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2016 Mets World Championship Thread

Groucho Valentine

By Groucho Valentine
in Sports

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Note: This thread is 3333 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

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Groucho Valentine Great Member

Groucho Valentine

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Just now, phan52 said:

Translation: I am welching on the bet. What would you expect from a Mutts fan?

That they'd be higher in the standings than Phailies fans. 


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jamo
jamo

That's weird. You spelled "Red Sox" wrong in the thread title.

PhxHacker
PhxHacker

Fellow Mets fan. Born in upstate N.Y. 1968. Grew up in Denver and been in Phoenix since 1999. Still die hard Mets fan. Only team I still follow from New York.

newtogolf
newtogolf

Exactly, it's also great for napping to.  

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phan52 Great Member

phan52

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1 minute ago, Groucho Valentine said:

That they'd be higher in the standings than Phailies fans. 

I'm not the delusional one who made outrageous predictions about my team. Reality bites.

Bill M

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Groucho Valentine Great Member

Groucho Valentine

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2 minutes ago, phan52 said:

I'm not the enlightened one who made such brilliant predictions about my team. Reality bites when you're a Phillies fan. I have no hope for the future. 

Dont worry old buddy. It cant be like that forever. 


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iacas Hall of Fame Member

iacas

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Mets lost to the lowly Pirates today. Got shut out and no-hit for 6+ innings by a guy making his second MLB start.

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Abu3baid Great Member

Abu3baid

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1 hour ago, Groucho Valentine said:

The Mets got other things to worry about right now than winning games. 

LOL

:adams: / :tmade: / :edel: / :aimpoint: / :ecco: / :bushnell: / :gamegolf: / 

Eyad

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newtogolf Incredible Member

newtogolf

Posted
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2 hours ago, Groucho Valentine said:

The Mets got other things to worry about right now than winning games. 

Hard to win games when no one on the team can hit.  Wright is likely out for the season, Confortto is likely getting demoted and Duda is a question mark so there's no one to protect Cespedes.  Nationals are 6 games ahead and unless the Mets make some big moves there's no way with this lineup they will catch them.  

Joe Paradiso

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Groucho Valentine Great Member

Groucho Valentine

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17 hours ago, newtogolf said:

Hard to win games when no one on the team can hit.  Wright is likely out for the season, Confortto is likely getting demoted and Duda is a question mark so there's no one to protect Cespedes.  Nationals are 6 games ahead and unless the Mets make some big moves there's no way with this lineup they will catch them.  

Conforto isn't going anywhere. He's a young player that is slumping. There is a chance Wright will never play baseball again. Getting Duda back will be a boost. But without trading pitching i cant see how the mets make a trade that is going to have a huge impact in the lineup similar to Cespedes last season. The bones of a good offense are there. They just need to get on a hot streak. 


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DaveP043 Incredible Member

DaveP043

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So I basically missed two weeks of the season while I was in Ireland, thankfully got to miss the Nationals' 7-game losing streak.  Still, they have a 4-game lead over the third place Mets after last night's 11-4 drubbing.  Not such a bad place to be.

Dave

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jamo Incredible Member

jamo

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43 minutes ago, Groucho Valentine said:

Mets are tooling up now for their championship surge.  It's a mistake to write off these beasts. 

I don't think anyone's writing them off...

Then again, with half of their lineup and starting rotation either on the DL or in AAA, maybe they should be. 

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DaveP043 Incredible Member

DaveP043

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On 6/3/2016 at 9:52 AM, Groucho Valentine said:

. Once the mets figure out how to hit a baseball again we're well on our way to 110 wins. 

Based on the recent series, the Mets are still working on that hitting stuff, apparently unsuccessfully.  And now they only have to win 70 of their remaining 85 to get to 110 wins.  

Dave

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Groucho Valentine Great Member

Groucho Valentine

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8 minutes ago, DaveP043 said:

Based on the recent series, the Mets are still working on that hitting stuff, apparently unsuccessfully.  And now they only have to win 70 of their remaining 85 to get to 110 wins.  

You're forgetting who you're talking about. This is the team of Strawberry, Dykstra, and Bonillia. Nothing is impossible. 


saevel25 Incredible Member

saevel25

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6 minutes ago, DaveP043 said:

Based on the recent series, the Mets are still working on that hitting stuff, apparently unsuccessfully.  And now they only have to win 70 of their remaining 85 to get to 110 wins.  

Only the Cubs are projected to get over 100 wins going forward. 

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

The Mets are projected to end up around 87 wins. They'll be in the wild card hunt if they go as projected. 

A cool graph showing how the teams probability of winning the WS has changed since the start of the season. 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolgraphs.aspx?lg=A&div=A&stat=poff&year=2016

 

 

Matt Dougherty, P.E.
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Groucho Valentine Great Member

Groucho Valentine

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3 minutes ago, saevel25 said:

Only the Cubs are projected to get over 100 wins going forward. 

http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.aspx?position=Standings

The Mets are projected to end up around 87 wins. They'll be in the wild card hunt if they go as projected. 

A cool graph showing how the teams probability of winning the WS has changed since the start of the season. 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolgraphs.aspx?lg=A&div=A&stat=poff&year=2016

 

 

Looks like the Mets have a 100% chance of winning the world series, based on that graph. 


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DaveP043 Incredible Member

DaveP043

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2 minutes ago, Groucho Valentine said:

You're forgetting who you're talking about. This is the team of Strawberry, Dykstra, and Bonillia. Nothing is impossible. 

Maybe I missed something, but I'm pretty sure those three are off playing golf somewhere, not baseball.  This is the team that traded most of its prospects off last year, so there's little chance of a significant trade, and that has two of its better starting pitchers with bone spurs, so they may not last the entire season.  

3 minutes ago, saevel25 said:

A cool graph showing how the teams probability of winning the WS has changed since the start of the season. 

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolgraphs.aspx?lg=A&div=A&stat=poff&year=2016

That also has charts showing the probability of making the playoffs.  They're estimating the Mets are just barely better than even money right now.

Dave

:callaway: Rogue SubZero Driver

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:footjoy:, :true_linkswear:, and Ashworth shoes

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saevel25 Incredible Member

saevel25

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1 minute ago, DaveP043 said:

That also has charts showing the probability of making the playoffs.  They're estimating the Mets are just barely better than even money right now.

You are correct :whistle:

Here's the one for winning the world series.

http://www.fangraphs.com/coolgraphs.aspx?lg=A&div=A&stat=ws&year=2016

6 minutes ago, Groucho Valentine said:

Looks like the Mets have a 100% chance of winning the world series, based on that graph. 

If by 100% you mean, 51% chance of making the playoffs and only 3.5% chance of winning the world series then sure ;) 

Matt Dougherty, P.E.
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