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Predict Your Handicap One Year From Now


Note: This thread is 3400 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

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29 members have voted

  1. 1. One year from now my handicap will be....

    • The same
      12
    • Lower
      92
    • Higher
      8


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Posted
Mine is the highest it's been in a long time, so I'm expecting it to naturally swing back. Call it 5.7....

In David's bag....

Driver: Titleist 910 D-3;  9.5* Diamana Kai'li
3-Wood: Titleist 910F;  15* Diamana Kai'li
Hybrids: Titleist 910H 19* and 21* Diamana Kai'li
Irons: Titleist 695cb 5-Pw

Wedges: Scratch 51-11 TNC grind, Vokey SM-5's;  56-14 F grind and 60-11 K grind
Putter: Scotty Cameron Kombi S
Ball: ProV1

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Posted

Should this thread be merged with the "Are you conning yourself?" thread? :-P

  • Upvote 1

Tony  


:titleist:    |   :tmade:   |     :cleveland: 


Posted

Worse.  It's down 5 strokes from last year, but I don't feel I am any better than I was.  I'm sure I'll come back to reality at some point.

Randal

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Posted

Should this thread be merged with the "Are you conning yourself?" thread?

Makes perfect sense to me :-D .   Proof?  "Lower" is leading with 80%!

RiCK

(Play it again, Sam)

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Posted

I voted the same (which means about the same, right?).  Reasons?

I'm getting older.  At 57, it seems the rate that one ages has accelerated a bit.

I've made a lot of recent improvement going from horrible to... well... not as horrible.

I've gotten good instruction.

I feel I peaked and it feels like my HI is currently lower than my playing.  And, my HI will be going up on the next revision.

I think going from a 27 to a 17 will prove to have been easier than trying to go from a 17 to, say, a 14.

I seem to need to continue to work on my game to even stay where I'm at.

As I get older I seem to lower my expectations.  It seems easier to live with oneself that way.

And, this:

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Posted

Right now I am at 17.7 but my season has all but ended due to prostate cancer surgery.  If I stay healthy I am hoping to drop a full point on my HI in 2016.

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Posted
I don't have an official handicap, but it's around 19. My scores have been declining quickly since I've joined the forums here and started swinging daily on my optishot. Next year at this time I think I will be around a 10 if I continue with my current routine.

  • Moderator
Posted

My best estimate, I'll be around the same.  My handicap will go up a little through the winter and early spring, then come back down through the summer.  Last year I got as low as 3.7, this year I got to 4.4, I'm hoping to stay around the same level as I pass 60 years old.  I know that if I take a series of lessons and work on changes, I should expect to go lower, but I honestly don't believe I have either the motivation or the time to make that improvement.

On the other hand, I'll be with a new bunch of friends in a couple of weeks, competing for the Newport Cup.  Its quite possible that I'll be inspired to work hard to improve.  Only time will tell.

Dave

:callaway: Rogue SubZero Driver

:titleist: 915F 15 Fairway, 816 H1 19 Hybrid, AP2 4 iron to PW, Vokey 52, 56, and 60 wedges, ProV1 balls 
:ping: G5i putter, B60 version
 :ping:Hoofer Bag, complete with Newport Cup logo
:footjoy::true_linkswear:, and Ashworth shoes

the only thing wrong with this car is the nut behind the wheel.

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Posted

I don't keep one currently but I plan to start next year and hope to get it somewhere in the teens.

Driver: Nike VRS Covert 2.0
3W:  Nike VRS Covert
3H:  Nike VRS Covert 2.0
4H:  Nike VRS Covert 2.0
5-AW:  Nike  VRS-X
SW:  Nike VRS Covert
LW:  Nike VRS X3X 60*
Putter:  Nike Method MC-3i


Posted
I voted the same (which means about the same, right?).  Reasons?

I'm getting older.  At 57, it seems the rate that one ages has accelerated a bit.

I've made a lot of recent improvement going from horrible to... well... not as horrible.

I've gotten good instruction.

I feel I peaked and it feels like my HI is currently lower than my playing.  And, my HI will be going up on the next revision.

I think going from a 27 to a 17 will prove to have been easier than trying to go from a 17 to, say, a 14.

I seem to need to continue to work on my game to even stay where I'm at.

As I get older I seem to lower my expectations.  It seems easier to live with oneself that way.

And, this:

You, sir, are doing a premature sandbagging, setting your expectation low only to beat it by a comfy margin. :-P I will predict your 2016 end GHIN instead.   I see 13 ... 18 ... oh, wait, 14.  It will be 14, give or take 1 point.  I said it here first.

RiCK

(Play it again, Sam)

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Posted
I selected higher. I'm currently at 7.2 and don't really think I'll have the practice time necessary bring it down any further. But who knows, I didn't think I'd be at a 7.2 this year either...

Posted

By end of October 2016, would like it in the range of 5.5.

Ping G400 Max 9/TPT Shaft, TEE EX10 Beta 4, 5 wd, PXG 22 HY, Mizuno JPX919F 5-GW, TItleist SM7 Raw 55-09, 59-11, Bettinardi BB39

 

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Posted

I think I'll be back to playing at 22 again this time next year. Maybe lower. Maybe not. Time will tell.

Julia

:callaway:  :cobra:    :seemore:  :bushnell:  :clicgear:  :adidas:  :footjoy:

Spoiler

Driver: Callaway Big Bertha w/ Fubuki Z50 R 44.5"
FW: Cobra BiO CELL 14.5 degree; 
Hybrids: Cobra BiO CELL 22.5 degree Project X R-flex
Irons: Cobra BiO CELL 5 - GW Project X R-Flex
Wedges: Cobra BiO CELL SW, Fly-Z LW, 64* Callaway PM Grind.
Putter: 48" Odyssey Dart

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Posted

I'm hoping to get down to about 14 or 13 by this time next year. I feel like if I can ever break through this flip problem that should be definitely doable.

KICK THE FLIP!!

In the bag:
:srixon: Z355

:callaway: XR16 3 Wood
:tmade: Aeroburner 19* 3 hybrid
:ping: I e1 irons 4-PW
:vokey: SM5 50, 60
:wilsonstaff: Harmonized Sole Grind 56 and Windy City Putter

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Posted

Right now I am at 17.7 but my season has all but ended due to prostate cancer surgery.  If I stay healthy I am hoping to drop a full point on my HI in 2016.

My father went through that a few years ago at the age of 71 and he did just fine, treatment has gotten much better for it.  Wishing you a speedy recovery.

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Posted

I believe if I start practicing right I'll be able to get into the teens.

Driver: Cobra Fly Z Plus, Stock Stiff,  10.5
3 Wood: TaylorMade AeroBurner, Stock Stiff, 15.0
3 Hybrid: Nike Vapor Speed, Stock Stiff, 20.0
4 to GW: Mizuno JPX EZ, KBS Tour 120
54: Cleveland Tour Action, Standard Bounce
58: Nike VR Vx3x Grooves, Toe Sweep
Putter: Odyssey Versa
Grips: Golf Pride Tour Wrap 2G
Ball: Titleist NXT Tour

"Golf is not a game of good shots.  It's a game of bad shots." - Ben Hogan


Posted

I think mine will be lower but that I'll be worse at golf. The reason is that I have about 6 terrible differentials about to come off my handicap before the end of the year. And my wife is currently pregnant, so I won't get to play much next year. So my handicap will likely go down the rest of the year and then be static all next year.

-- Daniel

In my bag: :callaway: Paradym :callaway: Epic Flash 3.5W (16 degrees)

:callaway: Rogue Pro 3-PW :edel: SMS Wedges - V-Grind (48, 54, 58):edel: Putter

 :aimpoint:

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Note: This thread is 3400 days old. We appreciate that you found this thread instead of starting a new one, but if you plan to post here please make sure it's still relevant. If not, please start a new topic. Thank you!

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  • Posts

    • Nah, man. People have been testing clubs like this for decades at this point. Even 35 years. @M2R, are you AskGolfNut? If you're not, you seem to have fully bought into the cult or something. So many links to so many videos… Here's an issue, too: - A drop of 0.06 is a drop with a 90 MPH 7I having a ball speed of 117 and dropping it to 111.6, which is going to be nearly 15 yards, which is far more than what a "3% distance loss" indicates (and is even more than a 4.6% distance loss). - You're okay using a percentage with small numbers and saying "they're close" and "1.3 to 1.24 is only 4.6%," but then you excuse the massive 53% difference that going from 3% to 4.6% represents. That's a hell of an error! - That guy in the Elite video is swinging his 7I at 70 MPH. C'mon. My 5' tall daughter swings hers faster than that.
    • Yea but that is sort of my quandary, I sometimes see posts where people causally say this club is more forgiving, a little more forgiving, less forgiving, ad nauseum. But what the heck are they really quantifying? The proclamation of something as fact is not authoritative, even less so as I don't know what the basis for that statement is. For my entire golfing experience, I thought of forgiveness as how much distance front to back is lost hitting the face in non-optimal locations. Anything right or left is on me and delivery issues. But I also have to clarify that my experience is only with irons, I never got to the point of having any confidence or consistency with anything longer. I feel that is rather the point, as much as possible, to quantify the losses by trying to eliminate all the variables except the one you want to investigate. Or, I feel like we agree. Compared to the variables introduced by a golfer's delivery and the variables introduced by lie conditions, the losses from missing the optimal strike location might be so small as to almost be noise over a larger area than a pea.  In which case it seems that your objection is that the 0-3% area is being depicted as too large. Which I will address below. For statements that is absurd and true 100% sweet spot is tiny for all clubs. You will need to provide some objective data to back that up and also define what true 100% sweet spot is. If you mean the area where there are 0 losses, then yes. While true, I do not feel like a not practical or useful definition for what I would like to know. For strikes on irons away from the optimal location "in measurable and quantifiable results how many yards, or feet, does that translate into?"   In my opinion it ok to be dubious but I feel like we need people attempting this sort of data driven investigation. Even if they are wrong in some things at least they are moving the discussion forward. And he has been changing the maps and the way data is interpreted along the way. So, he admits to some of the ideas he started with as being wrong. It is not like we all have not been in that situation 😄 And in any case to proceed forward I feel will require supporting or refuting data. To which as I stated above, I do not have any experience in drivers so I cannot comment on that. But I would like to comment on irons as far as these heat maps. In a video by Elite Performance Golf Studios - The TRUTH About Forgiveness! Game Improvement vs Blade vs Players Distance SLOW SWING SPEED! and going back to ~12:50 will show the reference data for the Pro 241. I can use that to check AskGolfNut's heat map for the Pro 241: a 16mm heel, 5mm low produced a loss of efficiency from 1.3 down to 1.24 or ~4.6%. Looking at AskGolfNut's heatmap it predicts a loss of 3%. Is that good or bad? I do not know but given the possible variations I am going to say it is ok. That location is very close to where the head map goes to 4%, these are very small numbers, and rounding could be playing some part. But for sure I am going to say it is not absurd. Looking at one data point is absurd, but I am not going to spend time on more because IME people who are interested will do their own research and those not interested cannot be persuaded by any amount of data. However, the overall conclusion that I got from that video was that between the three clubs there is a difference in distance forgiveness, but it is not very much. Without some robot testing or something similar the human element in the testing makes it difficult to say is it 1 yard, or 2, or 3?  
    • Wordle 1,668 3/6 🟨🟨🟩⬜⬜ ⬜🟨⬜⬜🟨 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
    • Wordle 1,668 3/6 🟨🟩🟨🟨⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 Should have got it in two, but I have music on my brain.
    • Wordle 1,668 2/6* 🟨🟨🟩⬛⬛ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
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