518 YD Par 4 - your GIR%

[pinhigh27]

65%...um, no. Lets say you average 280 off the tee (which I'm sure is a gross over-estimation). That leaves 238 to green….you are telling us that you will hit the green 65% of the time from 230+. Hell no… Pros average about 65% GIR playing championship length holes, but a championship length hole is typically not a 518 yard par 4. I smell a little bull

exactly, I'm a 2.5 handicap and I said 11-30 percent.

[pinhigh27]

It would take, for me, an awesome drive (280-285 yards) plus a perfect 4-iron (235 yards).

If your hitting your 4 iron 235, then it's not a 4 iron.

[MI Rob]

Probably 11-30% on a good day.

[sean_miller]

With a wide fairway and a receptive green (i.e. huge with room to run it up) I might be putting 30% of the time (driver, hybrid/2-iron). Length is not the issue - hitting/holding the green is.

[Titleist Man]

Well id have to get a perfect drive 260 and a perfect 3 wood 230 and a very good bounce

[iacas]

I'm calling BS on nearly all the people who voted 11-30% unless you all legitimately mean 15% or less.

Most golfers don't hit 15% of their REGULAR GIR, let alone hitting and holding a green from 230 away or whatever.

Heck, I voted 1-10%. Now, I might think I'm closer to the upper end of that range, but I never gave 11-30% any consideration at all. Y'all realize you'd first have to hit the fairway - this isn't some wide open hole where you can just whale away. Hitting the fairway eliminates 50% of your chances, then you add in the fact that you'd also need to get the ball out there with some distance, eliminating another 50%. Now you're down to 25% and you haven't even hit your second shot - a shot that has to go 235 or so, be straight, AND not come up a yard short or a yard long.

Most par fives at your average golf course are about 520 yards - so all of you that vote 11-30% have two-putt birdies roughly once a round on the par fives you play? Call me a cynic, but I don't believe it.

And no, this isn't directed at anyone.

[Cussin hacker]

He gives you a fairway hit on the 11%-30% pick. Thats the way it reads anyway. Your right anyway though. I said 15% but 10% is prolly closer.

[iacas]

He gives you a fairway hit on the 11%-30% pick. Thats the way it reads anyway. Your right anyway though. I said 15% but 10% is prolly closer.

Yeah, that's true. I don't read it that way and I'm not sure why he included it... GIR is about hitting two good shots. Why give someone part of the first shot (you still have to hit it far).

Oh well.

[sean_miller]

I'm calling BS on nearly all the people who voted 11-30% unless you all legitimately mean 15% or less.

I do recall including a crapload disclaimers when I estimated 30%. My long irons and my hybrid are my strengths. And yes, I'd probably 4-putt for a double bogey.

* wail

[CG031]

I'm calling BS on nearly all the people who voted 11-30% unless you all legitimately mean 15% or less.

Welll said. That is why I gave myself 0% chance! LOL.

[Big_M]

I'm calling BS on nearly all the people who voted 11-30% unless you all legitimately mean 15% or less.

I agree... but yeah, as a few said he's giving us the fairway... still, most people will be 10% or less, and that's on a good day.

Way I see it... perfect lie after a nutted drive and I'm a good 238 away or perhaps more... that means 3-wood and there's not a ton of room to run one up there with those bunkers...

[Saint]

I voted 11-30% because i think i can do it. i've played at a course 3 times that has a 600 yard par 5, and was pin high on my second shot, but was about 20 yards to the right, lol. the second time, from the rough, hit a low boring draw 5 wood and left myself a 15 foot eagle putt. i'm probably closer to 15%, but it'a all about getting up and down.

[CG031]

I voted 11-30% because i think i can do it. i've played at a course 3 times that has a 600 yard par 5, and was pin high on my second shot, but was about 20 yards to the right, lol. the second time, from the rough, hit a low boring draw 5 wood and left myself a 15 foot eagle putt. i'm probably closer to 15%, but it'a all about getting up and down.

Wait...you went driver 5 wood on a 600 yard par 5?

Downhill? Down wind?

[Saint]

nope. about a 20 degree dog leg left, and staright. the water is 280 to clear, but its on the left side of the fairway, and i was past it. GPS had drive at 330. I thought i was short, because it was a super low shot, bit it kept rolling onto the green. nothing is guarding the green though.

[Jay-Bird]

I voted 11-30. I know I could make it more than 10 times out of a hundred. That's the same thing as getting on a 520 yd par 5 in 2 - which I do somewhere in 11-33% range. If I had Scorecard , I could probably show you the data...

[Fourputt]

0%. Zero. Can't reach in two.

Yeah. Let's see, typically 240-250 with the driver, then maybe 220 with the 3W. That's 480 on a good day. If I get that close I still might have a 20% chance at par, but I'm virtually never going to be on in regulation.

[hippyboy]

If there was an offer of hitting a driver, then letting me tee it up & hit driver again I might be tempted to go for the 10%.
As it is I have no chance, the course I play at has a 535 par 5 & I can just squeeze into the 100 yard marker in 2.

[Dave H]

I said 11-30 because I read the poll as, if I hit a hundred drives in the fairway, chances are good that 15 times I'm going to hit a good second shot and land on the green. I also read the poll as 100 times in row, not over a lifetime, thus providing the opportunity to quickly learn the hole and make adjustments until you're hitting it right.

In the course of a normal round, I would probably never hit this green in regulation, but I didn't read the poll that way. If we're talking a hundred random times, I'm sure I'm 0-10, probably being closer to 0%!