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Set the Over-Under on Tiger's first 36 at Augusta National in 2015

Phil McGleno

By Phil McGleno,
in Tour Talk

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  1. 1. If you tried to set the over-under to draw even money, at what 36-hole score would you set it?

    • WD Before 36 Holes Completed
      5
    • 136.5
      0
    • 139.5
      6
    • 142.5
      16
    • 145.5
      13
    • 148.5
      6
    • 150.5
      0

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newtogolf Incredible Member

newtogolf

I went with 145.5 because the goal is to set the over under not predict what Tiger will actually shoot.  Given his performances this season I have to think there are a lot of people expecting him to struggle and 142.5 would put too much action on the over imo.

Joe Paradiso

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Rick Martin Great Member

Rick Martin

Doubt that he's cured the yips.....they come out with tight lies, pressure, and an audience....The Masters has all three.

He'll W/D to save face.....

He won't be able to hit a yip-wedge over Rae's Creek - maybe he can putt it over the Hogan Bridge on #12 like you would at a putt-putt course......

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Patch Incredible Member

Patch

I went with  under 145.5. I think he will be a round par the first two days.

In My Bag:
A whole bunch of Tour Edge golf stuff...... :beer:

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onthehunt526 Super Member

onthehunt526

He's playing... I voted 145.5 whoever said that the cut line will be around 144 (even-par) is out of line, first of all the field is roughly 100, secondly the cut is low 50 and ties AND those within 10 strokes of the leader, what makes anyone think that the leader would be 10 or 11 under after 36 holes AND have the leader board bunched up enough to get an under par cut line, which by the way has NEVER happened in the previous 78 Masters Tournaments, I'll take 136.5 as the 36 hole leader for $200 Alex... Only once has the 36 hole leader been 11 under going into the weekend Ray Floyd in 1976 (he was actually 13 under), him and that 5-wood he made...

What's in Shane's Bag?     

Ball: 2022 :callaway: Chrome Soft Triple Track Driver: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond 8° MCA Kai’li 70s FW: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond  H: :callaway: Apex Pro 21 20°I (3-PW) :callaway: Apex 21 UST Recoil 95 (3), Recoil 110 (4-PW). Wedges: :callaway: Jaws Raw 50°, 54°, 60° UST Recoil 110 Putter: :odyssey: Tri-Hot 5K Triple Wide 35”

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BallStriker Great Member

BallStriker

The most popular answer is currently 142.5......I would make a big, big bet on the OVER at that number....

My number....and what I think will be posted by the Vegas books.....147.5

"Getting paired with you is the equivalent to a two-stroke penalty to your playing competitors"  -- Sean O'Hair to Rory Sabbatini (Zurich Classic, 2011)

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onthehunt526 Super Member

onthehunt526

143-144 range. Which is roughly what the cut line will be. I think he makes the cut and makes a charge on the weekend.

An even-par cut? What is this a regular tour stop? This isn't the birdie-fests you see at Valhalla or the Disney... Yes there are more birdies made at the Masters (if you adjust it to a field of 156, Erik that's your department, I failed Calculus), than at the other majors... but there are a lot of big numbers out there too... I think if he's at 144, he's probably 6 or 7 shots back with 36 holes to play... which I agree, he could make a charge from there... if he magically finds that magic around the greens he had prior to the swing change... LOOK OUT

What's in Shane's Bag?     

Ball: 2022 :callaway: Chrome Soft Triple Track Driver: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond 8° MCA Kai’li 70s FW: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond  H: :callaway: Apex Pro 21 20°I (3-PW) :callaway: Apex 21 UST Recoil 95 (3), Recoil 110 (4-PW). Wedges: :callaway: Jaws Raw 50°, 54°, 60° UST Recoil 110 Putter: :odyssey: Tri-Hot 5K Triple Wide 35”

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onthehunt526 Super Member

onthehunt526

145.5 Tiger's short game/putting will be excruciating to watch at Augusta, IMO.

His putting isn't really the issue, apparently anyway

What's in Shane's Bag?     

Ball: 2022 :callaway: Chrome Soft Triple Track Driver: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond 8° MCA Kai’li 70s FW: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond  H: :callaway: Apex Pro 21 20°I (3-PW) :callaway: Apex 21 UST Recoil 95 (3), Recoil 110 (4-PW). Wedges: :callaway: Jaws Raw 50°, 54°, 60° UST Recoil 110 Putter: :odyssey: Tri-Hot 5K Triple Wide 35”

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WUTiger Incredible Member

WUTiger

I think he makes the 36-hole cut and flirts with the leader board.

But, this is an unusually emotionally charged tournament for him (year in, year out). Can he play four rounds without pressing too hard and re-injuring himself?

Focus, connect and follow through!

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David L Yskes Great Member

David L Yskes

jm2cents but i think he'll give it a go for the first round... but if he is struggling, i wouldnt doubt if he starts to reach for his back every time he swings a club

It is what it is

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onthehunt526 Super Member

onthehunt526

Not at the Masters, the patrons would hate that!

What's in Shane's Bag?     

Ball: 2022 :callaway: Chrome Soft Triple Track Driver: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond 8° MCA Kai’li 70s FW: :callaway:Paradym Triple Diamond  H: :callaway: Apex Pro 21 20°I (3-PW) :callaway: Apex 21 UST Recoil 95 (3), Recoil 110 (4-PW). Wedges: :callaway: Jaws Raw 50°, 54°, 60° UST Recoil 110 Putter: :odyssey: Tri-Hot 5K Triple Wide 35”

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Ernest Jones Incredible Member

Ernest Jones

He will suck it up no matter how bad the pain is.

Hopefully he is smarter than that.

Yours in earnest, Jason.
Call me Ernest, or EJ or Ernie.

PSA - "If you find yourself in a hole, STOP DIGGING!"

My Whackin' Sticks: :cleveland: 330cc 2003 Launcher 10.5*  :tmade: RBZ HL 3w  :nickent: 3DX DC 3H, 3DX RC 4H  :callaway: X-22 5-AW  :nike:SV tour 56* SW :mizuno: MP-T11 60* LW :bridgestone: customized TD-03 putter :tmade:Penta TP3   :aimpoint:

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  • Administrator
iacas Hall of Fame Member

iacas

  • Administrator

Did anybody think to look up the final over/under line for Tiger?  I don't bet so I don't know about betting websites and I'm getting nothing from Google.


Woo! I voted 142.5. Tiger shot 142. :)

Erik J. Barzeski — ⛳ I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
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  • Administrator
iacas Hall of Fame Member

iacas

  • Administrator

Yeah, but that's not what you were polled for, you were polled as to what Vegas would say he'd shoot.


Yeah, so if he shoots close to the score you pick, that indicates the money would be pretty split. :)

If you set the line at 142.5 and he shoots 137 or 150, the bets probably weren't 50/50. You set a bad over/under number. :D

Erik J. Barzeski — ⛳ I knock a ball. It goes in a gopher hole. 🏌🏼‍♂️
Director of Instruction Golf Evolution • Owner, The Sand Trap .com • Author, Lowest Score Wins
Golf Digest "Best Young Teachers in America" 2016-17 & "Best in State" 2017-20 • WNY Section PGA Teacher of the Year 2019 :edel: :true_linkswear:

Check Out: New Topics | TST Blog | Golf Terms | Instructional Content | Analyzr | LSW | Instructional Droplets

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