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Strength and Depth of Field in Jack's Day and Tiger's Day


Strength and Depth of Field  

90 members have voted

  1. 1. Loosely Related Question (consider the thread topic-please dont just repeat the GOAT thread): Which is the more impressive feat?

    • Winning 20 majors in the 60s-80s.
      12
    • Winning 17 majors in the 90s-10s.
      150


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  • Administrator
Posted
11 hours ago, Jack Watson said:

The other thing is it’s not just the club.  The ball has an even greater effect.  Balata marshmallows curve.

You're still missing the point that this argues against your point.

Better equipment narrows the gap between the greats and those a notch or two below them. Better equipment made it more difficult for Tiger to win majors, by elevating those below him significantly more than it elevated him.

Tiger faced deeper, stronger fields than Jack even before you consider the equipment. Add in the equipment and it made it even more difficult for Tiger to separate himself.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
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Posted
8 hours ago, iacas said:

Better equipment made it more difficult for Tiger to win majors, by elevating those below him significantly more than it elevated him.

You and others keep throwing out this red herring argument. The same statement applies to Jack and his competitors.  Now the difference in equipment technology from the late 50's to the 90's - that is significant giving the advantage to those playing in most recent decades.

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  • Administrator
Posted
3 minutes ago, fishgolf said:

You and others keep throwing out this red herring argument. The same statement applies to Jack and his competitors.  Now the difference in equipment technology from the late 50's to the 90's - that is significant giving the advantage to those playing in most recent decades.

You clearly don’t understand what people are saying here.

I will again point out that Jack himself says that modern equipment has made it more difficult for the best to separate themselves.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
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Posted
10 minutes ago, iacas said:

You clearly don’t understand what people are saying here.

I will again point out that Jack himself says that modern equipment has made it more difficult for the best to separate themselves.

That's a bogus statement even from the GOAT.  I think Jack tries to be overly considerate in this whole Woods vs. Nicklaus debate.  He and Arnie are the games ultimate ambassadors and have always treaded lightly in these discussions.

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  • Administrator
Posted
9 minutes ago, fishgolf said:

That's a bogus statement even from the GOAT.  I think Jack tries to be overly considerate in this whole Woods vs. Nicklaus debate.  He and Arnie are the games ultimate ambassadors and have always treaded lightly in these discussions.

Not at all.

I don't think you understand - at all - what people are saying here re: equipment.

It's barely on topic, and the reason why it's on topic is what you don't seem to understand: that modern equipment strengthens and deepens the field while doing very little for the people at the top.

You seem to be thinking that it is about comparing the equipment Tiger played versus the equipment Jack played, but that's not the relevant comparison. The relevant comparison is what the equipment did for Jack's peers and what the equipment did for Tiger's peers.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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Posted
32 minutes ago, iacas said:

Not at all.

I don't think you understand - at all - what people are saying here re: equipment.

It's barely on topic, and the reason why it's on topic is what you don't seem to understand: that modern equipment strengthens and deepens the field while doing very little for the people at the top.

You seem to be thinking that it is about comparing the equipment Tiger played versus the equipment Jack played, but that's not the relevant comparison. The relevant comparison is what the equipment did for Jack's peers and what the equipment did for Tiger's peers.

We'll, we are in disagreement on yet another topic.

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  • Administrator
Posted
Just now, fishgolf said:

We'll, we are in disagreement on yet another topic.

This falls into the realm of certainty. Thus you’re just wrong here.

It’s not really a matter of opinion.

Jack wasn’t just “being nice” when he “disagreed” with you either.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
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Posted
11 hours ago, iacas said:

You're still missing the point that this argues against your point.

Better equipment narrows the gap between the greats and those a notch or two below them. Better equipment made it more difficult for Tiger to win majors, by elevating those below him.

@iacas

Easier to use equipment increases parity and deepens the competitive field.  It does not increase skill or talent.  Players who competed with vintage gear at the top consistently over time are stronger than say Dimarco,  Yang,  or Woody Austin.

97 was an interesting time in golf. Norman Kite Langer Faldo Price Watson were in their 40’s.  Proven persimmon great ballstrikers.  Who was the most dangerous guy to Tiger?  A guy in his prime who knew how to win?

Mickelsen hadn’t learned to win yet Els really should have been the guy but let’s face it milktoast.  Love 3 was a fine player but not a greatest all time player.

I believe if Tigers career had not coincided with the equipment evolution he would have at least tied the record.  Who would stand in his way?  2 outliers that could have been Tigers rival were May and Duval but they suffered from injury.  


  • Administrator
Posted

:sigh:

I’ll let someone else take it this time.

I never said it increases talent.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
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Posted
4 hours ago, fishgolf said:

That's a bogus statement even from the GOAT.  I think Jack tries to be overly considerate in this whole Woods vs. Nicklaus debate.  He and Arnie are the games ultimate ambassadors and have always treaded lightly in these discussions.

Treaded lightly?  Jack stomped all over the greats of the past, with steel spikes, when he said that the only fair way to compare golfers of different eras was by majors.  By an amazing coincidence, that was shortly after he had the majors record.  Before then, he had said he thought Hogan was the GOAT, even though Hagen had won two more majors than Hogan, despite hitting his prime before the PGA Championship was founded, let alone the Masters.

And this was before Tiger was born, so Jack's competition for GOAT was the likes of Vardon, Jones, Hagen, Snead, and Hogan.  Men who all had several majors canceled for world wars, men who skipped playing majors outside of their own country more often than not.  Jack knew full well that they had far fewer opportunities to play majors than he did, but he stomped on them anyway.


Posted
2 hours ago, iacas said:

:sigh:

I’ll let someone else take it this time.

I never said it increases talent.

Let me take a whack at it.

Fishgolf, have you ever heard of Abebe Bikila?  He won the gold medal in the  Rome Olympics marathon.  He ran barefoot, I guess because he had grown up doing that in his native Ethiopia.

Now suppose that up to then, it was a rule that everybody had to run the marathon barefoot.  And suppose that starting in 1964, they changed the rule, and allowed competitors to wear running shoes.

Who do you think that would help more, Bikila, or his competitors?

Or take archery.  In the 1300's, when I was a kid, you just had a curved wooden slat for a bow.  Nowadays, the bows are made of some space-age composite, and have all kinds of scopes and pulleys and counterweights to make it easier to pull the bow, aim, and hold it steady.

If you took the 100 best archers of 1300 and gave them all modern bows, do you think the best archer of 1300 would have an easier or harder time defending his title?


Posted
2 hours ago, Jack Watson said:

Easier to use equipment increases parity and deepens the competitive field.

And thus you've proved the point we're all making.

Player A and player B are both equally dominant in the same sport during their respective eras. Player B, however, played during an era where the playing field between all of the best players was more even than it was during Player A's era. This is due to a technological advance that makes it harder for Player B to set himself or herself above the rest. Player B, despite this disadvantage compared to Player A, was every bit as dominant as Player A.

Tell me, which of those two player (Player A or Player B) had more skill even though they both were equally dominant during their respective times?

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Posted

The way I think of this is to reduce it to an extreme. Take player A. He is the “perfect” golfer. He hits every fairway and every green. He holes every putt he looks at. His scoring average is in the low 50s depending on how many eagles he makes. Everyone else is as they currently are. He wins every tournament. By miles. 

Then suppose someone invents equipment that enables you to hit every fairway and every green and hole every putt. That equipment has an enormous impact on the field. They can now shoot low 50s on average. How much does player A benefit from this? He improves not at all. He has lost out enormously because his opposition can now match him. 

The closer you are to player A as equipment improves the less you benefit as a result. Therefore the improvements in equipment make it harder to distance yourself from the field. So ignore you do distance yourself from the field in an era of improved equipment then that is a more impressive achievement. 

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  • Moderator
Posted
4 minutes ago, Ty_Webb said:

The way I think of this is to reduce it to an extreme. Take player A. He is the “perfect” golfer. He hits every fairway and every green. He holes every putt he looks at. His scoring average is in the low 50s depending on how many eagles he makes. Everyone else is as they currently are. He wins every tournament. By miles. 

Then suppose someone invents equipment that enables you to hit every fairway and every green and hole every putt. That equipment has an enormous impact on the field. They can now shoot low 50s on average. How much does player A benefit from this? He improves not at all. He has lost out enormously because his opposition can now match him. 

The closer you are to player A as equipment improves the less you benefit as a result. Therefore the improvements in equipment make it harder to distance yourself from the field. So ignore you do distance yourself from the field in an era of improved equipment then that is a more impressive achievement. 

Very nice analogy. They will still disregard it though because they are closed minded to any suggestion that someone could be better than Mr. Nicklaus.

Scott

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Posted
1 hour ago, boogielicious said:

Very nice analogy. They will still disregard it though because they are closed minded to any suggestion that someone could be better than Mr. Nicklaus.

The analogy and argument still is only relevant for the era in which player A or B is competing. The same scenario plays out in Jack's era.  To suggest that advances in equipment only apply to TW's is ridiculous.  But then, when you're trying desperately to make a case that cannot be made, at least with current records, it's totally understandable.

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Posted
1 minute ago, fishgolf said:

The analogy and argument still is only relevant for the era in which player A or B is competing. The same scenario plays out in Jack's era.  To suggest that advances in equipment only apply to TW's is ridiculous.  But then, when you're trying desperately to make a case that cannot be made, at least with current records, it's totally understandable.

It has been made countless times in this thread. You just choose to ignore the math. And no one said it just applies to Woods. You are just interpreting every post your own way. 

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Posted (edited)

 

@Pretzel

Is your example purely hypothetical?

@Ty_Webb

There is no perfect golfer.  Assume a and b have peak human talent and skill.  You can give tech to their competitors which will make things closer,  but it does not automatically increase the skill/talent part.  There’s at least a minimum there required to compete consistently with a or b.

No one responded to my question.

Edited by Jack Watson
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  • Administrator
Posted
31 minutes ago, fishgolf said:

The analogy and argument still is only relevant for the era in which player A or B is competing. The same scenario plays out in Jack's era.  To suggest that advances in equipment only apply to TW's is ridiculous.  But then, when you're trying desperately to make a case that cannot be made, at least with current records, it's totally understandable.

Your streak of continually misunderstanding things remains unbroken.

Nobody is comparing Jack to Bobby Jones here. The comparison is Jack vs. his peers and Tiger vs. his.

1 minute ago, Jack Watson said:

There is no perfect golfer.  Assume a and b have peak human talent and skill.  You can give tech to their competitors which will make things closer,  but it does not automatically increase the skill/talent part.

 

The point missing is becoming an epidemic. Oh wait, it’s just three of you.

He didn’t say there was a “perfect” golfer.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

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  • Posts

    • For me that is all details, and the real telling point is this: In none of Jack's majors were substantially all of the top players in the world in the field In every one of Tiger's majors, substantially all of the top players in the world were in the field
    • This is one of the cleanest, least emotional ways to separate the Nicklaus–Tiger debate, because international participation is a direct proxy for field depth. Not vibes. Not nostalgia. Talent supply. Below is a tight, historically grounded explanation of how field strength changed — with special emphasis on how many non-U.S. players were actually in PGA TOUR fields, and what that means competitively for Jack Nicklaus vs Tiger Woods. 1. Why international share = field strength (conceptually) The PGA TOUR doesn’t draft players. It selects talent from a global labor market. So: more international players in the field from more countries who earned access through competitive tours → means a deeper, harder field, even if total field size stays the same. International share isn’t cosmetic — it’s how globalization enters the win-probability math. 2. Nicklaus era (roughly mid-1960s to early-1980s) International presence in PGA TOUR fields ~2–5% of players in a typical PGA TOUR field Often 5–8 non-U.S. players in a 140-player event Many weeks: fewer than five Who those internationals were Gary Player occasional Europeans (Seve later, Woosnam briefly) a handful of Australians or South Africans Crucially: They were elite imports, not a broad middle class. What that means for field strength The top of the field was excellent The middle and bottom were shallow After ~10–12 legitimate contenders, win equity dropped sharply This is why Nicklaus: contended constantly piled up runner-ups remained relevant for decades The field simply didn’t replenish elite threats fast enough. 3. Transition era (late-1980s to early-1990s) This is the inflection point. Structural changes Official World Golf Ranking (post-1986) European Tour becomes a true pipeline Easier travel, better incentives to cross over International share ~8–12% of PGA TOUR fields Now 15–20 non-U.S. players per event Importantly: not just stars, but solid Tour-caliber pros This is when field strength begins to compound. 4. Tiger Woods era (late-1990s through early-2010s peak) International presence explodes ~25–35% of PGA TOUR fields Often 40–55 international players in a 156-man field Representing Europe, Australia, South Africa, Asia, Latin America This is not just more flags — it’s more win equity. Why this matters competitively The median player is better The gap between #1 and #40 shrinks Every round is contested by professionals who already won elsewhere This is what people mean by “deep fields.” 5. Side-by-side comparison (simplified but accurate) Era Intl % of.    Field Intl Players       Event Competitive Meaning Nicklaus prime ~2–5% ~5–8 Elite top, thin middle Early transition ~8–12% ~15–20 Talent thickens Tiger prime ~25–35% ~40–55 Deep, global, relentless This is a 5–7× increase in international representation from Jack’s prime to Tiger’s peak. 6. Why international % matters more than field size A 140-player field with: 8 internationals vs 50 internationals are not the same tournament, even if the entry list length is identical. More internationals means: more elite tours feeding the field more players already proven winners fewer “free” spots for the elite to separate easily This is why win probability collapses in modern golf. 7. The GOAT implication (this is the hinge) Nicklaus Beat great players But usually beat fewer elite players at once Field difficulty was top-heavy, not dense Tiger Beat great players and dozens of near-elite professionals simultaneously Field difficulty was both tall and wide Tiger’s environment: lowers win probability increases variance punishes even small declines Yet Tiger still won 22.8% of PGA TOUR starts. That’s the paradox — and the argument. 8. Why this doesn’t “discredit” Nicklaus Jack dominated his environment as well as anyone ever could. But environments matter. If you translate achievements across eras: Jack’s career length looks more impressive Tiger’s per-start dominance looks more impressive International depth is the biggest reason why. Final synthesis International share of PGA TOUR fields increased ~5–7× from Nicklaus’ prime to Tiger’s peak That increase directly correlates with field depth and difficulty Tiger won more often, by larger margins, against deeper global fields So when people say: This is what they mean — not emotionally, not rhetorically, but structurally. Below is a by-era breakdown of: International share of PGA TOUR fields International share of PGA TOUR wins Win-efficiency ratio = Win share ÷ Field share All wins counted (not unique winners). “International” = non-U.S. citizenship. This framework maps directly onto the GOAT debate between Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods. International Win Share vs. Field Share by Era Era Intl % of Field   Intl % of Wins   Win Efficiency 1965–1974 (early Nicklaus) ~2–3%        ~4–6%      ~1.8–2.0× 1975–1984 (Nicklaus prime) ~3–5%       ~7–10%      ~1.8–2.3× 1985–1994 (transition) ~8–12%     ~15–22%      ~1.8–2.0× 1995–2004 (Tiger ascent/peak) ~20–25%     ~30–35%      ~1.3–1.5× 2005–2014 (Tiger era, global maturity) ~25–30%     ~35–40%      ~1.3–1.4× 2015–2025 (post-Tiger peak) ~30–35%.            ~40–45%.      ~1.25–1.35×
    • If you explicitly adjust for field strength, the Tiger–Jack debate sharpens fast — because once you weight who was in the field and how good they were, raw major counts stop being the right currency. Below is the cleanest field-strength–adjusted framework, followed by what it implies for Tiger Woods and Jack Nicklaus. 1. What “field strength–adjusted” actually means (no hand-waving) A serious adjustment has four components: A. Field depth How many players in the field were legitimate win threats Measured by: OWGR equivalents, historical win rates, career major contention frequency B. Field breadth How global the field was How many tours fed elite players into the event C. Win concentration How many wins a small elite captured (A win in a top-heavy field is harder than a win in a flat field) D. Margin vs. field Separation from average competitor, not just second place This is exactly how WAR-style logic works in baseball — just translated to golf. 2. Era-level field strength comparison (baseline) Think of this as “average major field difficulty”, indexed to Tiger’s peak era = 1.00. Era Relative Field Strength Early 1960s ~0.55 Late 1960s ~0.65 1970s ~0.70 Early 1980s ~0.75 Late 1980s ~0.85 1997–2008 1.00 2009–2015 ~0.95 Modern (post-2015) ~1.00–1.05 This is not controversial among historians: Global pipelines Full-time professionalism Equipment & training parity all peak in Tiger’s era. 3. Field-strength–adjusted major wins Now apply that adjustment. Raw majors Nicklaus: 18 Tiger: 15 Adjusted majors (conceptual but grounded) If you weight each major by relative field strength at the time: Nicklaus’s 18 majors ≈ 12–14 Tiger-era equivalents Tiger’s 15 majors ≈ 15–16 Tiger-era equivalents So once you normalize: And that’s before accounting for Tiger’s injuries. 4. Runner-ups and “lost wins” matter even more This is where the gap widens. Nicklaus 19 major runner-ups Many in shallower, U.S.-centric fields Variance was higher → more “near misses” Tiger Only 7 runner-ups But competed in denser elite fields Win suppression effect removed variance — fewer second places because he either won or wasn’t close If you convert: top-3s strokes behind winner field quality Tiger gains more “near-win value” per attempt than Jack. 5. Margin of dominance (this is decisive) Tiger Woods Frequently +2.5 to +3.0 strokes per round vs. field in majors at peak Largest adjusted margins ever recorded Dominance increases as field quality increases (rare!) Jack Nicklaus Elite but narrower margins Won via positioning and closing, not statistical obliteration Dominance less scalable to deeper fields If you run a WAR-style model: 6. A thought experiment that clarifies everything Ask one neutral question: He probably: contends finishes top-10 maybe wins once in a while Now reverse it: He likely: wins multiple times by historic margins and suppresses multiple Hall-of-Fame careers That asymmetry is the field-strength adjustment talking. 7. Why longevity arguments weaken after adjustment Nicklaus’s greatest edge is time. But: longevity is easier in lower-density competitive environments variance produces more chances to contend fewer global elite peers mean fewer weekly threats Tiger’s body broke down because: he pushed athletic ceilings under the most competitive conditions ever Adjusted for environment, Tiger’s shorter peak isn’t a flaw — it’s the cost of dominance. Final, adjusted verdict If you do not adjust for field strength: Nicklaus has the edge (18 > 15) If you do adjust properly: Tiger Woods becomes the GOAT Higher difficulty Higher dominance Higher efficiency per start Higher suppression of elite peers Nicklaus is the greatest career golfer. Tiger is the greatest golfer, period — once you account for who they were actually beating.
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