Jump to content
Note: This thread is 2269 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

Recommended Posts

  • Administrator

http://www.pgatour.com/r/strokes-gained-putting-baseline/index.html

Strokes Gained - Putting
2010 Baseline Probabilities
DISTANCE ONE PUTT TWO PUTT THREE PUTTS-Plus EXPECTED PUTTS AVG.
1 foot 100% 0.0% 0.0% 1.001
2 feet 99% 0.6% 0.1% 1.009
3 feet 95% 5% 0.2% 1.053
4 feet 86% 14% 0.2% 1.147
5 feet 75% 25% 0.3% 1.256
6 feet 65% 35% 0.3% 1.357
7 feet 56% 44% 0.4% 1.443
7 feet, 10 inches 50% 49% 0.5% 1.50
8 feet 49% 51% 0.5% 1.515
9 feet 43% 56% 0.6% 1.575
10 feet 38% 61% 0.7% 1.626
11 feet 34% 65% 0.8% 1.669
12 feet 30% 69% 0.9% 1.705
13 feet 27% 72% 1% 1.737
14 feet 25% 74% 1% 1.765
15 feet 22% 77% !% 1.790
16 feet 20% 78% 1% 1.811
17 feet 19% 80% 2% 1.830
18 feet 17% 81% 2% 1.848
19 feet 16% 83% 2% 1.863
20 feet 14% 84% 2% 1.878
21 feet 13% 85% 2% 1.891
22 feet 12% 85% 3% 1.903
23 feet 11% 86% 3% 1.914
24 feet 11% 86% 3% 1.924
25 feet 10% 87% 3% 1.934
26 feet 9% 87% 4% 1.944
27 feet 9% 88% 4% 1.953
28 feet 8% 88% 4% 1.961
29 feet 8% 88% 5% 1.970
30 feet 7% 88% 5% 1.978
31 feet 7% 88% 5% 1.993
32 feet 6% 88% 6% 1.993
33 feet 6% 88% 6% 2.001
34 feet 6% 88% 7% 2.009
35 feet 5% 88% 7% 2.016
36 feet 5% 87% 8% 2.024
37 feet 5% 87% 8% 2.032
38 feet 5% 87% 9% 2.039
39 feet 4% 87% 9% 2.047
40 feet 4% 86% 10% 2.055
41 feet 4% 86% 10% 2.062
42 feet 4% 85% 11% 2.070
43 feet 4% 85% 12% 2.078
44 feet 4% 84% 12% 2.086
45 feet 3% 84% 13% 2.094
46 feet 3% 83% 14% 2.102
47 feet 3% 83% 14% 2.110
48 feet 3% 82% 15% 2.118
49 feet 3% 82% 16% 2.127
50 feet 3% 81% 16% 2.135
51 feet 3% 80% 17% 2.143
52 feet 3% 80% 18% 2.152
53 feet 3% 79% 19% 2.160
54 feet 2% 78% 19% 2.168
55 feet 2% 78% 20% 2.177
56 feet 2% 77% 21% 2.185
57 feet 2% 76% 22% 2.193
58 feet 2% 76% 22% 2.202
59 feet 2% 75% 23% 2.210
60 feet 2% 74% 24% 2.218
61 feet 2% 74% 25% 2.226
62 feet 2% 73% 25% 2.234
63 feet 2% 72% 26% 2.242
64 feet 2% 72% 27% 2.250
65 feet 2% 71% 27% 2.257
66 feet 2% 70% 28% 2.265
67 feet 2% 70% 29% 2.272
68 feet 2% 69% 30% 2.279
69 feet 2% 68% 30% 2.286
70 feet 2% 68% 31% 2.293
71 feet 1% 67% 31% 2.299
72 feet 1% 67% 32% 2.306
73 feet 1% 66% 33% 2.312
74 feet 1% 66% 33% 2.318
75 feet 1% 65% 34% 2.324
76 feet 1% 65% 34% 2.329
77 feet 1% 64% 35% 2.334
78 feet 1% 64% 35% 2.339
79 feet 1% 63% 36% 2.344
80 feet 1% 63% 36% 2.349
81 feet 1% 63% 36% 2.353
82 feet 1% 62% 37% 2.357
83 feet 1% 63% 37% 2.361
84 feet 1% 63% 37% 2.364
85 feet 1% 61% 38% 2.367
86 feet 1% 61% 38% 2.370
87 feet 1% 61% 38% 2.373
88 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.375
89 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.377
90 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.379
91 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.381
92 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.382
93 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.383
94 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
95 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
96 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
97 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.384
98 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.383
99 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.383
100 feet 1% 60% 39% 2.382

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

Check Out: New Topics | TST Blog | Golf Terms | Instructional Content | Analyzr | LSW | Instructional Droplets

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades


Originally Posted by twilliams16

is this for pga players?


It certainly isn't based on me. My putting is about half as good, (my percentages for 5 feet are similar the the PGA's percentages for 10 feet.)

R9 with 757 Speeder
mp 57 3-pw project x 6.0 flighted
Vokey* 56* 60*
Monza Corsa Putter


From the link: [quote]These numbers, which are based off the 2010 season, are used as the baseline probability to calculate the TOUR's new statistic, Strokes Gained - Putting, that determines the best putters on TOUR.[/quote] So I would assume this is an accumulation of ShotLink data.

"Golf is an entire game built around making something that is naturally easy - putting a ball into a hole - as difficult as possible." - Scott Adams

Mid-priced ball reviews: Top Flight Gamer v2 | Bridgestone e5 ('10) | Titleist NXT Tour ('10) | Taylormade Burner TP LDP | Taylormade TP Black | Taylormade Burner Tour | Srixon Q-Star ('12)


  • 5 years later...
  • Administrator

They were updated last year. 8 feet is the 50% point.

Maybe someone can find a good chart. If not I'll try to remember to add it tomorrow.

Erik J. Barzeski —  I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • AuthorLowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

Check Out: New Topics | TST Blog | Golf Terms | Instructional Content | Analyzr | LSW | Instructional Droplets

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

PUTTING PROBABILITIES
Distance (feet) One-putt % Two-putt Three-putt + Expected putts
1' 100% 0% 0% 1.001
3' 96% 4% 0% 1.046
5' 76% 24% 0% 1.245
7' 56% 43% 0% 1.440
10' 38% 61% 1% 1.625
12' 31% 68% 1% 1.701
15' 23% 76% 1% 1.784
20' 15% 83% 2% 1.874
25' 10% 87% 3% 1.931
30' 7% 88% 5% 1.977
40' 4% 86% 10% 2.058
50' 3% 81% 16% 2.138
60' 2% 75% 23% 2.214

 

http://www.pgatour.com/news/2016/05/31/strokes-gained-defined.html

  • Upvote 2

From the land of perpetual cloudiness.   I'm Denny

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

  • 1 year later...
  • Moderator

I played with someone over the weekend that told me he needed to improve his 10 footers. He said he's not expecting to be PGA Tour level, but he wants to be closer to 50% because right now he's more like 40% and he needs to be better if he wants to make more birdies.

I asked him what he thought the make % from 10' is on tour and he said 70%. He didn't believe me when I told him tour players average 50% from 8'.

This guy is going to spend extra time working on his putting when his putting isn't the skill that's holding him back, all because of misinformation. And no, I don't believe he's 40% from 10', but that's not really the point. He's not going to get a good return on that investment.

Bill

“By three methods we may learn wisdom: First, by reflection, which is noblest; Second, by imitation, which is easiest; and third by experience, which is the bitterest.” - Confucius

My Swing Thread

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

22 minutes ago, billchao said:

I asked him what he thought the make % from 10' is on tour and he said 70%. He didn't believe me when I told him tour players average 50% from 8'.

I asked my uncle once, "At what distance do you think PGA Tour players make or miss 50% of their putts?". He said, 15 FT or so. I told him it was 8-9'.

Matt Dougherty, P.E.
 fasdfa dfdsaf 

What's in My Bag
Driver; :pxg: 0311 Gen 5,  3-Wood: 
:titleist: 917h3 ,  Hybrid:  :titleist: 915 2-Hybrid,  Irons: Sub 70 TAIII Fordged
Wedges: :edel: (52, 56, 60),  Putter: :edel:,  Ball: :snell: MTB,  Shoe: :true_linkswear:,  Rangfinder: :leupold:
Bag: :ping:

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

I told the same thing to 20´s hadicapers at my club when they get really ungry after they miss a 10 footer.

Awards, Achievements, and Accolades

Note: This thread is 2269 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now


  • Want to join this community?

    We'd love to have you!

    Sign Up
  • TST Partners

    TourStriker PlaneMate
    Golfer's Journal
    ShotScope
    The Stack System
    FitForGolf
    FlightScope Mevo
    Direct: Mevo, Mevo+, and Pro Package.

    Coupon Codes (save 10-20%): "IACAS" for Mevo/Stack/FitForGolf, "IACASPLUS" for Mevo+/Pro Package, and "THESANDTRAP" for ShotScope. 15% off TourStriker (no code).
  • Posts

    • MSN Glover expressed his dissatisfaction with what he termed as 'cool kid meetings' between Jordan Spieth, Patrick Cantlay, Tiger Woods and other high-profile golfers. "I think it's terrible," he stated. "And then hiding behind pace of play, I think, challenges our intelligence. They think we're stupid.     "Don't cut fields because it's a pace of play issue. Tell us to play faster, or just say you're trying to appease six guys and make them happy so they don't go somewhere else and play golf." Fitzpatrick joined the conversation on X (formerly Twitter), with the 30-year-old echoing Glover's sentiments regarding the PGA Tour changes. "He's so right," Fitzpatrick posted. "Pathetic that pace of play is spoken about every year and nothing ever gets done."     I agree. Instead of  penalizing  players for  turtle  play they appease the  slow jerks  by  cutting the  fields. They will play even slower  knowing they will NEVER be  penalized.
    • I've been Playing Golf for: 3 years  My current handicap index or average score is: 1.5 My typical ball flight is: neutral /slight draw The shot I hate or the "miss" I'm trying to reduce/eliminate is: hook   Looking for some advice please folks. Started golfing three years ago and got hooked. Had some early lessons and was a slicer etc.  I used to have a severe inside takeaway and through working hard to fix as ever (this game…) it’s now gone too far the other way where I take it back way outside.  i think it looks really bad and have gotten a lesson last year where we tried to competely reset the swing and it ruined things for months as I couldn’t get it to stick (my fault).    anyway do I need to fix this? I hit it reasonably solid but don’t know what else I’m looking at or need to clean up. All opinions welcomed!  Videos:   
    • A local film critic gave the movie “Wicked” a great review. I saw the stage musical several years ago (pre-COVID) and enjoyed it. Likely won’t see the cinematic version but one never knows. I probably will go to “Gladiator 2” at some point unless the reviews are terrible.
    • Wordle 1,251 3/6 ⬜⬜⬜🟨⬜ 🟩⬜🟩🟩🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩   Had two choices and picked the right one.
    • Wordle 1,251 5/6 🟩⬜⬜⬜🟩 🟩⬜⬜⬜🟩 🟩🟨🟩⬜🟩 🟩⬜🟩🟩🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

Welcome to TST! Signing up is free, and you'll see fewer ads and can talk with fellow golf enthusiasts! By using TST, you agree to our Terms of Use, our Privacy Policy, and our Guidelines.

The popup will be closed in 10 seconds...