet 2% 71% 27% 2.257
66 feet 2% 70% 28% 2.265
67 feet 2% 70% 29% 2.272
68 feet 2% 69% 30% 2.279
69 feet 2% 68% 30% 2.286
70 feet 2% 68% 31% 2.293
71 feet 1% 67% 31% 2.299
72 feet 1% 67% 32% 2.306
73 feet 1% 66% 33% 2.312
74 feet 1% 66% 33% 2.318
75 feet 1% 65% 34% 2.324
76 feet 1% 65% 34% 2.329
77 feet 1% 64% 35% 2.334
78 feet 1% 64% 35% 2.339
79 feet 1% 63% 36% 2.344
80 feet 1% 63% 36% 2.349
81 feet 1% 63% 36% 2.353
82 feet 1% 62% 37% 2.357
83 feet 1% 63% 37% 2.361
84 feet 1% 63% 37% 2.364
85 feet 1% 61% 38% 2.367
86 feet 1% 61% 38% 2.370
87 feet 1% 61% 38% 2.373
88 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.375
89 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.377
90 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.379
91 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.381
92 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.382
93 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.383
94 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
95 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
96 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
97 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
98 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.383
99 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.383
100 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.382

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
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Originally Posted by twilliams16

is this for pga players?


It certainly isn't based on me. My putting is about half as good, (my percentages for 5 feet are similar the the PGA's percentages for 10 feet.)

R9 with 757 Speeder
mp 57 3-pw project x 6.0 flighted
Vokey* 56* 60*
Monza Corsa Putter


From the link: [quote]These numbers, which are based off the 2010 season, are used as the baseline probability to calculate the TOUR's new statistic, Strokes Gained - Putting, that determines the best putters on TOUR.[/quote] So I would assume this is an accumulation of ShotLink data.

"Golf is an entire game built around making something that is naturally easy - putting a ball into a hole - as difficult as possible." - Scott Adams

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  • 5 years later...
  • Administrator

They were updated last year. 8 feet is the 50% point.

Maybe someone can find a good chart. If not I'll try to remember to add it tomorrow.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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PUTTING PROBABILITIES
Distance (feet) One-putt % Two-putt Three-putt + Expected putts
1' 100% 0% 0% 1.001
3' 96% 4% 0% 1.046
5' 76% 24% 0% 1.245
7' 56% 43% 0% 1.440
10' 38% 61% 1% 1.625
12' 31% 68% 1% 1.701
15' 23% 76% 1% 1.784
20' 15% 83% 2% 1.874
25' 10% 87% 3% 1.931
30' 7% 88% 5% 1.977
40' 4% 86% 10% 2.058
50' 3% 81% 16% 2.138
60' 2% 75% 23% 2.214

 

http://www.pgatour.com/news/2016/05/31/strokes-gained-defined.html

  • Upvote 2

From the land of perpetual cloudiness.   I'm Denny

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  • 1 year later...
  • Moderator

I played with someone over the weekend that told me he needed to improve his 10 footers. He said he's not expecting to be PGA Tour level, but he wants to be closer to 50% because right now he's more like 40% and he needs to be better if he wants to make more birdies.

I asked him what he thought the make % from 10' is on tour and he said 70%. He didn't believe me when I told him tour players average 50% from 8'.

This guy is going to spend extra time working on his putting when his putting isn't the skill that's holding him back, all because of misinformation. And no, I don't believe he's 40% from 10', but that's not really the point. He's not going to get a good return on that investment.

Bill

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22 minutes ago, billchao said:

I asked him what he thought the make % from 10' is on tour and he said 70%. He didn't believe me when I told him tour players average 50% from 8'.

I asked my uncle once, "At what distance do you think PGA Tour players make or miss 50% of their putts?". He said, 15 FT or so. I told him it was 8-9'.

Matt Dougherty, P.E.
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I told the same thing to 20´s hadicapers at my club when they get really ungry after they miss a 10 footer.

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